Number 18

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

157times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.39σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number

6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

29longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 157 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 157 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 7.2
2nd smallest29 · chance 33.9
3rd smallest57 · chance 57.1
4th smallest51 · chance 42.8
5th smallest11 · chance 14.3
6th smallest2 · chance 1.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 16 33 39 9 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-07-22	4	4th	2 4 9 18 33 36
2020-07-08	6	3rd	3 10 18 22 25 29
2020-06-17	7	2nd	6 18 20 23 35 39
2020-05-23	14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-11-28	3	4th	2 8 13 18 20 26
2018-11-17	6	4th	5 9 14 18 21 26
2018-10-27	21	2nd	14 18 25 27 29 33
2018-08-15	4	3rd	3 8 18 20 24 32
2018-08-01	6	4th	4 8 11 18 38 40
2018-07-11	7	2nd	4 18 25 33 35 38
2018-06-16	7	3rd	3 16 18 24 25 28
2018-05-23	4	4th	5 6 7 18 23 40
2018-05-09	5	2nd	9 18 24 25 31 34
2018-04-21	13	5th	4 10 11 16 18 26
2018-03-07	6	2nd	17 18 30 33 34 38
2018-02-14	22	4th	7 9 14 18 29 33
2017-11-29	1	4th	5 9 15 18 24 39
2017-11-25	3	3rd	3 17 18 19 27 32
2017-11-15	4	2nd	8 18 19 27 36 39
2017-11-01	7	3rd	1 4 18 20 28 39
2017-10-07	2	3rd	1 16 18 29 32 35
2017-09-30	13	5th	3 8 15 17 18 19
2017-08-16	3	4th	3 4 9 18 23 40
2017-08-05	3	1st	18 21 23 27 31 34
2017-07-26	2	3rd	10 15 18 24 31 34
2017-07-19	3	4th	1 3 4 18 23 26
2017-07-08	5	4th	7 8 9 18 19 33
2017-06-21	3	3rd	6 7 18 22 23 28
2017-06-10	4	6th	5 9 12 14 16 18
2017-05-27	2	4th	2 13 14 18 30 39
2017-05-20	15	3rd	10 16 18 20 28 32
2017-03-29	7	4th	2 10 17 18 19 29
2017-03-04	2	2nd	7 18 21 24 37 40
2017-02-25	7	5th	7 9 12 13 18 37
2017-02-01	6	4th	4 5 16 18 24 32
2017-01-11	11	4th	2 11 13 18 21 29
2016-12-03	1	4th	3 9 17 18 29 30
2016-11-30	2	3rd	10 13 18 25 27 34
2016-11-23	7	3rd	1 6 18 23 32 36
2016-10-29	3	3rd	1 11 18 34 35 39
2016-10-19	10	3rd	9 14 18 25 34 40
2016-09-14	12	3rd	4 11 18 21 29 30
2016-08-03	10	4th	8 13 17 18 30 38
2016-06-29	16	3rd	12 15 18 19 20 26
2016-05-04	11	4th	9 13 17 18 33 36
2016-03-26	5	3rd	1 17 18 32 33 38
2016-03-09	4	2nd	15 18 33 37 38 40
2016-02-24	8	5th	2 3 4 12 18 20
2016-01-27	5	3rd	7 17 18 30 36 40
2016-01-09	2	3rd	1 13 18 20 27 29
2016-01-02	1	2nd	6 18 25 26 28 32
2015-12-30	2	2nd	1 18 27 36 37 38
2015-12-23	3	3rd	8 16 18 32 34 35
2015-12-12	15	3rd	1 7 18 26 32 33
2015-10-21	9	5th	5 6 8 15 18 25
2015-09-19	10	2nd	10 18 20 23 25 40
2015-08-15	7	5th	1 4 7 10 18 20
2015-07-22	3	2nd	5 18 26 31 38 39
2015-07-11	4	3rd	1 14 18 23 28 30
2015-06-27	1	3rd	12 13 18 21 34 39
2015-06-24	11	2nd	7 18 19 29 32 40
2015-05-16	9	2nd	8 18 22 24 26 40
2015-04-15	1	3rd	1 14 18 31 34 39
2015-04-11	5	4th	5 16 17 18 23 33
2015-03-25	4	2nd	2 18 24 26 28 33
2015-03-11	24	3rd	15 16 18 29 36 40
2014-12-17	1	4th	3 8 15 18 20 22
2014-12-13	8	4th	1 7 11 18 21 24
2014-11-15	2	4th	1 2 6 18 22 38
2014-11-08	11	3rd	2 15 18 20 21 33
2014-10-01	5	5th	9 12 14 15 18 40
2014-09-13	4	3rd	7 12 18 26 34 36
2014-08-30	5	4th	8 9 13 18 20 24
2014-08-13	1	3rd	11 17 18 25 36 39
2014-08-09	10	3rd	1 9 18 19 29 30
2014-07-05	8	2nd	12 18 19 21 24 36
2014-06-07	2	3rd	11 14 18 24 31 38
2014-05-31	12	2nd	4 18 21 23 28 31
2014-04-19	14	1st	18 28 29 33 35 38
2014-03-01	14	4th	11 13 16 18 25 32
2014-01-11	11	4th	5 12 14 18 32 38
2013-11-30	8	3rd	8 9 18 27 38 39
2013-11-02	4	4th	5 10 13 18 29 31
2013-10-19	11	3rd	7 11 18 38 39 40
2013-09-11	3	3rd	13 16 18 33 38 39
2013-08-31	4	1st	18 22 32 33 38 40
2013-08-17	7	3rd	1 2 18 24 26 40
2013-07-24	20	2nd	5 18 21 23 25 40
2013-05-15	14	5th	6 8 15 17 18 38
2013-03-27	4	4th	1 3 6 18 32 40
2013-03-13	2	4th	1 5 16 18 19 23
2013-03-06	29	3rd	10 12 18 21 38 39
2012-11-24	13	4th	7 12 15 18 23 26
2012-10-10	1	2nd	13 18 19 35 36 40
2012-10-06	1	4th	5 12 16 18 37 38
2012-10-03	14	4th	11 14 17 18 33 37
2012-08-15	5	4th	7 15 16 18 25 38
2012-07-28	15	6th	6 7 12 13 14 18
2012-06-06	1	5th	1 5 6 10 18 26
2012-06-02	4	3rd	12 16 18 28 30 39
2012-05-19	2	3rd	1 10 18 23 30 38
2012-05-12	6	4th	8 9 16 18 31 36
2012-04-21	2	1st	18 19 24 25 30 37
2012-04-14	14	3rd	6 7 18 21 28 31
2012-02-25	4	3rd	12 13 18 23 24 35
2012-02-11	27	2nd	13 18 22 23 29 32
2011-11-09	4	3rd	1 9 18 26 33 36
2011-10-26	1	3rd	1 3 18 29 33 34
2011-10-22	7	3rd	7 13 18 22 24 27
2011-09-28	2	2nd	3 18 20 28 29 33
2011-09-21	6	1st	18 24 26 32 37 39
2011-08-31	6	4th	9 10 11 18 36 39
2011-08-10	8	4th	2 7 16 18 37 39
2011-07-13	4	2nd	2 18 32 33 37 40
2011-06-29	5	4th	10 12 16 18 34 35
2011-06-11	1	4th	1 4 17 18 27 35
2011-06-08	6	4th	1 11 16 18 21 25
2011-05-18	14	4th	1 8 14 18 22 31
2011-03-30	7	4th	3 4 13 18 22 28
2011-03-05	6	1st	18 21 22 30 35 40
2011-02-12	4	3rd	9 17 18 26 28 40
2011-01-29	4	3rd	6 8 18 24 34 37
2011-01-15	12	1st	18 22 23 27 34 38
2010-12-01	2	3rd	2 3 18 22 27 36
2010-11-24	5	4th	8 13 15 18 23 36
2010-11-06	6	2nd	12 18 21 31 32 38
2010-10-16	4	4th	2 3 11 18 28 35
2010-10-02	6	3rd	7 15 18 25 33 40
2010-09-11	3	2nd	9 18 19 20 25 30
2010-09-01	2	2nd	6 18 20 26 31 40
2010-08-25	3	4th	11 14 16 18 22 39
2010-08-14	3	2nd	8 18 19 27 29 30
2010-08-04	2	2nd	8 18 19 24 26 39
2010-07-28	1	4th	1 8 14 18 19 30
2010-07-24	16	4th	5 6 9 18 31 39
2010-05-29	15	3rd	2 6 18 27 33 39
2010-04-07	—	4th	2 5 12 18 19 21