Number 24

In Texas Two Step under the 5/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 2022 rules — 75 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

11times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.09σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 29% for any number

5.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

17longest completed wait · 59% chance of one at least that long

24 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 75 draws against 10.7 expected, +0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 24, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 75 draws · average wait 5.8 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest3 · chance 3.3
4th smallest6 · chance 4.6
5th smallest1 · chance 2.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 26 6 8 22 30

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-10-20	4	4th	1 5 17 24 30
2022-10-06	0	4th	12 18 19 24
2022-10-06	9	4th	12 18 19 24
2022-08-25	1	4th	6 16 22

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.