Number 17

In Texas Two Step under the 5/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 2022 rules — 75 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.41σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

5.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

26longest completed wait · 26% chance of one at least that long

17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 75 draws against 10.7 expected, +1.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 75 draws · average wait 5.2 draws · longest completed wait 26 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.0
2nd smallest6 · chance 4.2
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.9
4th smallest2 · chance 3.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 11 22 31 5 15

Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-21	2	2nd	11 17 18 21 30
2022-11-14	6	3rd	5 10 17 22 27
2022-10-24	1	3rd	8 11 17 20 25
2022-10-20	5	3rd	1

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.