Number 10

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

227times drawn · chance expected 204 +1.71σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

44longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 227 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, +1.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 227 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest69 · chance 90.8
2nd smallest113 · chance 109.0
3rd smallest45 · chance 27.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 18.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 3 8 5 1 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-17	3	1st	10 19 21
2022-09-14	6	3rd	3 8 10
2022-09-07	5	1st	10 11 14
2022-09-02	2	2nd	4 10 17
2022-08-31	8	1st	10 14 24
2022-08-23	0	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-05-19	12	1st	10 13 25
2022-05-07	4	1st	10 20 25
2022-05-03	1	2nd	3 10 16
2022-05-02	3	2nd	5 10 21
2022-04-29	1	3rd	7 7 10
2022-04-28	7	1st	10 17 23
2022-04-21	3	2nd	9 10 19
2022-04-18	1	1st	10 11 23
2022-04-17	2	2nd	8 10 22
2022-04-15	3	1st	10 11 14
2022-04-12	11	1st	10 17 23
2022-04-01	3	2nd	9 10 22
2022-03-29	1	2nd	4 10 21
2022-03-28	5	2nd	3 10 25
2022-03-23	1	2nd	4 10 21
2022-03-22	18	2nd	3 10 25
2022-03-04	1	2nd	7 10 11
2022-03-03	1	3rd	2 5 10
2022-03-02	1	1st	10 17 21
2022-03-01	11	3rd	3 4 10
2022-02-18	6	3rd	6 7 10
2022-02-12	23	2nd	1 10 20
2022-01-20	2	2nd	4 10 26
2022-01-18	18	3rd	4 5 10
2021-12-31	0	2nd	8 10
2021-12-31	6	2nd	8 10
2021-12-25	12	3rd	4 5 10
2021-12-13	6	3rd	4 5 10
2021-12-07	9	1st	10 13 23
2021-11-28	11	2nd	9 10 13
2021-11-17	10	1st	10 18 19
2021-11-07	2	2nd	1 10 19
2021-11-05	5	2nd	6 10 11
2021-10-31	2	3rd	4 8 10
2021-10-29	9	2nd	8 10 19
2021-10-20	1	1st	10 11 22
2021-10-19	5	3rd	1 9 10
2021-10-14	14	1st	10 16 18
2021-09-30	9	1st	10 14 22
2021-09-21	4	2nd	5 10 23
2021-09-17	8	2nd	5 10 18
2021-09-09	2	3rd	8 9 10
2021-09-07	8	2nd	4 10 14
2021-08-30	3	2nd	3 10 11
2021-08-27	23	2nd	3 10 18
2021-08-04	6	2nd	3 10 14
2021-07-29	11	3rd	4 4 10
2021-07-18	9	3rd	4 4 10
2021-07-09	3	2nd	1 10 17
2021-07-06	1	2nd	2 10 19
2021-07-05	3	2nd	4 10 12
2021-07-02	2	2nd	6 10 19
2021-06-30	10	1st	10 19 21
2021-06-20	0	1st	10 16
2021-06-20	1	1st	10 16
2021-06-19	11	3rd	3 5 10
2021-06-08	5	2nd	1 10 26
2021-06-03	8	2nd	4 10 14
2021-05-26	3	2nd	2 10 12
2021-05-23	3	2nd	1 10 24
2021-05-20	2	1st	10 20 26
2021-05-18	3	1st	10 17 19
2021-05-15	5	1st	10 16 21
2021-05-10	32	1st	10 16 22
2021-04-08	10	2nd	8 10 13
2021-03-29	3	2nd	2 10 15
2021-03-26	7	3rd	4 6 10
2021-03-19	1	2nd	8 10 17
2021-03-18	12	1st	10 16 24
2021-03-06	42	3rd	3 9 10
2021-01-23	2	1st	10 17 25
2021-01-21	6	2nd	8 10 23
2021-01-15	2	2nd	8 10 17
2021-01-13	13	2nd	8 10 26
2020-12-31	4	1st	10 20 26
2020-12-27	13	1st	10 16 17
2020-12-14	17	3rd	2 7 10
2020-11-27	2	2nd	3 10 11
2020-11-25	19	2nd	7 10 22
2020-11-06	1	2nd	1 10 26
2020-11-05	17	1st	10 22 25
2020-10-19	13	3rd	1 2 10
2020-10-06	29	1st	10 18 24
2020-09-07	13	1st	10 13 22
2020-08-25	23	3rd	6 8 10
2020-08-02	29	2nd	7 10 26
2020-07-04	18	2nd	1 10 14
2020-06-16	6	2nd	1 10 17
2020-06-10	0	1st	10 12
2020-06-10	1	1st	10 12
2020-06-09	9	2nd	7 10 13
2020-05-31	5	1st	10 18 19
2020-05-26	7	1st	10 11 24
2020-05-19	30	3rd	1 4 10
2020-04-19	13	2nd	3 10 16
2020-04-06	5	3rd	4 6 10
2020-04-01	0	2nd	6 10
2020-04-01	3	2nd	6 10
2020-03-29	8	1st	10 17 20
2020-03-21	6	2nd	4 10 17
2020-03-15	3	1st	10 20 22
2020-03-12	17	1st	10 22 23
2020-02-24	8	1st	10 11 26
2020-02-16	1	2nd	1 10 24
2020-02-15	11	2nd	1 10 20
2020-02-04	5	3rd	5 5 10
2020-01-30	11	2nd	5 10 13
2020-01-19	2	2nd	4 10 16
2020-01-17	2	3rd	6 9 10
2020-01-15	10	2nd	5 10 17
2020-01-05	1	1st	10 12 18
2020-01-04	8	2nd	5 10 24
2019-12-27	5	1st	10 15 24
2019-12-22	8	1st	10 13 18
2019-12-14	13	3rd	1 4 10
2019-12-01	0	1st	10 13
2019-12-01	7	1st	10 13
2019-11-24	2	3rd	5 7 10
2019-11-22	10	2nd	2 10 13
2019-11-12	1	2nd	6 10 26
2019-11-11	12	2nd	5 10 12
2019-10-30	1	2nd	7 10 14
2019-10-29	5	2nd	2 10 14
2019-10-24	3	2nd	7 10 21
2019-10-21	2	1st	10 15 19
2019-10-19	9	1st	10 12 26
2019-10-10	5	2nd	6 10 20
2019-10-05	8	2nd	1 10 18
2019-09-27	11	2nd	9 10 24
2019-09-16	5	3rd	2 6 10
2019-09-11	10	3rd	2 2 10
2019-09-01	44	2nd	8 10 15
2019-07-19	6	3rd	5 6 10
2019-07-13	2	2nd	7 10 14
2019-07-11	19	1st	10 19 24
2019-06-22	9	1st	10 17 18
2019-06-13	25	2nd	3 10 20
2019-05-19	8	1st	10 18 21
2019-05-11	5	1st	10 15 17
2019-05-06	13	3rd	3 8 10
2019-04-23	40	3rd	4 9 10
2019-03-14	3	3rd	4 6 10
2019-03-11	5	2nd	7 10 14
2019-03-06	10	2nd	3 10 11
2019-02-24	2	2nd	3 10 19
2019-02-22	10	2nd	5 10 21
2019-02-12	14	1st	10 11 25
2019-01-29	4	2nd	2 10 26
2019-01-25	6	1st	10 17 24
2019-01-19	24	2nd	4 10 26
2017-12-26	2	2nd	9 10 21
2017-12-24	10	1st	10 16 25
2017-12-14	3	3rd	3 8 10
2017-12-11	14	2nd	8 10 18
2017-11-27	1	2nd	7 10 22
2017-11-26	4	1st	10 18 23
2017-11-22	7	2nd	7 10 21
2017-11-15	11	1st	10 12 19
2017-11-04	11	1st	10 12 21
2017-10-24	16	2nd	3 10 25
2017-10-08	1	2nd	6 10 24
2017-10-07	2	2nd	1 10 20
2017-10-05	1	2nd	1 10 21
2017-10-04	19	1st	10 13 25
2017-09-15	7	3rd	4 6 10
2017-09-08	1	3rd	8 8 10
2017-09-07	4	3rd	3 5 10
2017-09-03	14	1st	10 22 25
2017-08-20	17	3rd	2 9 10
2017-08-03	4	3rd	1 2 10
2017-07-30	4	2nd	1 10 11
2017-07-26	18	3rd	2 7 10
2017-07-08	5	1st	10 19 20
2017-07-03	16	2nd	7 10 13
2017-06-17	6	2nd	3 10 11
2017-06-11	0	2nd	8 10
2017-06-11	3	2nd	8 10
2017-06-08	11	2nd	8 10 19
2017-05-28	1	1st	10 22 24
2017-05-27	11	3rd	4 7 10
2017-05-16	4	1st	10 13 22
2017-05-12	2	2nd	9 10 16
2017-05-10	6	1st	10 13 17
2017-05-04	3	3rd	4 4 10
2017-05-01	0	2nd	3 10
2017-05-01	4	2nd	3 10
2017-04-27	6	2nd	8 10 25
2017-04-21	7	2nd	4 10 21
2017-04-14	18	1st	10 15 22
2017-03-27	5	1st	10 12 16
2017-03-22	7	1st	10 17 18
2017-03-15	8	2nd	6 10 23
2017-03-07	7	2nd	4 10 16
2017-02-28	11	2nd	3 10 20
2017-02-17	16	3rd	8 9 10
2017-02-01	5	2nd	2 10 13
2017-01-27	9	1st	10 12 14
2017-01-18	10	3rd	2 8 10
2017-01-08	1	2nd	8 10 23
2017-01-07	28	2nd	5 10 22
2016-12-10	2	2nd	5 10 13
2016-12-08	10	2nd	9 10 23
2016-11-28	—	2nd	5 10 21