Number 17

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

196times drawn · chance expected 204 −0.60σ

16draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

54longest completed wait · 25% chance of one at least that long

17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 196 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −0.60σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 196 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 16 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest15 · chance 23.5
2nd smallest92 · chance 94.1
3rd smallest89 · chance 78.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 3 18 10 15 8

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-02	6	3rd	4 10 17
2022-08-27	12	2nd	15 17 24
2022-08-15	1	3rd	7 12 17
2022-08-14	11	3rd	9 10 17
2022-08-03	5	2nd	13 17 20
2022-07-29	14	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-01-21	5	3rd	4 4 17
2022-01-16	13	3rd	4 13 17
2022-01-03	14	2nd	7 17 25
2021-12-20	1	2nd	11 17 23
2021-12-19	1	2nd	8 17 24
2021-12-18	0	2nd	6 17
2021-12-18	2	2nd	6 17
2021-12-16	5	3rd	1 6 17
2021-12-11	0	1st	17 18
2021-12-11	3	1st	17 18
2021-12-08	11	2nd	13 17 20
2021-11-27	4	3rd	8 9 17
2021-11-23	7	3rd	3 5 17
2021-11-16	23	3rd	5 13 17
2021-10-24	3	3rd	4 15 17
2021-10-21	12	3rd	3 16 17
2021-10-09	4	3rd	8 9 17
2021-10-05	15	3rd	4 7 17
2021-09-20	2	3rd	7 12 17
2021-09-18	10	2nd	13 17 25
2021-09-08	6	3rd	9 11 17
2021-09-02	8	2nd	11 17 25
2021-08-25	10	3rd	4 15 17
2021-08-15	6	2nd	9 17 26
2021-08-09	4	2nd	4 17 21
2021-08-05	8	3rd	4 14 17
2021-07-28	7	3rd	1 16 17
2021-07-21	12	2nd	6 17 20
2021-07-09	23	3rd	1 10 17
2021-06-16	29	2nd	14 17 19
2021-05-18	2	2nd	10 17 19
2021-05-16	10	1st	17 22 24
2021-05-06	10	2nd	3 17 21
2021-04-26	19	3rd	8 12 17
2021-04-07	7	3rd	8 12 17
2021-03-31	12	3rd	3 7 17
2021-03-19	10	3rd	8 10 17
2021-03-09	20	2nd	9 17 23
2021-02-17	12	3rd	11 12 17
2021-02-05	2	2nd	9 17 21
2021-02-03	10	3rd	3 14 17
2021-01-24	1	2nd	1 17 19
2021-01-23	8	2nd	10 17 25
2021-01-15	19	3rd	8 10 17
2020-12-27	6	3rd	10 16 17
2020-12-21	18	3rd	8 13 17
2020-12-03	3	2nd	1 17 20
2020-11-30	18	2nd	1 17 26
2020-11-12	20	3rd	3 12 17
2020-10-23	8	2nd	7 17 22
2020-10-15	10	3rd	2 6 17
2020-10-05	3	2nd	7 17 25
2020-10-02	1	2nd	6 17 24
2020-10-01	8	2nd	12 17 20
2020-09-23	5	2nd	7 17 21
2020-09-18	8	2nd	8 17 21
2020-09-10	9	1st	17 21 23
2020-09-01	10	3rd	2 3 17
2020-08-22	0	2nd	15 17
2020-08-22	15	2nd	15 17
2020-08-07	10	3rd	2 4 17
2020-07-28	2	3rd	4 15 17
2020-07-26	8	2nd	3 17 21
2020-07-18	4	3rd	4 13 17
2020-07-14	21	2nd	16 17 24
2020-06-23	3	3rd	11 15 17
2020-06-20	4	2nd	3 17 19
2020-06-16	5	3rd	1 10 17
2020-06-11	0	2nd	3 17
2020-06-11	3	2nd	3 17
2020-06-08	22	3rd	13 15 17
2020-05-17	9	2nd	11 17 26
2020-05-08	4	3rd	1 4 17
2020-05-04	4	1st	17 18 18
2020-04-30	0	1st	17 18
2020-04-30	12	1st	17 18
2020-04-18	1	3rd	8 16 17
2020-04-17	1	2nd	4 17 20
2020-04-16	5	1st	17 18 21
2020-04-11	13	3rd	4 14 17
2020-03-29	8	2nd	10 17 20
2020-03-21	5	3rd	4 10 17
2020-03-16	17	3rd	2 2 17
2020-02-28	5	3rd	3 15 17
2020-02-23	2	3rd	4 9 17
2020-02-21	7	3rd	7 8 17
2020-02-14	1	2nd	14 17 18
2020-02-13	3	3rd	5 15 17
2020-02-10	26	3rd	4 7 17
2020-01-15	23	3rd	5 10 17
2019-12-23	3	3rd	5 12 17
2019-12-20	11	2nd	7 17 25
2019-12-09	11	3rd	12 15 17
2019-11-28	8	2nd	1 17 22
2019-11-20	2	2nd	2 17 18
2019-11-18	11	2nd	9 17 20
2019-11-07	5	2nd	1 17 21
2019-11-02	1	2nd	11 17 21
2019-11-01	26	1st	17 19 21
2019-10-06	10	1st	17 19 22
2019-09-26	6	2nd	4 17 21
2019-09-20	5	3rd	1 3 17
2019-09-15	12	2nd	6 17 24
2019-09-03	17	3rd	15 16 17
2019-08-17	54	3rd	3 4 17
2019-06-24	2	2nd	6 17 22
2019-06-22	4	2nd	10 17 18
2019-06-18	9	3rd	4 12 17
2019-06-09	2	2nd	3 17 25
2019-06-07	5	3rd	13 15 17
2019-06-02	1	3rd	9 14 17
2019-06-01	3	2nd	3 17 26
2019-05-29	6	3rd	5 14 17
2019-05-23	2	3rd	4 8 17
2019-05-21	1	3rd	3 9 17
2019-05-20	7	3rd	13 15 17
2019-05-13	2	2nd	16 17 24
2019-05-11	9	3rd	10 15 17
2019-05-02	0	2nd	4 17
2019-05-02	8	2nd	4 17
2019-04-24	16	1st	17 22 26
2019-04-08	0	2nd	2 17
2019-04-08	30	2nd	2 17
2019-03-09	4	2nd	8 17 20
2019-03-05	3	3rd	2 13 17
2019-03-02	4	3rd	13 15 17
2019-02-26	27	2nd	3 17 20
2019-01-30	4	2nd	11 17 20
2019-01-26	1	2nd	11 17 26
2019-01-25	7	2nd	10 17 24
2019-01-18	8	2nd	8 17 18
2019-01-10	3	3rd	8 15 17
2019-01-07	10	3rd	6 14 17
2017-12-28	27	1st	17 18 20
2017-12-01	1	3rd	4 5 17
2017-11-30	1	3rd	11 15 17
2017-11-29	41	2nd	13 17 20
2017-10-19	10	2nd	1 17 18
2017-10-09	0	2nd	11 17
2017-10-09	18	2nd	11 17
2017-09-21	9	1st	17 21 25
2017-09-12	1	2nd	13 17 25
2017-09-11	11	2nd	4 17 21
2017-08-31	10	2nd	2 17 18
2017-08-21	11	3rd	2 12 17
2017-08-10	9	3rd	4 5 17
2017-08-01	5	2nd	6 17 23
2017-07-27	3	2nd	16 17 18
2017-07-24	3	3rd	3 16 17
2017-07-21	16	3rd	4 15 17
2017-07-05	7	3rd	5 12 17
2017-06-28	35	2nd	13 17 24
2017-05-24	14	2nd	7 17 18
2017-05-10	15	3rd	10 13 17
2017-04-25	1	2nd	3 17 26
2017-04-24	8	2nd	4 17 21
2017-04-16	16	3rd	3 9 17
2017-03-31	9	3rd	4 13 17
2017-03-22	35	2nd	10 17 18
2017-02-15	9	3rd	1 9 17
2017-02-06	2	3rd	2 8 17
2017-02-04	6	2nd	7 17 25
2017-01-29	3	3rd	4 15 17
2017-01-26	2	2nd	11 17 24
2017-01-24	2	2nd	2 17 23
2017-01-22	8	2nd	1 17 18
2017-01-14	10	3rd	5 8 17
2017-01-04	24	2nd	9 17 21
2016-12-11	5	3rd	1 14 17
2016-12-06	7	1st	17 19 22
2016-11-29	13	1st	17 18 18
2016-11-16	—	2nd	11 17 20