Number 1

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

273times drawn · chance expected 204 +5.14σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

30longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long

1 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 26

Drawn 273 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, +5.14σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 273 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest273 · chance 273.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 21.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 8 3 4 2 14

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-19	12	1st	1 2 6
2022-09-06	8	1st	1 3 24
2022-08-29	1	1st	1 5 18
2022-08-28	4	1st	1 5 15
2022-08-24	2	1st	1 2 25
2022-08-22	3	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-03-30	11	1st	1 9 18
2022-03-19	11	1st	1 8 26
2022-03-08	2	1st	1 13 15
2022-03-06	0	1st	1 22
2022-03-06	14	1st	1 22
2022-02-20	5	1st	1 13 14
2022-02-15	3	1st	1 2 19
2022-02-12	10	1st	1 10 20
2022-02-02	2	1st	1 8 25
2022-01-31	9	1st	1 2 16
2022-01-22	8	1st	1 8 23
2022-01-14	4	1st	1 15 21
2022-01-10	4	1st	1 5 9
2022-01-06	1	1st	1 19 23
2022-01-05	4	1st	1 9 16
2022-01-01	2	1st	1 7 15
2021-12-30	1	1st	1 9 18
2021-12-29	8	1st	1 8 18
2021-12-21	5	1st	1 8 23
2021-12-16	1	1st	1 6 17
2021-12-15	6	1st	1 8 26
2021-12-09	7	1st	1 3 4
2021-12-02	11	1st	1 3 11
2021-11-21	9	1st	1 2 16
2021-11-12	5	1st	1 7 19
2021-11-07	4	1st	1 10 19
2021-11-03	7	1st	1 4 6
2021-10-27	0	1st	1 7
2021-10-27	5	1st	1 7
2021-10-22	3	1st	1 12 21
2021-10-19	2	1st	1 9 10
2021-10-17	5	1st	1 11 13
2021-10-12	0	1st	1 7
2021-10-12	2	1st	1 7
2021-10-10	2	1st	1 9 13
2021-10-08	12	1st	1 8 18
2021-09-26	1	1st	1 14 19
2021-09-25	22	1st	1 3 12
2021-09-03	6	1st	1 13 14
2021-08-28	14	1st	1 24 26
2021-08-14	12	1st	1 6 15
2021-08-02	5	1st	1 5 23
2021-07-28	8	1st	1 16 17
2021-07-20	11	1st	1 19 21
2021-07-09	11	1st	1 10 17
2021-06-28	5	1st	1 3 5
2021-06-23	1	1st	1 4 19
2021-06-22	13	1st	1 9 22
2021-06-09	1	1st	1 8 12
2021-06-08	1	1st	1 10 26
2021-06-07	2	1st	1 15 26
2021-06-05	5	1st	1 7 22
2021-05-31	6	1st	1 7 16
2021-05-25	2	1st	1 5 11
2021-05-23	10	1st	1 10 24
2021-05-13	6	1st	1 15 21
2021-05-07	4	1st	1 2 5
2021-05-03	5	1st	1 11 20
2021-04-28	1	1st	1 5 6
2021-04-27	4	1st	1 11 25
2021-04-23	7	1st	1 18 23
2021-04-16	1	1st	1 8 14
2021-04-15	3	1st	1 11 20
2021-04-12	1	1st	1 3 23
2021-04-11	20	1st	1 12 16
2021-03-22	2	1st	1 6 6
2021-03-20	10	1st	1 11 26
2021-03-10	18	1st	1 7 14
2021-02-20	12	1st	1 9 21
2021-02-08	1	1st	1 8 11
2021-02-07	3	1st	1 6 23
2021-02-04	3	1st	1 9 15
2021-02-01	7	1st	1 19 24
2021-01-25	1	1st	1 7 20
2021-01-24	14	1st	1 17 19
2021-01-10	12	1st	1 4 24
2020-12-29	4	1st	1 3 24
2020-12-25	2	1st	1 8 20
2020-12-23	8	1st	1 16 24
2020-12-15	5	1st	1 2 22
2020-12-10	7	1st	1 4 21
2020-12-03	3	1st	1 17 20
2020-11-30	2	1st	1 17 26
2020-11-28	6	1st	1 19 21
2020-11-22	1	1st	1 8 25
2020-11-21	4	1st	1 8 19
2020-11-17	8	1st	1 18 21
2020-11-09	3	1st	1 23 25
2020-11-06	5	1st	1 10 26
2020-11-01	6	1st	1 13 25
2020-10-26	7	1st	1 3 15
2020-10-19	6	1st	1 2 10
2020-10-13	13	1st	1 2 7
2020-09-30	4	1st	1 8 15
2020-09-26	1	1st	1 2 25
2020-09-25	3	1st	1 13 21
2020-09-22	1	1st	1 14 19
2020-09-21	4	1st	1 3 3
2020-09-17	5	1st	1 12 14
2020-09-12	10	1st	1 2 25
2020-09-02	2	1st	1 19 23
2020-08-31	1	1st	1 18 21
2020-08-30	4	1st	1 2 15
2020-08-26	0	1st	1 4
2020-08-26	13	1st	1 4
2020-08-13	15	1st	1 18 25
2020-07-29	7	1st	1 3 8
2020-07-22	1	1st	1 5 20
2020-07-21	2	1st	1 6 23
2020-07-19	15	1st	1 19 25
2020-07-04	18	1st	1 10 14
2020-06-16	20	1st	1 10 17
2020-05-27	5	1st	1 4 21
2020-05-22	3	1st	1 6 9
2020-05-19	4	1st	1 4 10
2020-05-15	1	1st	1 8 23
2020-05-14	2	1st	1 12 21
2020-05-12	4	1st	1 2 7
2020-05-08	10	1st	1 4 17
2020-04-28	21	1st	1 12 21
2020-04-07	3	1st	1 2 3
2020-04-04	7	1st	1 9 25
2020-03-28	3	1st	1 12 26
2020-03-25	2	1st	1 5 14
2020-03-23	5	1st	1 3 4
2020-03-18	7	1st	1 12 23
2020-03-11	1	1st	1 7 23
2020-03-10	5	1st	1 8 8
2020-03-05	1	1st	1 22 23
2020-03-04	1	1st	1 9 12
2020-03-03	1	1st	1 14 18
2020-03-02	5	1st	1 2 16
2020-02-26	6	1st	1 18 25
2020-02-20	4	1st	1 20 21
2020-02-16	1	1st	1 10 24
2020-02-15	3	1st	1 10 20
2020-02-12	6	1st	1 5 18
2020-02-06	0	1st	1 14
2020-02-06	10	1st	1 14
2020-01-27	2	1st	1 14 15
2020-01-25	12	1st	1 5 26
2020-01-13	6	1st	1 18 21
2020-01-07	6	1st	1 3 21
2020-01-01	7	1st	1 7 16
2019-12-25	11	1st	1 4 23
2019-12-14	6	1st	1 4 10
2019-12-08	10	1st	1 4 19
2019-11-28	11	1st	1 17 22
2019-11-17	4	1st	1 12 26
2019-11-13	6	1st	1 6 11
2019-11-07	7	1st	1 17 21
2019-10-31	4	1st	1 12 26
2019-10-27	1	1st	1 2 19
2019-10-26	21	1st	1 13 14
2019-10-05	5	1st	1 10 18
2019-09-30	10	1st	1 15 19
2019-09-20	1	1st	1 3 17
2019-09-19	7	1st	1 13 15
2019-09-12	5	1st	1 6 9
2019-09-07	5	1st	1 9 15
2019-09-02	4	1st	1 7 7
2019-08-29	3	1st	1 13 19
2019-08-26	8	1st	1 6 12
2019-08-18	7	1st	1 5 24
2019-08-11	9	1st	1 5 15
2019-08-02	3	1st	1 14 18
2019-07-30	26	1st	1 3 4
2019-07-04	9	1st	1 11 25
2019-06-25	0	1st	1 23
2019-06-25	5	1st	1 23
2019-06-20	3	1st	1 18 19
2019-06-17	2	1st	1 21 25
2019-06-15	15	1st	1 2 25
2019-05-31	1	1st	1 3 6
2019-05-30	12	1st	1 5 20
2019-05-18	6	1st	1 20 22
2019-05-12	22	1st	1 7 21
2019-04-20	10	1st	1 3 25
2019-04-10	1	1st	1 15 26
2019-04-09	15	1st	1 11 21
2019-03-25	13	1st	1 9 12
2019-03-12	4	1st	1 4 15
2019-03-08	5	1st	1 4 21
2019-03-03	6	1st	1 12 14
2019-02-25	5	1st	1 2 14
2019-02-20	6	1st	1 8 12
2019-02-14	7	1st	1 6 24
2019-02-07	17	1st	1 22 24
2019-01-21	4	1st	1 8 16
2019-01-17	1	1st	1 8 21
2019-01-16	7	1st	1 8 16
2019-01-09	20	1st	1 6 21
2017-12-20	12	1st	1 16 26
2017-12-08	3	1st	1 11 23
2017-12-05	7	1st	1 11 22
2017-11-28	14	1st	1 12 26
2017-11-14	3	1st	1 4 22
2017-11-11	13	1st	1 11 12
2017-10-29	10	1st	1 2 11
2017-10-19	12	1st	1 17 18
2017-10-07	1	1st	1 10 20
2017-10-06	1	1st	1 11 13
2017-10-05	15	1st	1 10 21
2017-09-20	6	1st	1 14 21
2017-09-14	12	1st	1 4 12
2017-09-02	3	1st	1 11 25
2017-08-30	1	1st	1 11 11
2017-08-29	16	1st	1 4 22
2017-08-13	1	1st	1 7 26
2017-08-12	9	1st	1 13 14
2017-08-03	3	1st	1 2 10
2017-07-31	0	1st	1 4
2017-07-31	1	1st	1 4
2017-07-30	15	1st	1 10 11
2017-07-15	3	1st	1 8 22
2017-07-12	1	1st	1 14 20
2017-07-11	15	1st	1 6 7
2017-06-26	0	1st	1 3
2017-06-26	5	1st	1 3
2017-06-21	7	1st	1 3 20
2017-06-14	2	1st	1 3 26
2017-06-12	7	1st	1 6 15
2017-06-05	5	1st	1 7 9
2017-05-31	2	1st	1 4 22
2017-05-29	8	1st	1 20 26
2017-05-21	1	1st	1 8 21
2017-05-20	15	1st	1 21 22
2017-05-05	5	1st	1 2 7
2017-04-30	8	1st	1 3 18
2017-04-22	5	1st	1 18 23
2017-04-17	6	1st	1 7 8
2017-04-11	7	1st	1 4 19
2017-04-04	1	1st	1 2 13
2017-04-03	5	1st	1 2 13
2017-03-29	4	1st	1 5 11
2017-03-25	13	1st	1 5 20
2017-03-12	3	1st	1 4 7
2017-03-09	22	1st	1 16 18
2017-02-15	2	1st	1 9 17
2017-02-13	1	1st	1 11 11
2017-02-12	5	1st	1 6 8
2017-02-07	5	1st	1 4 5
2017-02-02	0	1st	1 5
2017-02-02	11	1st	1 5
2017-01-22	30	1st	1 17 18
2016-12-23	2	1st	1 3 8
2016-12-21	4	1st	1 21 23
2016-12-17	6	1st	1 3 14
2016-12-11	—	1st	1 14 17