Number 22

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

167times drawn · chance expected 204 −2.75σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number

10.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

54longest completed wait · 22% chance of one at least that long

22 looks unusual on its own — and unremarkable among 26 numbers

Drawn 167 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −2.75σ. Testing all 26 numbers at once means about 0.3 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 3.8e-4 and this does not pass it.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 167 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 3.3
2nd smallest35 · chance 46.8
3rd smallest130 · chance 116.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 10 16 9 13 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-15	9	3rd	4 15 22
2022-09-05	46	3rd	8 16 22
2022-07-21	4	3rd	5 10 22
2022-07-17	3	3rd	3 11 22
2022-07-14	6	3rd	3 17 22
2022-07-08	6	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-01-30	11	3rd	2 6 22
2022-01-19	7	3rd	16 20 22
2022-01-12	26	3rd	20 20 22
2021-12-17	11	3rd	9 14 22
2021-12-06	2	2nd	16 22 23
2021-12-04	4	3rd	5 19 22
2021-11-30	20	3rd	2 20 22
2021-11-10	6	2nd	9 22 24
2021-11-04	15	3rd	8 18 22
2021-10-20	9	3rd	10 11 22
2021-10-11	11	3rd	6 16 22
2021-09-30	14	3rd	10 14 22
2021-09-16	11	3rd	12 19 22
2021-09-05	17	3rd	7 13 22
2021-08-19	9	3rd	3 19 22
2021-08-10	4	3rd	4 6 22
2021-08-06	22	3rd	15 18 22
2021-07-15	23	3rd	2 15 22
2021-06-22	17	3rd	1 9 22
2021-06-05	4	3rd	1 7 22
2021-06-01	16	3rd	7 13 22
2021-05-16	6	2nd	17 22 24
2021-05-10	54	3rd	10 16 22
2021-03-17	1	3rd	11 18 22
2021-03-16	12	3rd	2 3 22
2021-03-04	5	3rd	11 16 22
2021-02-27	6	2nd	6 22 24
2021-02-21	11	3rd	7 8 22
2021-02-10	21	2nd	19 22 25
2021-01-20	21	3rd	2 21 22
2020-12-30	15	3rd	3 13 22
2020-12-15	13	3rd	1 2 22
2020-12-02	7	3rd	6 16 22
2020-11-25	12	3rd	7 10 22
2020-11-13	8	3rd	3 4 22
2020-11-05	1	2nd	10 22 25
2020-11-04	12	3rd	4 15 22
2020-10-23	2	3rd	7 17 22
2020-10-21	10	2nd	18 22 26
2020-10-11	21	3rd	5 8 22
2020-09-20	11	3rd	11 14 22
2020-09-09	2	2nd	8 22 25
2020-09-07	1	3rd	10 13 22
2020-09-06	3	3rd	2 2 22
2020-09-03	19	3rd	9 12 22
2020-08-15	19	2nd	7 22 25
2020-07-27	22	3rd	8 19 22
2020-07-05	10	3rd	5 19 22
2020-06-25	19	3rd	2 7 22
2020-06-06	5	3rd	5 19 22
2020-06-01	19	3rd	6 16 22
2020-05-13	7	3rd	8 12 22
2020-05-06	9	3rd	9 15 22
2020-04-27	1	3rd	9 13 22
2020-04-26	14	3rd	11 15 22
2020-04-12	2	3rd	13 19 22
2020-04-10	1	3rd	12 13 22
2020-04-09	25	3rd	9 14 22
2020-03-15	3	3rd	10 20 22
2020-03-12	3	2nd	10 22 23
2020-03-09	1	2nd	15 22 23
2020-03-08	3	3rd	2 4 22
2020-03-05	5	2nd	1 22 23
2020-02-29	4	3rd	6 13 22
2020-02-25	14	3rd	12 19 22
2020-02-11	10	3rd	4 5 22
2020-02-01	4	2nd	9 22 23
2020-01-28	7	2nd	14 22 25
2020-01-21	3	3rd	3 6 22
2020-01-18	28	3rd	7 12 22
2019-12-21	3	3rd	15 18 22
2019-12-18	18	3rd	3 4 22
2019-11-30	2	3rd	5 19 22
2019-11-28	23	3rd	1 17 22
2019-11-05	1	3rd	8 21 22
2019-11-04	10	2nd	8 22 26
2019-10-25	19	3rd	3 16 22
2019-10-06	39	3rd	17 19 22
2019-08-28	30	3rd	8 21 22
2019-07-29	5	3rd	9 18 22
2019-07-24	17	3rd	11 16 22
2019-07-07	9	3rd	2 8 22
2019-06-28	1	2nd	4 22 26
2019-06-27	3	3rd	6 6 22
2019-06-24	10	3rd	6 17 22
2019-06-14	10	3rd	7 16 22
2019-06-04	17	3rd	15 16 22
2019-05-18	3	3rd	1 20 22
2019-05-15	21	3rd	4 14 22
2019-04-24	23	2nd	17 22 26
2019-04-01	4	3rd	2 13 22
2019-03-28	7	3rd	9 11 22
2019-03-21	8	3rd	2 12 22
2019-03-13	31	3rd	4 11 22
2019-02-10	3	3rd	13 19 22
2019-02-07	33	2nd	1 22 24
2019-01-05	2	3rd	12 16 22
2019-01-03	21	2nd	9 22 23
2017-12-13	8	2nd	12 22 25
2017-12-05	1	3rd	1 11 22
2017-12-04	7	3rd	11 13 22
2017-11-27	13	3rd	7 10 22
2017-11-14	1	3rd	1 4 22
2017-11-13	4	3rd	8 15 22
2017-11-09	8	3rd	11 13 22
2017-11-01	0	1st	22 23
2017-11-01	1	1st	22 23
2017-10-31	30	2nd	11 22 23
2017-10-01	2	3rd	15 20 22
2017-09-29	4	2nd	6 22 24
2017-09-25	7	3rd	3 8 22
2017-09-18	13	3rd	4 13 22
2017-09-05	2	3rd	15 18 22
2017-09-03	5	2nd	10 22 25
2017-08-29	18	3rd	1 4 22
2017-08-11	7	3rd	4 16 22
2017-08-04	6	2nd	18 22 24
2017-07-29	14	3rd	2 19 22
2017-07-15	20	3rd	1 8 22
2017-06-25	6	3rd	3 8 22
2017-06-19	16	3rd	12 20 22
2017-06-03	3	3rd	3 20 22
2017-05-31	3	3rd	1 4 22
2017-05-28	8	2nd	10 22 24
2017-05-20	4	3rd	1 21 22
2017-05-16	8	3rd	10 13 22
2017-05-08	2	3rd	6 16 22
2017-05-06	7	3rd	8 18 22
2017-04-29	14	3rd	14 16 22
2017-04-15	1	3rd	9 15 22
2017-04-14	22	3rd	10 15 22
2017-03-23	27	2nd	8 22 23
2017-02-24	14	3rd	9 13 22
2017-02-10	0	2nd	20 22
2017-02-10	2	2nd	20 22
2017-02-08	16	3rd	5 18 22
2017-01-23	8	2nd	6 22 23
2017-01-15	8	3rd	16 18 22
2017-01-07	8	3rd	5 10 22
2016-12-30	5	2nd	2 22 25
2016-12-25	19	2nd	11 22 25
2016-12-06	5	3rd	17 19 22
2016-12-01	—	3rd	3 14 22