Number 25

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

142times drawn · chance expected 204 −4.62σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 48% for any number

12.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

80longest completed wait · 0.9% chance of one at least that long

25 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 26

Drawn 142 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −4.62σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 142 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 12.5 draws · longest completed wait 80 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest6 · chance 11.4
3rd smallest136 · chance 130.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 2 11 3 8 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-11	3	3rd	9 19 25
2022-09-08	15	3rd	2 5 25
2022-08-24	5	3rd	1 2 25
2022-08-19	13	3rd	1 12 25
2022-08-06	43	3rd	8 9 25
2022-06-24	10	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-01-03	10	3rd	7 17 25
2021-12-24	1	3rd	4 8 25
2021-12-23	28	3rd	2 4 25
2021-11-25	57	3rd	5 15 25
2021-09-29	1	3rd	3 12 25
2021-09-28	5	3rd	3 16 25
2021-09-23	5	3rd	3 20 25
2021-09-18	16	3rd	13 17 25
2021-09-02	21	3rd	11 17 25
2021-08-12	46	3rd	5 8 25
2021-06-27	41	3rd	9 15 25
2021-05-17	20	3rd	11 14 25
2021-04-27	21	3rd	1 11 25
2021-04-06	26	3rd	2 15 25
2021-03-11	14	3rd	6 9 25
2021-02-25	15	3rd	2 4 25
2021-02-10	18	3rd	19 22 25
2021-01-23	1	3rd	10 17 25
2021-01-22	14	3rd	11 24 25
2021-01-08	13	3rd	3 20 25
2020-12-26	7	3rd	2 3 25
2020-12-19	2	3rd	8 16 25
2020-12-17	18	3rd	9 21 25
2020-11-29	7	3rd	5 19 25
2020-11-22	4	3rd	1 8 25
2020-11-18	9	3rd	9 18 25
2020-11-09	4	3rd	1 23 25
2020-11-05	4	3rd	10 22 25
2020-11-01	4	3rd	1 13 25
2020-10-28	16	3rd	2 9 25
2020-10-12	7	3rd	5 11 25
2020-10-05	8	3rd	7 17 25
2020-09-27	1	3rd	3 9 25
2020-09-26	13	3rd	1 2 25
2020-09-13	1	3rd	11 15 25
2020-09-12	3	3rd	1 2 25
2020-09-09	5	3rd	8 22 25
2020-09-04	6	3rd	2 9 25
2020-08-29	6	3rd	13 21 25
2020-08-23	8	3rd	5 6 25
2020-08-15	2	3rd	7 22 25
2020-08-13	25	3rd	1 18 25
2020-07-19	11	3rd	1 19 25
2020-07-08	24	3rd	3 16 25
2020-06-14	16	3rd	11 18 25
2020-05-29	9	3rd	2 5 25
2020-05-20	46	2nd	6 25 26
2020-04-04	4	3rd	1 9 25
2020-03-31	34	2nd	11 25 26
2020-02-26	29	3rd	1 18 25
2020-01-28	8	3rd	14 22 25
2020-01-20	31	3rd	6 13 25
2019-12-20	7	3rd	7 17 25
2019-12-13	9	3rd	8 21 25
2019-12-04	9	3rd	23 24 25
2019-11-25	80	3rd	5 11 25
2019-09-06	34	3rd	3 14 25
2019-08-03	18	3rd	3 19 25
2019-07-16	6	3rd	5 20 25
2019-07-10	6	3rd	15 18 25
2019-07-04	17	3rd	1 11 25
2019-06-17	2	3rd	1 21 25
2019-06-15	6	3rd	1 2 25
2019-06-09	43	3rd	3 17 25
2019-04-27	1	3rd	15 18 25
2019-04-26	5	3rd	2 13 25
2019-04-21	1	3rd	12 18 25
2019-04-20	6	3rd	1 3 25
2019-04-14	3	3rd	3 4 25
2019-04-11	6	3rd	11 15 25
2019-04-05	2	3rd	2 16 25
2019-04-03	30	3rd	3 16 25
2019-03-04	4	3rd	7 18 25
2019-02-28	5	3rd	9 18 25
2019-02-23	7	3rd	6 8 25
2019-02-16	4	3rd	8 14 25
2019-02-12	20	3rd	10 11 25
2019-01-23	12	2nd	16 25 26
2019-01-11	18	3rd	21 24 25
2017-12-24	11	3rd	10 16 25
2017-12-13	37	3rd	12 22 25
2017-11-06	7	3rd	14 21 25
2017-10-30	3	2nd	16 25 26
2017-10-27	3	3rd	6 21 25
2017-10-24	14	3rd	3 10 25
2017-10-10	6	3rd	4 11 25
2017-10-04	13	3rd	10 13 25
2017-09-21	9	3rd	17 21 25
2017-09-12	9	3rd	13 17 25
2017-09-03	1	3rd	10 22 25
2017-09-02	26	3rd	1 11 25
2017-08-07	2	3rd	8 8 25
2017-08-05	14	2nd	14 25 26
2017-07-22	32	3rd	6 8 25
2017-06-20	18	3rd	7 20 25
2017-06-02	7	3rd	3 16 25
2017-05-26	4	3rd	3 13 25
2017-05-22	9	3rd	4 5 25
2017-05-13	16	3rd	15 23 25
2017-04-27	9	3rd	8 10 25
2017-04-18	16	3rd	4 13 25
2017-04-02	1	3rd	2 9 25
2017-04-01	6	3rd	2 9 25
2017-03-26	21	3rd	16 18 25
2017-03-05	29	3rd	5 11 25
2017-02-04	15	3rd	7 17 25
2017-01-20	4	3rd	5 21 25
2017-01-16	7	3rd	2 11 25
2017-01-09	7	3rd	11 14 25
2017-01-02	2	3rd	11 15 25
2016-12-31	1	3rd	4 9 25
2016-12-30	5	3rd	2 22 25
2016-12-25	18	3rd	11 22 25
2016-12-07	3	3rd	6 16 25
2016-12-04	7	3rd	4 20 25
2016-11-27	2	3rd	7 8 25
2016-11-25	5	3rd	2 18 25
2016-11-20	—	3rd	8 23 25