Number 23

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

139times drawn · chance expected 204 −4.84σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number

12.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

101longest completed wait · 0.1% chance of one at least that long

23 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 26

Drawn 139 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −4.84σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 139 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 12.7 draws · longest completed wait 101 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.4
2nd smallest14 · chance 30.6
3rd smallest124 · chance 107.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 5 6 9 3 8

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-03	13	3rd	16 20 23
2022-08-21	9	3rd	10 10 23
2022-08-12	3	3rd	4 12 23
2022-08-09	4	3rd	2 3 23
2022-08-05	1	3rd	4 13 23
2022-08-04	2	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-01-22	16	3rd	1 8 23
2022-01-06	16	3rd	1 19 23
2021-12-21	1	3rd	1 8 23
2021-12-20	8	3rd	11 17 23
2021-12-12	5	3rd	3 15 23
2021-12-07	1	3rd	10 13 23
2021-12-06	60	3rd	16 22 23
2021-10-07	16	2nd	11 23 26
2021-09-21	6	3rd	5 10 23
2021-09-15	2	3rd	4 12 23
2021-09-13	2	3rd	16 20 23
2021-09-11	40	3rd	2 5 23
2021-08-02	11	3rd	1 5 23
2021-07-22	6	3rd	14 21 23
2021-07-16	12	3rd	8 9 23
2021-07-04	20	3rd	5 9 23
2021-06-14	8	3rd	18 19 23
2021-06-06	29	3rd	8 21 23
2021-05-08	3	3rd	9 13 23
2021-05-05	11	3rd	2 13 23
2021-04-24	1	3rd	4 7 23
2021-04-23	11	3rd	1 18 23
2021-04-12	11	3rd	1 3 23
2021-04-01	23	3rd	6 15 23
2021-03-09	30	3rd	9 17 23
2021-02-07	5	3rd	1 6 23
2021-02-02	4	2nd	14 23 26
2021-01-29	8	3rd	2 5 23
2021-01-21	15	3rd	8 10 23
2021-01-06	1	3rd	5 16 23
2021-01-05	14	3rd	2 13 23
2020-12-22	13	3rd	2 11 23
2020-12-09	19	3rd	2 18 23
2020-11-20	10	3rd	7 14 23
2020-11-10	1	3rd	8 18 23
2020-11-09	1	2nd	1 23 25
2020-11-08	1	3rd	6 9 23
2020-11-07	53	2nd	18 23 24
2020-09-15	4	3rd	5 5 23
2020-09-11	1	3rd	5 12 23
2020-09-10	8	3rd	17 21 23
2020-09-02	30	3rd	1 19 23
2020-08-03	13	3rd	4 19 23
2020-07-21	5	3rd	1 6 23
2020-07-16	13	3rd	5 12 23
2020-07-03	3	3rd	2 21 23
2020-06-30	46	3rd	9 19 23
2020-05-15	8	3rd	1 8 23
2020-05-07	4	3rd	14 15 23
2020-05-03	37	3rd	3 9 23
2020-03-27	9	3rd	6 21 23
2020-03-18	5	3rd	1 12 23
2020-03-13	1	3rd	7 16 23
2020-03-12	1	3rd	10 22 23
2020-03-11	2	3rd	1 7 23
2020-03-09	4	3rd	15 22 23
2020-03-05	31	3rd	1 22 23
2020-02-03	2	3rd	2 13 23
2020-02-01	9	3rd	9 22 23
2020-01-23	15	3rd	5 9 23
2020-01-08	13	3rd	7 21 23
2019-12-26	1	3rd	6 9 23
2019-12-25	21	3rd	1 4 23
2019-12-04	1	1st	23 24 25
2019-12-03	27	3rd	3 16 23
2019-11-06	73	2nd	6 23 24
2019-08-25	5	3rd	20 20 23
2019-08-20	5	3rd	3 5 23
2019-08-15	1	2nd	13 23 26
2019-08-14	6	3rd	5 20 23
2019-08-08	2	3rd	9 15 23
2019-08-06	1	3rd	4 21 23
2019-08-05	11	3rd	8 12 23
2019-07-25	8	2nd	8 23 24
2019-07-17	16	3rd	6 20 23
2019-07-01	6	3rd	12 21 23
2019-06-25	101	3rd	1 1 23
2019-03-16	9	3rd	3 16 23
2019-03-07	31	3rd	3 7 23
2019-02-04	2	3rd	2 16 23
2019-02-02	30	3rd	6 15 23
2019-01-03	7	3rd	9 22 23
2017-12-27	9	3rd	7 14 23
2017-12-18	10	3rd	8 18 23
2017-12-08	12	3rd	1 11 23
2017-11-26	7	3rd	10 18 23
2017-11-19	7	3rd	3 7 23
2017-11-12	11	2nd	6 23 24
2017-11-01	1	3rd	22 22 23
2017-10-31	35	3rd	11 22 23
2017-09-26	22	3rd	7 14 23
2017-09-04	34	3rd	3 5 23
2017-08-01	9	3rd	6 17 23
2017-07-23	44	3rd	6 11 23
2017-06-09	27	3rd	9 18 23
2017-05-13	2	2nd	15 23 25
2017-05-11	19	3rd	6 9 23
2017-04-22	30	3rd	1 18 23
2017-03-23	8	3rd	8 22 23
2017-03-15	24	3rd	6 10 23
2017-02-19	3	3rd	7 15 23
2017-02-16	23	3rd	5 8 23
2017-01-24	1	3rd	2 17 23
2017-01-23	12	3rd	6 22 23
2017-01-11	1	3rd	5 6 23
2017-01-10	2	3rd	3 3 23
2017-01-08	5	3rd	8 10 23
2017-01-03	5	3rd	5 7 23
2016-12-29	8	3rd	11 12 23
2016-12-21	1	3rd	1 21 23
2016-12-20	12	2nd	2 23 26
2016-12-08	8	3rd	9 10 23
2016-11-30	4	3rd	15 20 23
2016-11-26	6	3rd	4 11 23
2016-11-20	—	2nd	8 23 25