Number 26

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

139times drawn · chance expected 204 −4.84σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

12.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

61longest completed wait · 8% chance of one at least that long

26 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 26

Drawn 139 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −4.84σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.

Number 26, draw by draw

Drawn 139 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 12.5 draws · longest completed wait 61 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest139 · chance 139.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 3 1 2 6 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-09	29	3rd	3 11 26
2022-08-11	47	3rd	12 20 26
2022-06-25	10	3rd	15 22 26
2022-06-15	14	3rd	10 13 26
2022-06-01	3	3rd	7 10 26
2022-05-29	2	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-12-15	34	3rd	1 8 26
2021-11-11	29	3rd	6 9 26
2021-10-13	6	3rd	3 19 26
2021-10-07	18	3rd	11 23 26
2021-09-19	22	3rd	3 5 26
2021-08-28	13	3rd	1 24 26
2021-08-15	29	3rd	9 17 26
2021-07-17	23	3rd	13 24 26
2021-06-24	13	3rd	2 14 26
2021-06-11	3	3rd	11 19 26
2021-06-08	1	3rd	1 10 26
2021-06-07	18	3rd	1 15 26
2021-05-20	61	3rd	10 20 26
2021-03-20	6	3rd	1 11 26
2021-03-14	7	3rd	3 20 26
2021-03-07	4	3rd	2 3 26
2021-03-03	8	3rd	5 11 26
2021-02-23	5	3rd	5 14 26
2021-02-18	16	3rd	11 12 26
2021-02-02	5	3rd	14 23 26
2021-01-28	15	3rd	6 20 26
2021-01-13	4	3rd	8 10 26
2021-01-09	6	3rd	12 13 26
2021-01-03	3	3rd	9 11 26
2020-12-31	26	3rd	10 20 26
2020-12-05	5	3rd	3 20 26
2020-11-30	11	3rd	1 17 26
2020-11-19	4	3rd	2 11 26
2020-11-15	9	3rd	5 11 26
2020-11-06	16	3rd	1 10 26
2020-10-21	3	3rd	18 22 26
2020-10-18	55	3rd	5 20 26
2020-08-24	16	3rd	5 18 26
2020-08-08	4	3rd	3 5 26
2020-08-04	2	3rd	2 7 26
2020-08-02	3	3rd	7 10 26
2020-07-30	20	3rd	16 19 26
2020-07-10	9	3rd	4 5 26
2020-07-01	18	3rd	8 11 26
2020-06-13	14	3rd	9 13 26
2020-05-30	10	3rd	7 13 26
2020-05-20	3	3rd	6 25 26
2020-05-17	8	3rd	11 17 26
2020-05-09	4	3rd	7 7 26
2020-05-05	3	3rd	6 14 26
2020-05-02	32	3rd	15 15 26
2020-03-31	3	3rd	11 25 26
2020-03-28	8	3rd	1 12 26
2020-03-20	25	3rd	8 15 26
2020-02-24	17	3rd	10 11 26
2020-02-07	13	3rd	5 7 26
2020-01-25	9	3rd	1 5 26
2020-01-16	7	3rd	2 16 26
2020-01-09	3	3rd	6 7 26
2020-01-06	6	3rd	6 11 26
2019-12-31	29	3rd	13 24 26
2019-12-02	3	3rd	3 4 26
2019-11-29	3	3rd	3 18 26
2019-11-26	9	3rd	4 15 26
2019-11-17	5	3rd	1 12 26
2019-11-12	8	3rd	6 10 26
2019-11-04	4	3rd	8 22 26
2019-10-31	12	3rd	1 12 26
2019-10-19	26	3rd	10 12 26
2019-09-23	10	3rd	7 24 26
2019-09-13	13	3rd	3 18 26
2019-08-31	16	3rd	6 8 26
2019-08-15	20	3rd	13 23 26
2019-07-26	28	3rd	5 19 26
2019-06-28	25	3rd	4 22 26
2019-06-03	2	3rd	14 14 26
2019-06-01	5	3rd	3 17 26
2019-05-27	17	3rd	9 14 26
2019-05-10	16	3rd	11 15 26
2019-04-24	2	3rd	17 22 26
2019-04-22	12	3rd	8 15 26
2019-04-10	3	3rd	1 15 26
2019-04-07	49	3rd	5 18 26
2019-02-17	19	3rd	15 16 26
2019-01-29	3	3rd	2 10 26
2019-01-26	3	3rd	11 17 26
2019-01-23	4	3rd	16 25 26
2019-01-19	13	3rd	4 10 26
2019-01-06	6	3rd	12 12 26
2017-12-31	8	3rd	6 19 26
2017-12-23	3	3rd	9 19 26
2017-12-20	22	3rd	1 16 26
2017-11-28	10	3rd	1 12 26
2017-11-18	11	3rd	7 11 26
2017-11-07	8	3rd	2 3 26
2017-10-30	4	3rd	16 25 26
2017-10-26	6	3rd	6 13 26
2017-10-20	8	3rd	6 11 26
2017-10-12	23	3rd	2 18 26
2017-09-19	18	3rd	2 14 26
2017-09-01	19	3rd	3 9 26
2017-08-13	8	3rd	1 7 26
2017-08-05	11	3rd	14 25 26
2017-07-25	16	3rd	6 9 26
2017-07-09	25	3rd	11 19 26
2017-06-14	10	3rd	1 3 26
2017-06-04	6	3rd	11 16 26
2017-05-29	10	3rd	1 20 26
2017-05-19	24	3rd	8 9 26
2017-04-25	28	3rd	3 17 26
2017-03-28	4	3rd	14 15 26
2017-03-24	8	3rd	8 11 26
2017-03-16	5	3rd	11 18 26
2017-03-11	39	3rd	7 19 26
2017-01-31	1	3rd	14 20 26
2017-01-30	2	3rd	12 12 26
2017-01-28	9	3rd	3 13 26
2017-01-19	24	3rd	2 8 26
2016-12-26	6	3rd	7 9 26
2016-12-20	—	3rd	2 23 26