Number 12

In 2by2 under the 3/26 · Nov 2016 – Sep 2022 rules — 1,768 draws, 3 from 1–26 (an earlier era).

187times drawn · chance expected 204 −1.27σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

47longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 187 times in 1,768 draws against 204.0 expected, −1.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 187 times in 1,768 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest39 · chance 56.7
2nd smallest104 · chance 96.0
3rd smallest44 · chance 34.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 3 4 8 11 19

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-09-18	13	2nd	6 12 16
2022-09-04	5	3rd	3 8 12
2022-08-30	11	2nd	3 12 16
2022-08-19	3	2nd	1 12 25
2022-08-16	1	3rd	5 7 12
2022-08-15	3	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 3/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-03-11	15	2nd	8 12 15
2022-02-24	7	2nd	5 12 25
2022-02-17	4	3rd	4 6 12
2022-02-13	5	2nd	11 12 22
2022-02-08	12	2nd	8 12 22
2022-01-27	23	1st	12 24 26
2022-01-04	9	1st	12 15 24
2021-12-26	16	2nd	2 12 24
2021-12-10	25	3rd	6 9 12
2021-11-15	24	2nd	11 12 14
2021-10-22	6	2nd	1 12 21
2021-10-16	17	2nd	8 12 16
2021-09-29	4	2nd	3 12 25
2021-09-25	5	3rd	1 3 12
2021-09-20	4	2nd	7 12 17
2021-09-16	1	1st	12 19 22
2021-09-15	14	2nd	4 12 23
2021-09-01	0	2nd	7 12
2021-09-01	1	2nd	7 12
2021-08-31	2	2nd	4 12 15
2021-08-29	3	1st	12 18 19
2021-08-26	3	2nd	2 12 16
2021-08-23	47	3rd	2 6 12
2021-07-07	2	2nd	8 12 15
2021-07-05	26	3rd	4 10 12
2021-06-09	14	3rd	1 8 12
2021-05-26	5	3rd	2 10 12
2021-05-21	10	2nd	7 12 15
2021-05-11	15	2nd	6 12 24
2021-04-26	15	2nd	8 12 17
2021-04-11	1	2nd	1 12 16
2021-04-10	3	2nd	3 12 14
2021-04-07	10	2nd	8 12 17
2021-03-28	15	2nd	4 12 18
2021-03-13	23	2nd	8 12 18
2021-02-18	1	2nd	11 12 26
2021-02-17	5	2nd	11 12 17
2021-02-12	6	1st	12 14 16
2021-02-06	21	2nd	9 12 16
2021-01-16	7	3rd	4 6 12
2021-01-09	5	1st	12 13 26
2021-01-04	11	2nd	8 12 13
2020-12-24	4	2nd	7 12 18
2020-12-20	8	3rd	3 4 12
2020-12-12	6	2nd	9 12 21
2020-12-06	20	2nd	8 12 14
2020-11-16	4	2nd	2 12 21
2020-11-12	27	2nd	3 12 17
2020-10-16	7	1st	12 14 18
2020-10-09	2	1st	12 13 24
2020-10-07	6	2nd	11 12 16
2020-10-01	14	1st	12 17 20
2020-09-17	6	2nd	1 12 14
2020-09-11	8	2nd	5 12 23
2020-09-03	6	2nd	9 12 22
2020-08-28	7	3rd	5 11 12
2020-08-21	1	2nd	3 12 15
2020-08-20	19	3rd	2 9 12
2020-08-01	15	2nd	11 12 19
2020-07-17	1	2nd	11 12 19
2020-07-16	9	2nd	5 12 23
2020-07-07	25	2nd	7 12 14
2020-06-12	2	3rd	4 6 12
2020-06-10	7	3rd	10 10 12
2020-06-03	18	2nd	3 12 14
2020-05-16	2	2nd	5 12 19
2020-05-14	1	2nd	1 12 21
2020-05-13	15	2nd	8 12 22
2020-04-28	4	2nd	1 12 21
2020-04-24	14	2nd	3 12 15
2020-04-10	13	1st	12 13 22
2020-03-28	10	2nd	1 12 26
2020-03-18	14	2nd	1 12 23
2020-03-04	8	3rd	1 9 12
2020-02-25	17	1st	12 19 22
2020-02-08	3	3rd	3 5 12
2020-02-05	18	2nd	6 12 20
2020-01-18	13	2nd	7 12 22
2020-01-05	2	2nd	10 12 18
2020-01-03	4	3rd	6 11 12
2019-12-30	7	3rd	3 9 12
2019-12-23	14	2nd	5 12 17
2019-12-09	22	1st	12 15 17
2019-11-17	6	2nd	1 12 26
2019-11-11	11	3rd	5 10 12
2019-10-31	3	2nd	1 12 26
2019-10-28	9	2nd	7 12 18
2019-10-19	2	2nd	10 12 26
2019-10-17	1	3rd	3 4 12
2019-10-16	3	2nd	3 12 13
2019-10-13	29	3rd	3 5 12
2019-09-14	15	1st	12 14 19
2019-08-30	4	1st	12 14 19
2019-08-26	21	3rd	1 6 12
2019-08-05	9	2nd	8 12 23
2019-07-27	6	3rd	3 4 12
2019-07-21	20	2nd	11 12 16
2019-07-01	13	1st	12 21 23
2019-06-18	6	2nd	4 12 17
2019-06-12	17	3rd	4 11 12
2019-05-26	18	2nd	8 12 21
2019-05-08	5	2nd	4 12 24
2019-05-03	8	3rd	3 9 12
2019-04-25	4	3rd	6 11 12
2019-04-21	15	1st	12 18 25
2019-04-06	8	3rd	4 5 12
2019-03-29	2	2nd	5 12 21
2019-03-27	2	2nd	11 12 24
2019-03-25	4	3rd	1 9 12
2019-03-21	6	2nd	2 12 22
2019-03-15	12	2nd	8 12 20
2019-03-03	10	2nd	1 12 14
2019-02-21	1	2nd	6 12 15
2019-02-20	9	3rd	1 8 12
2019-02-11	18	1st	12 19 24
2019-01-24	16	2nd	2 12 24
2019-01-08	2	2nd	2 12 24
2019-01-06	0	1st	12 26
2019-01-06	1	1st	12 26
2019-01-05	23	1st	12 16 22
2017-12-13	4	1st	12 22 25
2017-12-09	11	2nd	2 12 16
2017-11-28	13	2nd	1 12 26
2017-11-15	4	2nd	10 12 19
2017-11-11	7	3rd	1 11 12
2017-11-04	14	2nd	10 12 21
2017-10-21	7	2nd	4 12 16
2017-10-14	20	2nd	11 12 19
2017-09-24	1	3rd	8 11 12
2017-09-23	1	1st	12 15 19
2017-09-22	8	3rd	7 11 12
2017-09-14	18	3rd	1 4 12
2017-08-27	6	2nd	6 12 21
2017-08-21	5	2nd	2 12 17
2017-08-16	1	1st	12 18 18
2017-08-15	1	2nd	3 12 21
2017-08-14	8	3rd	9 9 12
2017-08-06	27	2nd	3 12 18
2017-07-10	0	1st	12 19
2017-07-10	5	1st	12 19
2017-07-05	6	2nd	5 12 17
2017-06-29	5	1st	12 21 24
2017-06-24	2	1st	12 15 18
2017-06-22	0	1st	12 19
2017-06-22	3	1st	12 19
2017-06-19	12	1st	12 20 22
2017-06-07	36	1st	12 13 21
2017-05-02	19	3rd	2 4 12
2017-04-13	4	1st	12 14 21
2017-04-09	13	2nd	5 12 21
2017-03-27	21	2nd	10 12 16
2017-03-06	2	2nd	4 12 15
2017-03-04	12	2nd	7 12 18
2017-02-20	17	3rd	5 7 12
2017-02-03	4	2nd	3 12 19
2017-01-30	0	1st	12 26
2017-01-30	3	1st	12 26
2017-01-27	2	2nd	10 12 14
2017-01-25	27	2nd	3 12 19
2016-12-29	1	2nd	11 12 23
2016-12-28	12	3rd	5 9 12
2016-12-16	1	3rd	6 7 12
2016-12-15	—	1st	12 13 19