Number 13

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

159times drawn · chance expected 153 +0.49σ

12draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

45longest completed wait · 40% chance of one at least that long

13 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 159 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, +0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 13, draw by draw

Drawn 159 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 12 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 13 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest27 · chance 35.6
2nd smallest72 · chance 68.4
3rd smallest50 · chance 43.4
4th smallest9 · chance 10.7
5th smallest1 · chance 0.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 19 2 4 6 18

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 13 is picked about 0.92× as often as an indifferent choice — 31st most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
The number 13, in Western markets ×0.75

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 13 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-03-12	11	3rd	3 8 13 33 38
2022-02-02	11	3rd	2 5 13 19 31
2021-12-25	2	3rd	4 8 13 17 36
2021-12-18	20	2nd	6

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 13 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-06-03	4	3rd	4 11 13 32 34
2020-05-20	4	3rd	2 10 13 35 41
2020-05-06	1	2nd	7 13 14 24 32
2020-05-02	7	2nd	1 13 15 28 33
2020-04-08	4	1st	13 31 33 38 40
2020-03-25	1	2nd	7 13 14 31 39
2020-03-21	11	2nd	8 13 26 29 41
2020-02-12	4	3rd	8 10 13 18 25
2020-01-29	18	2nd	12 13 18 21 33
2019-11-27	9	2nd	1 13 26 35 39
2019-10-26	8	2nd	5 13 23 37 38
2019-09-28	3	2nd	4 13 18 27 30
2019-09-18	5	2nd	4 13 22 34 38
2019-08-31	4	2nd	10 13 15 17 23
2019-08-17	27	3rd	4 10 13 20 41
2019-05-15	14	2nd	6 13 14 21 40
2019-03-27	9	2nd	6 13 15 34 37
2019-02-23	11	1st	13 16 27 34 36
2019-01-16	17	1st	13 15 25 37 38
2018-11-17	3	3rd	7 8 13 22 25
2018-11-07	8	1st	13 16 22 26 27
2018-10-10	2	2nd	8 13 24 32 40
2018-10-03	6	3rd	1 3 13 16 26
2018-09-12	2	2nd	1 13 23 33 40
2018-09-05	2	1st	13 20 27 33 38
2018-08-29	7	2nd	5 13 18 35 41
2018-08-04	3	1st	13 20 32 33 37
2018-07-25	12	2nd	11 13 32 39 41
2018-06-13	2	1st	13 15 20 26 33
2018-06-06	7	4th	4 5 12 13 39
2018-05-12	5	3rd	3 6 13 33 37
2018-04-25	32	1st	13 17 19 30 35
2018-01-03	5	2nd	7 13 23 31 40
2017-12-16	1	2nd	6 13 19 31 37
2017-12-13	6	2nd	10 13 19 24 31
2017-11-22	13	3rd	2 3 13 32 34
2017-10-07	2	1st	13 26 35 37 39
2017-09-30	3	2nd	9 13 17 29 33
2017-09-20	3	3rd	4 11 13 18 30
2017-09-09	1	3rd	3 8 13 16 25
2017-09-06	13	2nd	2 13 17 19 34
2017-07-22	2	2nd	9 13 15 21 35
2017-07-15	4	3rd	3 10 13 36 37
2017-07-01	5	3rd	2 7 13 31 32
2017-06-14	9	3rd	2 8 13 33 39
2017-05-13	15	2nd	7 13 17 19 28
2017-03-22	11	4th	5 7 11 13 17
2017-02-11	7	2nd	9 13 22 33 37
2017-01-18	18	2nd	1 13 26 30 40
2016-11-16	10	3rd	11 12 13 19 41
2016-10-12	2	2nd	8 13 18 19 32
2016-10-05	1	2nd	6 13 20 23 24
2016-10-01	2	1st	13 21 28 29 39
2016-09-24	5	1st	13 24 26 37 39
2016-09-07	23	2nd	2 13 15 28 33
2016-06-18	3	3rd	2 3 13 15 20
2016-06-08	9	2nd	11 13 20 21 28
2016-05-07	21	3rd	1 12 13 22 38
2016-02-24	2	2nd	10 13 15 17 22
2016-02-17	7	4th	3 4 11 13 17
2016-01-23	5	3rd	4 9 13 27 33
2016-01-06	10	3rd	4 5 13 26 34
2015-12-02	4	2nd	2 13 14 22 30
2015-11-18	22	2nd	8 13 19 39 41
2015-09-02	26	1st	13 27 30 32 37
2015-06-03	16	2nd	9 13 27 33 38
2015-04-08	5	4th	4 7 10 13 38
2015-03-21	4	2nd	10 13 20 38 40
2015-03-07	3	3rd	8 9 13 15 26
2015-02-25	7	2nd	3 13 14 32 33
2015-01-31	8	3rd	3 5 13 18 41
2015-01-03	3	2nd	3 13 22 28 41
2014-12-24	8	3rd	2 6 13 39 40
2014-11-26	45	4th	4 6 9 13 14
2014-06-21	3	1st	13 14 23 36 41
2014-06-11	14	2nd	5 13 14 22 37
2014-04-23	14	3rd	4 10 13 27 37
2014-03-05	32	2nd	2 13 25 31 37
2013-11-13	6	1st	13 16 19 34 35
2013-10-23	3	2nd	3 13 18 24 25
2013-10-12	6	1st	13 15 20 25 37
2013-09-21	2	2nd	3 13 19 25 41
2013-09-14	17	1st	13 17 18 23 35
2013-07-17	5	3rd	5 8 13 22 35
2013-06-29	7	2nd	10 13 15 18 36
2013-06-05	1	5th	7 8 9 10 13
2013-06-01	29	1st	13 18 21 22 25
2013-02-20	7	3rd	4 6 13 14 41
2013-01-26	1	3rd	5 12 13 19 40
2013-01-23	3	2nd	7 13 17 18 28
2013-01-12	20	1st	13 23 24 29 35
2012-11-03	1	2nd	7 13 21 22 30
2012-10-31	3	3rd	7 9 13 14 31
2012-10-20	2	3rd	1 9 13 23 28
2012-10-13	1	3rd	4 10 13 19 23
2012-10-10	11	3rd	3 9 13 28 31
2012-09-01	7	4th	2 4 8 13 19
2012-08-04	1	3rd	3 6 13 19 33
2012-08-01	7	2nd	3 13 24 25 28
2012-07-07	3	2nd	2 13 25 30 32
2012-06-27	1	3rd	1 7 13 32 39
2012-06-23	7	2nd	12 13 24 26 27
2012-05-30	4	1st	13 18 23 33 37
2012-05-16	5	2nd	1 13 26 30 36
2012-04-28	1	2nd	6 13 18 29 40
2012-04-25	5	2nd	5 13 22 25 26
2012-04-07	9	3rd	4 6 13 21 36
2012-03-07	3	4th	4 6 7 13 18
2012-02-25	10	2nd	3 13 19 21 26
2012-01-21	1	1st	13 19 23 27 40
2012-01-18	11	1st	13 17 18 19 26
2011-12-10	2	2nd	7 13 18 22 34
2011-12-03	28	2nd	6 13 21 23 41
2011-08-27	3	2nd	4 13 21 24 36
2011-08-17	13	3rd	2 12 13 16 39
2011-07-02	6	3rd	3 8 13 28 32
2011-06-11	6	2nd	3 13 21 35 40
2011-05-21	6	2nd	3 13 21 22 40
2011-04-30	1	2nd	10 13 23 29 32
2011-04-27	15	3rd	1 9 13 19 25
2011-03-05	10	2nd	6 13 22 24 27
2011-01-29	7	1st	13 31 36 40 41
2011-01-05	1	2nd	12 13 25 28 35
2011-01-01	3	2nd	12 13 24 28 38
2010-12-22	3	3rd	7 11 13 24 31
2010-12-11	1	3rd	1 12 13 29 40
2010-12-08	10	3rd	2 6 13 15 35
2010-11-03	6	2nd	2 13 15 22 27
2010-10-13	21	2nd	3 13 20 27 34
2010-07-31	1	1st	13 19 26 31 32
2010-07-28	11	1st	13 30 31 34 41
2010-06-19	1	2nd	2 13 24 25 27
2010-06-16	2	3rd	1 5 13 22 38
2010-06-09	7	3rd	1 3 13 27 32
2010-05-15	—	3rd	2 9 13 26 37