Number 24

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

139times drawn · chance expected 153 −1.23σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

50longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

24 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 139 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, −1.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 24, draw by draw

Drawn 139 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 3.6
2nd smallest24 · chance 23.8
3rd smallest52 · chance 52.3
4th smallest46 · chance 45.8
5th smallest11 · chance 13.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 7 26 27 38 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-09	15	3rd	9 21 24 26 37
2022-02-16	3	4th	7 8 19 24 41
2022-02-05	4	3rd	16 21 24 27 34
2022-01-22	7	4th	2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-05-06	4	4th	7 13 14 24 32
2020-04-22	14	4th	7 17 20 24 26
2020-03-04	1	3rd	12 22 24 25 27
2020-02-29	11	3rd	6 21 24 32 35
2020-01-22	6	1st	24 26 32 40 41
2020-01-01	16	4th	4 7 9 24 27
2019-11-06	4	2nd	9 24 29 38 39
2019-10-23	4	4th	3 12 23 24 29
2019-10-09	1	3rd	6 20 24 25 41
2019-10-05	7	3rd	7 16 24 27 38
2019-09-11	6	1st	24 32 33 37 40
2019-08-21	21	1st	24 25 28 35 36
2019-06-08	19	2nd	7 24 26 31 40
2019-04-03	14	3rd	3 4 24 28 38
2019-02-13	13	3rd	3 15 24 26 32
2018-12-29	23	3rd	1 11 24 37 39
2018-10-10	9	3rd	8 13 24 32 40
2018-09-08	16	3rd	8 16 24 40 41
2018-07-14	3	3rd	14 19 24 32 33
2018-07-04	1	2nd	3 24 32 34 35
2018-06-30	11	3rd	10 18 24 38 41
2018-05-23	22	4th	5 8 23 24 39
2018-03-07	19	5th	2 5 7 21 24
2017-12-30	5	3rd	17 20 24 34 37
2017-12-13	25	4th	10 13 19 24 31
2017-09-16	1	3rd	11 17 24 29 35
2017-09-13	38	3rd	16 21 24 25 35
2017-05-03	10	3rd	1 22 24 30 41
2017-03-29	1	4th	3 4 21 24 40
2017-03-25	2	4th	2 4 19 24 32
2017-03-18	12	3rd	5 11 24 27 31
2017-02-04	12	3rd	9 22 24 30 31
2016-12-24	8	4th	1 12 17 24 37
2016-11-26	10	4th	2 5 10 24 29
2016-10-22	5	3rd	14 22 24 31 34
2016-10-05	2	5th	6 13 20 23 24
2016-09-28	1	4th	1 19 21 24 41
2016-09-24	1	2nd	13 24 26 37 39
2016-09-21	10	4th	8 17 22 24 40
2016-08-17	12	2nd	15 24 30 36 38
2016-07-06	10	2nd	23 24 29 34 37
2016-06-01	4	3rd	2 9 24 30 37
2016-05-18	11	3rd	9 22 24 27 30
2016-04-09	50	2nd	14 24 26 34 36
2015-10-17	20	2nd	5 24 26 38 40
2015-08-08	4	2nd	8 24 27 32 34
2015-07-25	5	3rd	4 8 24 26 38
2015-07-08	21	2nd	22 24 28 39 41
2015-04-25	15	3rd	18 22 24 26 28
2015-03-04	14	3rd	2 12 24 37 38
2015-01-14	2	3rd	5 15 24 29 33
2015-01-07	2	5th	4 11 21 23 24
2014-12-31	3	3rd	5 9 24 27 37
2014-12-20	3	4th	7 21 23 24 25
2014-12-10	3	4th	1 5 9 24 40
2014-11-29	8	2nd	4 24 27 28 34
2014-11-01	5	4th	10 11 12 24 39
2014-10-15	5	5th	1 4 5 7 24
2014-09-27	12	3rd	9 12 24 36 37
2014-08-16	2	3rd	7 20 24 25 40
2014-08-09	3	4th	3 12 15 24 26
2014-07-30	13	4th	2 14 17 24 37
2014-06-14	8	3rd	6 23 24 27 39
2014-05-17	3	3rd	8 19 24 26 33
2014-05-07	1	4th	6 20 21 24 41
2014-05-03	1	4th	10 18 19 24 40
2014-04-30	6	5th	7 8 10 11 24
2014-04-09	33	3rd	3 10 24 25 38
2013-12-14	4	2nd	11 24 26 32 40
2013-11-30	4	2nd	2 24 32 38 39
2013-11-16	5	1st	24 26 30 31 39
2013-10-30	2	4th	10 11 16 24 38
2013-10-23	31	4th	3 13 18 24 25
2013-07-06	1	3rd	10 16 24 29 37
2013-07-03	3	1st	24 25 27 33 41
2013-06-22	7	2nd	20 24 25 26 27
2013-05-29	9	5th	4 7 10 15 24
2013-04-27	3	5th	7 10 18 19 24
2013-04-17	2	3rd	10 21 24 27 41
2013-04-10	8	2nd	21 24 31 33 41
2013-03-13	17	4th	12 19 21 24 30
2013-01-12	28	3rd	13 23 24 29 35
2012-10-06	5	3rd	14 21 24 37 38
2012-09-19	1	2nd	7 24 33 34 40
2012-09-15	12	4th	6 7 21 24 39
2012-08-01	2	3rd	3 13 24 25 28
2012-07-25	4	3rd	7 16 24 30 38
2012-07-11	2	2nd	20 24 32 36 38
2012-07-04	3	4th	4 18 22 24 38
2012-06-23	1	3rd	12 13 24 26 27
2012-06-20	1	4th	5 9 21 24 34
2012-06-16	8	4th	14 17 19 24 40
2012-05-19	32	4th	5 10 21 24 37
2012-01-28	6	3rd	1 16 24 25 39
2012-01-07	14	4th	19 22 23 24 35
2011-11-19	12	3rd	7 22 24 26 36
2011-10-08	12	3rd	8 9 24 28 30
2011-08-27	6	4th	4 13 21 24 36
2011-08-06	4	4th	4 18 21 24 28
2011-07-23	27	4th	1 9 21 24 37
2011-04-20	1	4th	3 8 14 24 39
2011-04-16	12	2nd	20 24 26 27 36
2011-03-05	18	4th	6 13 22 24 27
2011-01-01	3	3rd	12 13 24 28 38
2010-12-22	24	4th	7 11 13 24 31
2010-09-29	2	4th	6 12 19 24 28
2010-09-22	5	3rd	3 23 24 32 39
2010-09-04	2	4th	10 15 17 24 36
2010-08-28	2	3rd	2 21 24 27 34
2010-08-21	3	5th	6 10 16 21 24
2010-08-11	7	2nd	11 24 27 29 30
2010-07-17	8	5th	1 4 19 22 24
2010-06-19	14	3rd	2 13 24 25 27
2010-05-01	3	4th	7 21 23 24 25
2010-04-21	—	5th	5 11 17 22 24