Number 26

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

164times drawn · chance expected 153 +0.92σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

36longest completed wait · 82% chance of one at least that long

26 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 164 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, +0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 26, draw by draw

Drawn 164 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 2.4
2nd smallest21 · chance 20.4
3rd smallest53 · chance 56.5
4th smallest63 · chance 61.9
5th smallest27 · chance 22.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 31 12 14 17 20

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-16	2	3rd	2 7 26 38 41
2022-04-09	24	4th	9 21 24 26 37
2022-01-15	1	5th	3 10 11 12 26
2022-01-12	3	3rd	3

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-04-22	9	5th	7 17 20 24 26
2020-03-21	3	3rd	8 13 26 29 41
2020-03-11	14	4th	11 12 21 26 38
2020-01-22	3	2nd	24 26 32 40 41
2020-01-11	8	4th	5 17 22 26 33
2019-12-14	5	4th	9 15 17 26 27
2019-11-27	12	3rd	1 13 26 35 39
2019-10-16	9	3rd	3 21 26 33 35
2019-09-14	5	2nd	7 26 35 36 41
2019-08-28	7	3rd	2 17 26 31 37
2019-08-03	8	5th	1 4 6 25 26
2019-07-06	3	4th	3 6 17 26 32
2019-06-26	5	3rd	2 6 26 29 30
2019-06-08	6	3rd	7 24 26 31 40
2019-05-18	14	4th	12 16 18 26 32
2019-03-30	13	5th	2 5 18 19 26
2019-02-13	2	4th	3 15 24 26 32
2019-02-06	15	2nd	18 26 29 31 33
2018-12-15	6	2nd	16 26 28 29 30
2018-11-24	5	4th	11 14 25 26 40
2018-11-07	7	4th	13 16 22 26 27
2018-10-13	3	4th	3 17 21 26 39
2018-10-03	9	5th	1 3 13 16 26
2018-09-01	3	4th	4 12 21 26 36
2018-08-22	7	4th	7 17 21 26 34
2018-07-28	5	3rd	6 19 26 28 41
2018-07-11	8	4th	10 14 20 26 36
2018-06-13	10	4th	13 15 20 26 33
2018-05-09	3	3rd	1 7 26 31 34
2018-04-28	4	4th	10 16 18 26 31
2018-04-14	2	5th	6 7 8 10 26
2018-04-07	36	3rd	3 23 26 27 29
2017-12-02	7	2nd	4 26 29 37 38
2017-11-08	2	4th	12 19 21 26 39
2017-11-01	7	3rd	17 19 26 27 36
2017-10-07	27	2nd	13 26 35 37 39
2017-07-05	2	4th	5 6 11 26 33
2017-06-28	23	2nd	4 26 27 30 31
2017-04-08	1	4th	12 15 18 26 37
2017-04-05	8	2nd	14 26 29 31 34
2017-03-08	2	4th	1 3 8 26 33
2017-03-01	12	4th	3 6 20 26 34
2017-01-18	17	3rd	1 13 26 30 40
2016-11-19	9	4th	10 16 18 26 40
2016-10-19	3	3rd	12 15 26 28 31
2016-10-08	4	4th	15 16 19 26 40
2016-09-24	4	3rd	13 24 26 37 39
2016-09-10	3	5th	17 18 21 23 26
2016-08-31	18	5th	3 16 21 25 26
2016-06-29	20	3rd	12 23 26 27 41
2016-04-20	3	3rd	14 18 26 35 37
2016-04-09	17	3rd	14 24 26 34 36
2016-02-10	10	3rd	3 7 26 31 41
2016-01-06	19	4th	4 5 13 26 34
2015-10-31	1	4th	9 12 17 26 38
2015-10-28	1	4th	4 14 20 26 30
2015-10-24	2	3rd	17 20 26 27 29
2015-10-17	4	3rd	5 24 26 38 40
2015-10-03	7	2nd	10 26 29 32 40
2015-09-09	12	5th	4 7 19 22 26
2015-07-29	1	4th	8 12 18 26 33
2015-07-25	2	4th	4 8 24 26 38
2015-07-18	17	4th	14 18 22 26 39
2015-05-20	6	5th	3 5 8 20 26
2015-04-29	1	2nd	21 26 27 28 35
2015-04-25	1	4th	18 22 24 26 28
2015-04-22	13	2nd	16 26 28 30 39
2015-03-07	13	5th	8 9 13 15 26
2015-01-21	3	3rd	10 20 26 34 37
2015-01-10	4	3rd	20 21 26 34 38
2014-12-27	6	3rd	4 6 26 30 40
2014-12-06	8	3rd	5 16 26 29 33
2014-11-08	11	2nd	16 26 27 30 39
2014-10-01	3	3rd	11 21 26 27 30
2014-09-20	4	5th	2 3 5 20 26
2014-09-06	2	3rd	17 19 26 31 38
2014-08-30	3	4th	14 15 22 26 31
2014-08-20	3	5th	5 7 12 22 26
2014-08-09	8	5th	3 12 15 24 26
2014-07-12	3	2nd	10 26 30 40 41
2014-07-02	8	5th	4 18 19 21 26
2014-06-04	5	2nd	2 26 29 30 40
2014-05-17	10	4th	8 19 24 26 33
2014-04-12	8	5th	2 11 17 20 26
2014-03-15	16	2nd	9 26 34 35 41
2014-01-18	10	4th	3 9 10 26 36
2013-12-14	5	3rd	11 24 26 32 40
2013-11-27	3	3rd	15 25 26 31 33
2013-11-16	12	2nd	24 26 30 31 39
2013-10-05	10	4th	4 6 25 26 35
2013-08-31	20	4th	4 10 16 26 33
2013-06-22	14	4th	20 24 25 26 27
2013-05-04	3	5th	10 14 21 22 26
2013-04-24	20	3rd	11 20 26 35 36
2013-02-13	2	4th	2 14 18 26 30
2013-02-06	5	4th	8 20 21 26 31
2013-01-19	8	4th	6 14 15 26 33
2012-12-22	5	3rd	12 25 26 32 35
2012-12-05	12	4th	5 16 23 26 40
2012-10-24	7	5th	3 8 16 23 26
2012-09-29	6	4th	8 14 19 26 36
2012-09-08	21	3rd	15 23 26 30 32
2012-06-23	8	4th	12 13 24 26 27
2012-05-26	3	3rd	7 25 26 35 38
2012-05-16	6	3rd	1 13 26 30 36
2012-04-25	4	5th	5 13 22 25 26
2012-04-11	3	3rd	11 17 26 34 36
2012-03-31	9	3rd	4 19 26 27 36
2012-02-29	1	3rd	1 9 26 35 41
2012-02-25	3	5th	3 13 19 21 26
2012-02-15	1	2nd	14 26 31 33 39
2012-02-11	7	4th	4 6 17 26 32
2012-01-18	17	5th	13 17 18 19 26
2011-11-19	2	4th	7 22 24 26 36
2011-11-12	3	4th	1 8 20 26 35
2011-11-02	3	3rd	2 14 26 31 32
2011-10-22	11	3rd	8 12 26 31 32
2011-09-14	2	4th	19 21 23 26 38
2011-09-07	5	4th	6 12 15 26 38
2011-08-20	3	4th	8 15 20 26 32
2011-08-10	7	2nd	2 26 36 38 40
2011-07-16	1	2nd	2 26 29 32 34
2011-07-13	4	3rd	10 14 26 27 28
2011-06-29	3	4th	8 12 18 26 34
2011-06-18	4	3rd	12 20 26 27 41
2011-06-04	6	5th	6 10 14 17 26
2011-05-14	1	5th	4 5 6 8 26
2011-05-11	5	4th	7 18 21 26 33
2011-04-23	2	2nd	4 26 34 36 41
2011-04-16	9	3rd	20 24 26 27 36
2011-03-16	12	3rd	2 8 26 28 32
2011-02-02	22	4th	7 15 18 26 30
2010-11-17	3	4th	11 17 18 26 41
2010-11-06	4	4th	1 12 19 26 31
2010-10-23	1	5th	9 14 17 23 26
2010-10-20	21	4th	6 12 21 26 33
2010-08-07	2	5th	1 3 20 21 26
2010-07-31	22	3rd	13 19 26 31 32
2010-05-15	3	4th	2 9 13 26 37
2010-05-05	—	3rd	3 17 26 28 35