Megabucks Plus · every number
1
Number 1 In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).
5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 145 times drawn · chance expected 153 −0.71σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number
8.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
67 longest completed wait · 3% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 145 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, −0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1 Number 1, draw by draw Drawn 145 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 67 · waiting 5 draws now
13 draws: 2010-04-24 to 2010-06-09 2 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-16 2 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-06-23 4 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-07-07 3 draws: 2010-07-07 to 2010-07-17 6 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-08-07 5 draws: 2010-08-07 to 2010-08-25 11 draws: 2010-08-25 to 2010-10-02 7 draws: 2010-10-02 to 2010-10-27 3 draws: 2010-10-27 to 2010-11-06 1 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-11-10 3 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2010-11-20 6 draws: 2010-11-20 to 2010-12-11 1 draws: 2010-12-11 to 2010-12-15 3 draws: 2010-12-15 to 2010-12-25 14 draws: 2010-12-25 to 2011-02-12 1 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-02-16 15 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-04-09 5 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-04-27 3 draws: 2011-04-27 to 2011-05-07 3 draws: 2011-05-07 to 2011-05-18 14 draws: 2011-05-18 to 2011-07-06 5 draws: 2011-07-06 to 2011-07-23 19 draws: 2011-07-23 to 2011-09-28 5 draws: 2011-09-28 to 2011-10-15 1 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2011-10-19 7 draws: 2011-10-19 to 2011-11-12 21 draws: 2011-11-12 to 2012-01-25 1 draws: 2012-01-25 to 2012-01-28 9 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-29 7 draws: 2012-02-29 to 2012-03-24 6 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-14 1 draws: 2012-04-14 to 2012-04-18 8 draws: 2012-04-18 to 2012-05-16 12 draws: 2012-05-16 to 2012-06-27 32 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-10-20 11 draws: 2012-10-20 to 2012-11-28 10 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2013-01-02 16 draws: 2013-01-02 to 2013-02-27 9 draws: 2013-02-27 to 2013-03-30 67 draws: 2013-03-30 to 2013-11-20 6 draws: 2013-11-20 to 2013-12-11 9 draws: 2013-12-11 to 2014-01-11 5 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-01-29 1 draws: 2014-01-29 to 2014-02-01 3 draws: 2014-02-01 to 2014-02-12 36 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-06-18 26 draws: 2014-06-18 to 2014-09-17 8 draws: 2014-09-17 to 2014-10-15 8 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-11-12 8 draws: 2014-11-12 to 2014-12-10 32 draws: 2014-12-10 to 2015-04-01 3 draws: 2015-04-01 to 2015-04-11 2 draws: 2015-04-11 to 2015-04-18 6 draws: 2015-04-18 to 2015-05-09 5 draws: 2015-05-09 to 2015-05-27 1 draws: 2015-05-27 to 2015-05-30 21 draws: 2015-05-30 to 2015-08-12 3 draws: 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-22 7 draws: 2015-08-22 to 2015-09-16 15 draws: 2015-09-16 to 2015-11-07 9 draws: 2015-11-07 to 2015-12-09 9 draws: 2015-12-09 to 2016-01-09 15 draws: 2016-01-09 to 2016-03-02 3 draws: 2016-03-02 to 2016-03-12 1 draws: 2016-03-12 to 2016-03-16 3 draws: 2016-03-16 to 2016-03-26 12 draws: 2016-03-26 to 2016-05-07 5 draws: 2016-05-07 to 2016-05-25 1 draws: 2016-05-25 to 2016-05-28 14 draws: 2016-05-28 to 2016-07-16 10 draws: 2016-07-16 to 2016-08-20 4 draws: 2016-08-20 to 2016-09-03 7 draws: 2016-09-03 to 2016-09-28 5 draws: 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-15 3 draws: 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-26 11 draws: 2016-10-26 to 2016-12-03 2 draws: 2016-12-03 to 2016-12-10 1 draws: 2016-12-10 to 2016-12-14 1 draws: 2016-12-14 to 2016-12-17 2 draws: 2016-12-17 to 2016-12-24 1 draws: 2016-12-24 to 2016-12-28 6 draws: 2016-12-28 to 2017-01-18 13 draws: 2017-01-18 to 2017-03-04 1 draws: 2017-03-04 to 2017-03-08 13 draws: 2017-03-08 to 2017-04-22 2 draws: 2017-04-22 to 2017-04-29 1 draws: 2017-04-29 to 2017-05-03 20 draws: 2017-05-03 to 2017-07-12 4 draws: 2017-07-12 to 2017-07-26 18 draws: 2017-07-26 to 2017-09-27 11 draws: 2017-09-27 to 2017-11-04 22 draws: 2017-11-04 to 2018-01-20 1 draws: 2018-01-20 to 2018-01-24 3 draws: 2018-01-24 to 2018-02-03 26 draws: 2018-02-03 to 2018-05-05 1 draws: 2018-05-05 to 2018-05-09 6 draws: 2018-05-09 to 2018-05-30 30 draws: 2018-05-30 to 2018-09-12 6 draws: 2018-09-12 to 2018-10-03 18 draws: 2018-10-03 to 2018-12-05 1 draws: 2018-12-05 to 2018-12-08 3 draws: 2018-12-08 to 2018-12-19 3 draws: 2018-12-19 to 2018-12-29 1 draws: 2018-12-29 to 2019-01-02 16 draws: 2019-01-02 to 2019-02-27 20 draws: 2019-02-27 to 2019-05-08 6 draws: 2019-05-08 to 2019-05-29 12 draws: 2019-05-29 to 2019-07-10 7 draws: 2019-07-10 to 2019-08-03 10 draws: 2019-08-03 to 2019-09-07 20 draws: 2019-09-07 to 2019-11-16 2 draws: 2019-11-16 to 2019-11-23 1 draws: 2019-11-23 to 2019-11-27 2 draws: 2019-11-27 to 2019-12-04 12 draws: 2019-12-04 to 2020-01-15 15 draws: 2020-01-15 to 2020-03-07 8 draws: 2020-03-07 to 2020-04-04 3 draws: 2020-04-04 to 2020-04-15 3 draws: 2020-04-15 to 2020-04-25 2 draws: 2020-04-25 to 2020-05-02 2 draws: 2020-05-02 to 2020-05-09 9 draws: 2020-05-09 to 2020-06-10 4 draws: 2020-06-10 to 2020-06-24 2 draws: 2020-06-24 to 2020-07-01 7 draws: 2020-07-01 to 2020-07-25 1 draws: 2020-07-25 to 2020-07-29 11 draws: 2020-07-29 to 2020-09-05 10 draws: 2020-09-05 to 2020-10-10 13 draws: 2020-10-10 to 2020-11-25 4 draws: 2020-11-25 to 2020-12-09 3 draws: 2020-12-09 to 2020-12-19 22 draws: 2020-12-19 to 2021-03-06 13 draws: 2021-03-06 to 2021-04-21 17 draws: 2021-04-21 to 2021-06-19 5 draws: 2021-06-19 to 2021-07-07 11 draws: 2021-07-07 to 2021-08-14 4 draws: 2021-08-14 to 2021-08-28 12 draws: 2021-08-28 to 2021-10-09 3 draws: 2021-10-09 to 2021-10-20 18 draws: 2021-10-20 to 2021-12-22 3 draws: 2021-12-22 to 2022-01-01 5 draws: 2022-01-01 to 2022-01-19 22 draws: 2022-01-19 to 2022-04-06 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2022-04-06 2010-04-24 2010-06-09 2010-06-16 2010-06-23 2010-07-07 2010-07-17 2010-08-07 2010-08-25 2010-10-02 2010-10-27 2010-11-06 2010-11-10 2010-11-20 2010-12-11 2010-12-15 2010-12-25 2011-02-12 2011-02-16 2011-04-09 2011-04-27 2011-05-07 2011-05-18 2011-07-06 2011-07-23 2011-09-28 2011-10-15 2011-10-19 2011-11-12 2012-01-25 2012-01-28 2012-02-29 2012-03-24 2012-04-14 2012-04-18 2012-05-16 2012-06-27 2012-10-20 2012-11-28 2013-01-02 2013-02-27 2013-03-30 2013-11-20 2013-12-11 2014-01-11 2014-01-29 2014-02-01 2014-02-12 2014-06-18 2014-09-17 2014-10-15 2014-11-12 2014-12-10 2015-04-01 2015-04-11 2015-04-18 2015-05-09 2015-05-27 2015-05-30 2015-08-12 2015-08-22 2015-09-16 2015-11-07 2015-12-09 2016-01-09 2016-03-02 2016-03-12 2016-03-16 2016-03-26 2016-05-07 2016-05-25 2016-05-28 2016-07-16 2016-08-20 2016-09-03 2016-09-28 2016-10-15 2016-10-26 2016-12-03 2016-12-10 2016-12-14 2016-12-17 2016-12-24 2016-12-28 2017-01-18 2017-03-04 2017-03-08 2017-04-22 2017-04-29 2017-05-03 2017-07-12 2017-07-26 2017-09-27 2017-11-04 2018-01-20 2018-01-24 2018-02-03 2018-05-05 2018-05-09 2018-05-30 2018-09-12 2018-10-03 2018-12-05 2018-12-08 2018-12-19 2018-12-29 2019-01-02 2019-02-27 2019-05-08 2019-05-29 2019-07-10 2019-08-03 2019-09-07 2019-11-16 2019-11-23 2019-11-27 2019-12-04 2020-01-15 2020-03-07 2020-04-04 2020-04-15 2020-04-25 2020-05-02 2020-05-09 2020-06-10 2020-06-24 2020-07-01 2020-07-25 2020-07-29 2020-09-05 2020-10-10 2020-11-25 2020-12-09 2020-12-19 2021-03-06 2021-04-21 2021-06-19 2021-07-07 2021-08-14 2021-08-28 2021-10-09 2021-10-20 2021-12-22 2022-01-01 2022-01-19 2022-04-06 2010-04-07 2022-04-23
1 draws: 21 times 2 draws: 11 times 3 draws: 20 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 10 times 6 draws: 9 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 6 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 5 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 3 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 2 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 2 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 0 times 66 draws: 0 times 67 draws: 1 time 68 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 145 · chance 145.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →
Every draw it appeared in Lowest in the pool Every number number 2 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.