Number 38

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

172times drawn · chance expected 153 +1.61σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

56longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 172 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, +1.61σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 172 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 56 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1
3rd smallest5 · chance 3.8
4th smallest37 · chance 43.9
5th smallest130 · chance 124.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 17.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 17 22 37 18 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-16	3	4th	2 7 26 38 41
2022-04-06	1	5th	1 8 14 28 38
2022-04-02	1	5th	7 17 32 37 38
2022-03-30	5	5th	8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-01-13	2	4th	21 22 36 38 41
2021-01-06	13	5th	7 15 28 35 38
2020-11-21	16	4th	16 27 35 38 40
2020-09-26	11	5th	8 13 18 31 38
2020-08-19	3	5th	3 4 25 33 38
2020-08-08	17	5th	2 4 29 31 38
2020-06-10	1	5th	1 12 13 18 38
2020-06-06	7	5th	4 21 34 37 38
2020-05-13	5	5th	8 18 23 24 38
2020-04-25	3	5th	1 17 18 26 38
2020-04-15	2	5th	1 3 7 28 38
2020-04-08	2	4th	13 31 33 38 40
2020-04-01	6	5th	9 21 25 33 38
2020-03-11	4	5th	11 12 21 26 38
2020-02-26	5	3rd	19 27 38 39 41
2020-02-08	17	5th	8 9 17 31 38
2019-12-11	2	5th	10 14 22 29 38
2019-12-04	1	5th	1 6 18 23 38
2019-11-30	5	5th	7 12 23 37 38
2019-11-13	1	4th	25 33 35 38 39
2019-11-09	1	5th	4 12 18 28 38
2019-11-06	3	4th	9 24 29 38 39
2019-10-26	4	5th	5 13 23 37 38
2019-10-12	2	4th	23 28 37 38 40
2019-10-05	5	5th	7 16 24 27 38
2019-09-18	26	5th	4 13 22 34 38
2019-06-19	4	5th	2 7 22 37 38
2019-06-05	18	4th	17 33 34 38 41
2019-04-03	8	5th	3 4 24 28 38
2019-03-06	5	3rd	15 33 38 39 40
2019-02-16	9	5th	10 18 33 37 38
2019-01-16	1	5th	13 15 25 37 38
2019-01-12	17	5th	3 4 32 36 38
2018-11-14	4	5th	7 8 25 35 38
2018-10-31	16	5th	16 22 23 31 38
2018-09-05	19	5th	13 20 27 33 38
2018-06-30	2	4th	10 18 24 38 41
2018-06-23	25	5th	4 12 23 28 38
2018-03-28	2	5th	12 22 30 37 38
2018-03-21	2	4th	2 23 28 38 41
2018-03-14	9	5th	16 17 21 31 38
2018-02-10	15	3rd	11 36 38 39 40
2017-12-20	5	5th	2 16 20 21 38
2017-12-02	2	5th	4 26 29 37 38
2017-11-25	9	5th	5 6 15 29 38
2017-10-25	1	5th	4 10 14 15 38
2017-10-21	19	4th	7 29 30 38 39
2017-08-16	15	5th	2 4 12 30 38
2017-06-24	1	5th	8 18 28 37 38
2017-06-21	18	5th	11 18 21 34 38
2017-04-19	15	5th	3 9 17 35 38
2017-02-25	2	4th	2 15 22 38 40
2017-02-18	5	4th	11 25 34 38 40
2017-02-01	1	5th	8 16 30 31 38
2017-01-28	4	5th	9 29 34 36 38
2017-01-14	1	5th	11 22 27 34 38
2017-01-11	8	4th	9 10 31 38 39
2016-12-14	2	4th	1 17 21 38 40
2016-12-07	9	5th	4 7 11 22 38
2016-11-05	23	5th	3 8 21 29 38
2016-08-17	1	5th	15 24 30 36 38
2016-08-13	6	5th	6 27 28 30 38
2016-07-23	3	5th	8 11 15 32 38
2016-07-13	1	4th	10 22 35 38 39
2016-07-09	4	5th	3 10 31 36 38
2016-06-25	14	4th	4 15 17 38 40
2016-05-07	2	5th	1 12 13 22 38
2016-04-30	5	5th	6 20 25 35 38
2016-04-13	6	5th	4 25 34 37 38
2016-03-23	1	4th	15 21 30 38 41
2016-03-19	4	4th	16 25 35 38 39
2016-03-05	10	4th	8 16 22 38 39
2016-01-30	12	4th	8 12 33 38 39
2015-12-19	10	5th	15 18 22 31 38
2015-11-14	4	5th	3 17 22 28 38
2015-10-31	4	5th	9 12 17 26 38
2015-10-17	18	4th	5 24 26 38 40
2015-08-15	1	5th	14 16 20 30 38
2015-08-12	5	5th	1 2 17 28 38
2015-07-25	15	5th	4 8 24 26 38
2015-06-03	5	5th	9 13 27 33 38
2015-05-16	2	4th	7 33 35 38 41
2015-05-09	1	5th	1 12 30 32 38
2015-05-06	1	4th	6 22 31 38 39
2015-05-02	7	5th	18 19 20 31 38
2015-04-08	5	5th	4 7 10 13 38
2015-03-21	5	4th	10 13 20 38 40
2015-03-04	6	5th	2 12 24 37 38
2015-02-11	9	5th	3 9 22 34 38
2015-01-10	19	5th	20 21 26 34 38
2014-11-05	9	3rd	15 30 38 39 40
2014-10-04	8	5th	9 17 18 27 38
2014-09-06	4	5th	17 19 26 31 38
2014-08-23	5	3rd	27 28 38 40 41
2014-08-06	4	4th	5 18 28 38 40
2014-07-23	5	5th	6 31 34 37 38
2014-07-05	15	5th	7 10 21 23 38
2014-05-14	1	5th	16 21 27 36 38
2014-05-10	7	5th	25 28 31 35 38
2014-04-16	2	5th	11 15 25 33 38
2014-04-09	1	5th	3 10 24 25 38
2014-04-05	5	5th	14 21 30 37 38
2014-03-19	7	5th	10 18 19 34 38
2014-02-22	24	4th	3 20 36 38 39
2013-11-30	2	4th	2 24 32 38 39
2013-11-23	7	5th	16 17 25 36 38
2013-10-30	6	5th	10 11 16 24 38
2013-10-09	3	5th	4 21 31 34 38
2013-09-28	10	4th	17 22 35 38 41
2013-08-24	6	5th	9 19 32 35 38
2013-08-03	20	5th	12 22 28 35 38
2013-05-25	5	5th	18 21 23 28 38
2013-05-08	13	4th	3 20 29 38 39
2013-03-23	19	5th	2 3 5 16 38
2013-01-16	20	5th	23 27 31 35 38
2012-11-07	3	5th	5 10 25 37 38
2012-10-27	6	5th	9 17 22 29 38
2012-10-06	20	5th	14 21 24 37 38
2012-07-25	4	5th	7 16 24 30 38
2012-07-11	2	5th	20 24 32 36 38
2012-07-04	11	5th	4 18 22 24 38
2012-05-26	1	5th	7 25 26 35 38
2012-05-23	3	4th	11 18 33 38 40
2012-05-12	6	5th	9 11 34 35 38
2012-04-21	7	5th	12 15 20 23 38
2012-03-28	56	5th	5 9 29 37 38
2011-09-14	1	5th	19 21 23 26 38
2011-09-10	1	5th	2 8 17 20 38
2011-09-07	1	5th	6 12 15 26 38
2011-09-03	7	5th	2 20 27 31 38
2011-08-10	20	4th	2 26 36 38 40
2011-06-01	4	5th	14 15 23 29 38
2011-05-18	10	5th	1 10 22 36 38
2011-04-13	7	5th	4 7 10 33 38
2011-03-19	5	4th	14 25 34 38 41
2011-03-02	2	5th	8 28 32 37 38
2011-02-23	3	4th	12 19 20 38 40
2011-02-12	12	5th	1 4 16 18 38
2011-01-01	2	5th	12 13 24 28 38
2010-12-25	16	5th	1 17 29 33 38
2010-10-30	12	5th	22 30 31 34 38
2010-09-18	7	5th	3 9 35 37 38
2010-08-25	9	5th	1 12 16 30 38
2010-07-24	8	5th	6 15 18 20 38
2010-06-26	3	5th	20 27 28 30 38
2010-06-16	11	5th	1 5 13 22 38
2010-05-08	8	5th	6 16 18 25 38
2010-04-10	—	5th	17 27 29 30 38