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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Megabucks Plus · every number

5

Number 5

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 20235/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 20235/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022
147times drawn · chance expected 153 −0.54σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 40% for any number
8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
44longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 147 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, −0.54σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

5

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 147 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 8 draws now

2 draws: 2010-04-14 to 2010-04-212 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-04-2814 draws: 2010-04-28 to 2010-06-1610 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-07-2119 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-09-254 draws: 2010-09-25 to 2010-10-0931 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2011-01-269 draws: 2011-01-26 to 2011-02-264 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-123 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-03-235 draws: 2011-03-23 to 2011-04-097 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-05-043 draws: 2011-05-04 to 2011-05-1411 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-06-225 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-07-093 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-07-203 draws: 2011-07-20 to 2011-07-3034 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-11-2610 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2011-12-319 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-02-015 draws: 2012-02-01 to 2012-02-189 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-03-212 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-288 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-04-257 draws: 2012-04-25 to 2012-05-196 draws: 2012-05-19 to 2012-06-091 draws: 2012-06-09 to 2012-06-132 draws: 2012-06-13 to 2012-06-2017 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-08-222 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-08-292 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-0512 draws: 2012-09-05 to 2012-10-176 draws: 2012-10-17 to 2012-11-078 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2012-12-056 draws: 2012-12-05 to 2012-12-263 draws: 2012-12-26 to 2013-01-056 draws: 2013-01-05 to 2013-01-2616 draws: 2013-01-26 to 2013-03-231 draws: 2013-03-23 to 2013-03-275 draws: 2013-03-27 to 2013-04-132 draws: 2013-04-13 to 2013-04-2023 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-07-102 draws: 2013-07-10 to 2013-07-176 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-08-079 draws: 2013-08-07 to 2013-09-075 draws: 2013-09-07 to 2013-09-257 draws: 2013-09-25 to 2013-10-195 draws: 2013-10-19 to 2013-11-068 draws: 2013-11-06 to 2013-12-0415 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2014-01-255 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-02-1214 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-04-025 draws: 2014-04-02 to 2014-04-192 draws: 2014-04-19 to 2014-04-2613 draws: 2014-04-26 to 2014-06-1116 draws: 2014-06-11 to 2014-08-064 draws: 2014-08-06 to 2014-08-206 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-09-103 draws: 2014-09-10 to 2014-09-207 draws: 2014-09-20 to 2014-10-151 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-10-188 draws: 2014-10-18 to 2014-11-156 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-12-061 draws: 2014-12-06 to 2014-12-106 draws: 2014-12-10 to 2014-12-314 draws: 2014-12-31 to 2015-01-141 draws: 2015-01-14 to 2015-01-174 draws: 2015-01-17 to 2015-01-315 draws: 2015-01-31 to 2015-02-181 draws: 2015-02-18 to 2015-02-217 draws: 2015-02-21 to 2015-03-182 draws: 2015-03-18 to 2015-03-2516 draws: 2015-03-25 to 2015-05-2013 draws: 2015-05-20 to 2015-07-048 draws: 2015-07-04 to 2015-08-018 draws: 2015-08-01 to 2015-08-295 draws: 2015-08-29 to 2015-09-167 draws: 2015-09-16 to 2015-10-101 draws: 2015-10-10 to 2015-10-141 draws: 2015-10-14 to 2015-10-1711 draws: 2015-10-17 to 2015-11-2512 draws: 2015-11-25 to 2016-01-0637 draws: 2016-01-06 to 2016-05-144 draws: 2016-05-14 to 2016-05-284 draws: 2016-05-28 to 2016-06-1144 draws: 2016-06-11 to 2016-11-124 draws: 2016-11-12 to 2016-11-262 draws: 2016-11-26 to 2016-12-0310 draws: 2016-12-03 to 2017-01-0720 draws: 2017-01-07 to 2017-03-181 draws: 2017-03-18 to 2017-03-2211 draws: 2017-03-22 to 2017-04-296 draws: 2017-04-29 to 2017-05-202 draws: 2017-05-20 to 2017-05-274 draws: 2017-05-27 to 2017-06-107 draws: 2017-06-10 to 2017-07-056 draws: 2017-07-05 to 2017-07-267 draws: 2017-07-26 to 2017-08-1913 draws: 2017-08-19 to 2017-10-0412 draws: 2017-10-04 to 2017-11-153 draws: 2017-11-15 to 2017-11-2526 draws: 2017-11-25 to 2018-02-242 draws: 2018-02-24 to 2018-03-031 draws: 2018-03-03 to 2018-03-073 draws: 2018-03-07 to 2018-03-175 draws: 2018-03-17 to 2018-04-0414 draws: 2018-04-04 to 2018-05-234 draws: 2018-05-23 to 2018-06-061 draws: 2018-06-06 to 2018-06-093 draws: 2018-06-09 to 2018-06-202 draws: 2018-06-20 to 2018-06-2712 draws: 2018-06-27 to 2018-08-086 draws: 2018-08-08 to 2018-08-2916 draws: 2018-08-29 to 2018-10-2418 draws: 2018-10-24 to 2018-12-2622 draws: 2018-12-26 to 2019-03-132 draws: 2019-03-13 to 2019-03-203 draws: 2019-03-20 to 2019-03-302 draws: 2019-03-30 to 2019-04-061 draws: 2019-04-06 to 2019-04-1019 draws: 2019-04-10 to 2019-06-154 draws: 2019-06-15 to 2019-06-297 draws: 2019-06-29 to 2019-07-244 draws: 2019-07-24 to 2019-08-0723 draws: 2019-08-07 to 2019-10-2622 draws: 2019-10-26 to 2020-01-1122 draws: 2020-01-11 to 2020-03-2824 draws: 2020-03-28 to 2020-06-202 draws: 2020-06-20 to 2020-06-274 draws: 2020-06-27 to 2020-07-111 draws: 2020-07-11 to 2020-07-1534 draws: 2020-07-15 to 2020-11-116 draws: 2020-11-11 to 2020-12-024 draws: 2020-12-02 to 2020-12-164 draws: 2020-12-16 to 2020-12-306 draws: 2020-12-30 to 2021-01-208 draws: 2021-01-20 to 2021-02-177 draws: 2021-02-17 to 2021-03-136 draws: 2021-03-13 to 2021-04-0324 draws: 2021-04-03 to 2021-06-2629 draws: 2021-06-26 to 2021-10-0612 draws: 2021-10-06 to 2021-11-174 draws: 2021-11-17 to 2021-12-0116 draws: 2021-12-01 to 2022-01-262 draws: 2022-01-26 to 2022-02-0215 draws: 2022-02-02 to 2022-03-26Still waiting — at least 8 draws since 2022-03-262010-04-142010-04-212010-04-282010-06-162010-07-212010-09-252010-10-092011-01-262011-02-262011-03-122011-03-232011-04-092011-05-042011-05-142011-06-222011-07-092011-07-202011-07-302011-11-262011-12-312012-02-012012-02-182012-03-212012-03-282012-04-252012-05-192012-06-092012-06-132012-06-202012-08-222012-08-292012-09-052012-10-172012-11-072012-12-052012-12-262013-01-052013-01-262013-03-232013-03-272013-04-132013-04-202013-07-102013-07-172013-08-072013-09-072013-09-252013-10-192013-11-062013-12-042014-01-252014-02-122014-04-022014-04-192014-04-262014-06-112014-08-062014-08-202014-09-102014-09-202014-10-152014-10-182014-11-152014-12-062014-12-102014-12-312015-01-142015-01-172015-01-312015-02-182015-02-212015-03-182015-03-252015-05-202015-07-042015-08-012015-08-292015-09-162015-10-102015-10-142015-10-172015-11-252016-01-062016-05-142016-05-282016-06-112016-11-122016-11-262016-12-032017-01-072017-03-182017-03-222017-04-292017-05-202017-05-272017-06-102017-07-052017-07-262017-08-192017-10-042017-11-152017-11-252018-02-242018-03-032018-03-072018-03-172018-04-042018-05-232018-06-062018-06-092018-06-202018-06-272018-08-082018-08-292018-10-242018-12-262019-03-132019-03-202019-03-302019-04-062019-04-102019-06-152019-06-292019-07-242019-08-072019-10-262020-01-112020-03-282020-06-202020-06-272020-07-112020-07-152020-11-112020-12-022020-12-162020-12-302021-01-202021-02-172021-03-132021-04-032021-06-262021-10-062021-11-172021-12-012022-01-262022-02-022022-03-262010-04-072022-04-23

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 13 times2 draws: 18 times3 draws: 10 times4 draws: 16 times5 draws: 11 times6 draws: 14 times7 draws: 10 times8 draws: 7 times9 draws: 4 times10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 5 times13 draws: 3 times14 draws: 3 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 5 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 2 times20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 3 times23 draws: 2 times24 draws: 2 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 1 time32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 2 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 1 time38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 1 time45 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest99 · chance 94.7
  • 2nd smallest40 · chance 45.9
  • 3rd smallest8 · chance 6.1
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3319410829

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2022-03-26151st57192233
2022-02-0222nd25131931
2022-01-26161st515273639
2021-12-0141st5
← number 4Every numbernumber 6 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

24
25
30
33
2021-11-17121st56161931
2021-10-06291st510162231
2021-06-26241st518303134
2021-04-0361st511252930
2021-03-1371st513263538
2021-02-1782nd4581738
2021-01-2061st514183340
2020-12-3041st5781923
2020-12-1641st59203340
2020-12-0261st57102833
2020-11-11342nd2582636
2020-07-1511st57193039
2020-07-1141st516282931
2020-06-2721st5781419
2020-06-20241st59182236
2020-03-28221st5683031
2020-01-11221st517222633
2019-10-26231st513233738
2019-08-0741st56202237
2019-07-2471st518323336
The other 123 appearances
2019-06-2941st57202127
2019-06-15191st58111532
2019-04-1012nd3592128
2019-04-0622nd3582128
2019-03-3032nd25181926
2019-03-2021st56141720
2019-03-13221st514252728
2018-12-26181st59141729
2018-10-24161st516232728
2018-08-2961st513183541
2018-08-08121st517202728
2018-06-2721st519213037
2018-06-2032nd45152336
2018-06-0912nd45102239
2018-06-0642nd45121339
2018-05-23141st58232439
2018-04-0451st511162139
2018-03-1731st57141521
2018-03-0712nd2572124
2018-03-0321st510172933
2018-02-24261st519252932
2017-11-2531st56152938
2017-11-15121st517253240
2017-10-04131st511193237
2017-08-1971st59202833
2017-07-2662nd15103440
2017-07-0571st56112633
2017-06-1041st58193341
2017-05-2722nd25153741
2017-05-2061st58141723
2017-04-29112nd1571023
2017-03-2211st57111317
2017-03-18201st511242731
2017-01-07101st512213340
2016-12-0322nd15121427
2016-11-2642nd25102429
2016-11-12442nd4571039
2016-06-1142nd45343641
2016-05-2842nd1581721
2016-05-14371st510363740
2016-01-06122nd45132634
2015-11-25113rd2451233
2015-10-1711st524263840
2015-10-1411st514343637
2015-10-1071st519284041
2015-09-1653rd1351537
2015-08-2981st519202931
2015-08-0183rd3451217
2015-07-04131st519223133
2015-05-20162nd3582026
2015-03-2521st510233435
2015-03-1871st516202930
2015-02-2111st515233340
2015-02-1852nd2572527
2015-01-3142nd35131841
2015-01-1711st510283235
2015-01-1441st515242933
2014-12-3161st59242737
2014-12-1012nd1592440
2014-12-0661st516262933
2014-11-1581st56232936
2014-10-1811st510213641
2014-10-1573rd145724
2014-09-2033rd2352026
2014-09-1062nd45232930
2014-08-2041st57122226
2014-08-06161st518283840
2014-06-11131st513142237
2014-04-2621st510151941
2014-04-1952nd3581929
2014-04-02141st511213334
2014-02-1253rd1451841
2014-01-25152nd35283134
2013-12-0481st510121635
2013-11-0652nd25101112
2013-10-1972nd45101218
2013-09-2551st530313336
2013-09-0792nd25313541
2013-08-0761st59112536
2013-07-1721st58132235
2013-07-10231st519293039
2013-04-2021st518232731
2013-04-1351st56152235
2013-03-2712nd4593639
2013-03-23163rd2351638
2013-01-2661st512131940
2013-01-0532nd4563435
2012-12-2661st59202232
2012-12-0581st516232640
2012-11-0761st510253738
2012-10-17121st59303340
2012-09-0521st59111619
2012-08-2922nd2562737
2012-08-22172nd25101134
2012-06-2021st59212434
2012-06-1311st58293036
2012-06-0961st511202841
2012-05-1971st510212437
2012-04-2581st513222526
2012-03-2821st59293738
2012-03-2191st56193041
2012-02-1851st59252835
2012-02-0192nd45162541
2011-12-31102nd3561930
2011-11-26341st519373940
2011-07-3031st56282940
2011-07-2031st511182533
2011-07-0951st511273035
2011-06-22111st511123336
2011-05-1432nd456826
2011-05-0471st510111834
2011-04-0952nd1561432
2011-03-2331st5681729
2011-03-1243rd3451722
2011-02-2692nd45203340
2011-01-26311st5792239
2010-10-0942nd45162333
2010-09-25191st58152034
2010-07-21101st58163334
2010-06-16142nd15132238
2010-04-2821st59202839
2010-04-2121st511172224
2010-04-14—1st523343541