Number 6

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

133times drawn · chance expected 153 −1.75σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

55longest completed wait · 11% chance of one at least that long

6 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 133 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, −1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 6, draw by draw

Drawn 133 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 55 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest75 · chance 76.2
2nd smallest49 · chance 47.6
3rd smallest9 · chance 8.7
4th smallest0 · chance 0.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 13 35 4 19 37

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 6 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-23	17	1st	6 14 21 35 41
2022-02-23	3	1st	6 19 30 34 38
2022-02-12	16	1st	6 18 29 34 35
2021-12-18	1	1st	6

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-05-15	8	1st	6 13 14 21 40
2019-04-17	1	2nd	3 6 20 31 32
2019-04-13	5	1st	6 15 16 25 34
2019-03-27	2	1st	6 13 15 34 37
2019-03-20	1	2nd	5 6 14 17 20
2019-03-16	14	2nd	4 6 19 25 31
2019-01-26	36	1st	6 19 21 34 40
2018-09-22	1	1st	6 8 12 19 21
2018-09-19	9	1st	6 11 20 28 41
2018-08-18	6	1st	6 15 16 28 32
2018-07-28	22	1st	6 19 26 28 41
2018-05-12	8	2nd	3 6 13 33 37
2018-04-14	16	1st	6 7 8 10 26
2018-02-17	6	1st	6 10 15 27 37
2018-01-27	12	2nd	2 6 7 25 37
2017-12-16	6	1st	6 13 19 31 37
2017-11-25	4	2nd	5 6 15 29 38
2017-11-11	7	1st	6 16 29 32 37
2017-10-18	1	1st	6 17 28 33 35
2017-10-14	25	1st	6 12 17 18 33
2017-07-19	4	3rd	2 4 6 21 33
2017-07-05	9	2nd	5 6 11 26 33
2017-06-03	18	2nd	3 6 12 15 37
2017-04-01	9	1st	6 12 22 23 41
2017-03-01	2	2nd	3 6 20 26 34
2017-02-22	18	1st	6 10 12 17 30
2016-12-21	22	2nd	3 6 9 22 34
2016-10-05	6	1st	6 13 20 23 24
2016-09-14	5	1st	6 19 33 35 36
2016-08-27	4	1st	6 12 18 34 40
2016-08-13	2	1st	6 27 28 30 38
2016-08-06	28	1st	6 9 14 27 35
2016-04-30	2	1st	6 20 25 35 38
2016-04-23	18	2nd	3 6 12 35 39
2016-02-20	10	1st	6 19 22 31 39
2016-01-16	20	1st	6 17 29 34 36
2015-11-07	12	3rd	1 4 6 23 30
2015-09-26	1	2nd	2 6 10 15 19
2015-09-23	1	1st	6 16 29 33 40
2015-09-19	7	2nd	3 6 7 33 39
2015-08-26	27	2nd	3 6 7 22 29
2015-05-23	5	1st	6 12 30 35 39
2015-05-06	15	1st	6 22 31 38 39
2015-03-14	1	1st	6 8 16 23 30
2015-03-11	10	2nd	4 6 16 33 39
2015-02-04	11	2nd	4 6 12 27 32
2014-12-27	1	2nd	4 6 26 30 40
2014-12-24	3	2nd	2 6 13 39 40
2014-12-13	3	3rd	3 4 6 34 40
2014-12-03	2	2nd	2 6 21 27 37
2014-11-26	2	2nd	4 6 9 13 14
2014-11-19	1	1st	6 22 23 36 40
2014-11-15	15	2nd	5 6 23 29 36
2014-09-24	8	1st	6 8 25 36 41
2014-08-27	10	1st	6 8 14 25 39
2014-07-23	2	1st	6 31 34 37 38
2014-07-16	6	1st	6 8 9 12 29
2014-06-25	3	1st	6 18 23 35 39
2014-06-14	11	1st	6 23 24 27 39
2014-05-07	40	1st	6 20 21 24 41
2013-12-18	21	1st	6 11 20 30 31
2013-10-05	22	2nd	4 6 25 26 35
2013-07-20	28	1st	6 22 31 33 35
2013-04-13	10	2nd	5 6 15 22 35
2013-03-09	5	2nd	4 6 11 15 18
2013-02-20	6	2nd	4 6 13 14 41
2013-01-30	3	1st	6 16 33 37 40
2013-01-19	4	1st	6 14 15 26 33
2013-01-05	6	3rd	4 5 6 34 35
2012-12-15	5	1st	6 12 19 22 41
2012-11-28	18	2nd	1 6 11 22 39
2012-09-26	3	1st	6 12 20 21 33
2012-09-15	5	1st	6 7 21 24 39
2012-08-29	4	3rd	2 5 6 27 37
2012-08-15	2	1st	6 19 27 30 33
2012-08-04	5	2nd	3 6 13 19 33
2012-07-18	23	1st	6 18 19 34 37
2012-04-28	6	1st	6 13 18 29 40
2012-04-07	5	2nd	4 6 13 21 36
2012-03-21	1	2nd	5 6 19 30 41
2012-03-17	3	1st	6 28 33 37 41
2012-03-07	7	2nd	4 6 7 13 18
2012-02-11	12	2nd	4 6 17 26 32
2011-12-31	2	3rd	3 5 6 19 30
2011-12-24	6	2nd	3 6 10 20 25
2011-12-03	25	1st	6 13 21 23 41
2011-09-07	11	1st	6 12 15 26 38
2011-07-30	16	2nd	5 6 28 29 40
2011-06-04	6	1st	6 10 14 17 26
2011-05-14	10	3rd	4 5 6 8 26
2011-04-09	4	3rd	1 5 6 14 32
2011-03-26	1	1st	6 8 31 33 40
2011-03-23	5	2nd	5 6 8 17 29
2011-03-05	14	1st	6 13 22 24 27
2011-01-15	5	2nd	2 6 10 21 32
2010-12-29	6	1st	6 15 19 32 40
2010-12-08	14	2nd	2 6 13 15 35
2010-10-20	1	1st	6 12 21 26 33
2010-10-16	3	2nd	3 6 17 28 29
2010-10-06	2	1st	6 28 31 37 39
2010-09-29	4	1st	6 12 19 24 28
2010-09-15	1	1st	6 9 11 28 39
2010-09-11	1	1st	6 8 15 21 22
2010-09-08	5	1st	6 29 30 34 35
2010-08-21	1	1st	6 10 16 21 24
2010-08-18	7	1st	6 9 11 20 23
2010-07-24	5	1st	6 15 18 20 38
2010-07-07	17	2nd	1 6 9 12 21
2010-05-08	—	1st	6 16 18 25 38