Number 8

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

156times drawn · chance expected 153 +0.23σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

36longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 156 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, +0.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 156 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest72 · chance 69.8
2nd smallest59 · chance 65.2
3rd smallest24 · chance 18.9
4th smallest1 · chance 2.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 3 25 26 33 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-06	2	2nd	1 8 14 28 38
2022-03-30	2	1st	8 10 11 19 38
2022-03-23	1	3rd	4 7 8 9 30
2022-03-19	2	1st	8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-09-26	15	1st	8 13 18 31 38
2020-08-05	8	1st	8 15 28 32 33
2020-07-08	3	2nd	3 8 25 28 36
2020-06-27	3	3rd	5 7 8 14 19
2020-06-17	1	2nd	3 8 9 22 35
2020-06-13	6	1st	8 20 28 32 39
2020-05-23	3	1st	8 12 25 27 30
2020-05-13	13	1st	8 18 23 24 38
2020-03-28	2	3rd	5 6 8 30 31
2020-03-21	9	1st	8 13 26 29 41
2020-02-19	2	1st	8 17 23 35 39
2020-02-12	1	1st	8 10 13 18 25
2020-02-08	1	1st	8 9 17 31 38
2020-02-05	13	1st	8 12 32 34 39
2019-12-21	1	2nd	7 8 15 23 25
2019-12-18	14	3rd	2 4 8 17 30
2019-10-30	19	2nd	3 8 10 21 28
2019-08-24	3	1st	8 14 17 37 41
2019-08-14	1	1st	8 20 23 31 39
2019-08-10	4	1st	8 20 23 31 39
2019-07-27	4	1st	8 17 23 32 39
2019-07-13	8	2nd	7 8 34 36 41
2019-06-15	4	2nd	5 8 11 15 32
2019-06-01	16	1st	8 16 20 29 40
2019-04-06	13	3rd	3 5 8 21 28
2019-02-20	3	3rd	3 7 8 12 41
2019-02-09	5	3rd	3 4 8 20 27
2019-01-23	10	1st	8 21 28 32 34
2018-12-19	5	3rd	1 7 8 15 28
2018-12-01	4	1st	8 11 15 27 29
2018-11-17	1	2nd	7 8 13 22 25
2018-11-14	10	2nd	7 8 25 35 38
2018-10-10	5	1st	8 13 24 32 40
2018-09-22	4	2nd	6 8 12 19 21
2018-09-08	31	1st	8 16 24 40 41
2018-05-23	1	2nd	5 8 23 24 39
2018-05-19	4	1st	8 9 11 27 32
2018-05-05	6	2nd	1 8 15 17 25
2018-04-14	1	3rd	6 7 8 10 26
2018-04-11	36	1st	8 15 31 32 34
2017-12-06	25	1st	8 11 18 28 32
2017-09-09	22	2nd	3 8 13 16 25
2017-06-24	3	1st	8 18 28 37 38
2017-06-14	1	2nd	2 8 13 33 39
2017-06-10	1	2nd	5 8 19 33 41
2017-06-07	5	2nd	4 8 12 16 22
2017-05-20	3	2nd	5 8 14 17 23
2017-05-10	1	2nd	3 8 9 16 37
2017-05-06	7	1st	8 9 29 32 39
2017-04-12	9	1st	8 9 27 30 33
2017-03-11	1	1st	8 20 31 33 36
2017-03-08	1	3rd	1 3 8 26 33
2017-03-04	9	2nd	1 8 22 25 35
2017-02-01	20	1st	8 16 30 31 38
2016-11-23	5	1st	8 9 18 25 33
2016-11-05	7	2nd	3 8 21 29 38
2016-10-12	6	1st	8 13 18 19 32
2016-09-21	17	1st	8 17 22 24 40
2016-07-23	2	1st	8 11 15 32 38
2016-07-16	7	3rd	1 3 8 33 41
2016-06-22	7	2nd	2 8 10 28 40
2016-05-28	15	3rd	1 5 8 17 21
2016-04-06	9	3rd	2 3 8 16 18
2016-03-05	8	1st	8 16 22 38 39
2016-02-06	2	2nd	3 8 17 22 23
2016-01-30	21	1st	8 12 33 38 39
2015-11-18	4	1st	8 13 19 39 41
2015-11-04	25	1st	8 15 16 25 40
2015-08-08	3	1st	8 24 27 32 34
2015-07-29	1	1st	8 12 18 26 33
2015-07-25	19	2nd	4 8 24 26 38
2015-05-20	19	3rd	3 5 8 20 26
2015-03-14	2	2nd	6 8 16 23 30
2015-03-07	6	1st	8 9 13 15 26
2015-02-14	17	1st	8 9 12 27 29
2014-12-17	24	1st	8 30 31 32 33
2014-09-24	6	2nd	6 8 25 36 41
2014-09-03	2	1st	8 15 25 27 35
2014-08-27	9	2nd	6 8 14 25 39
2014-07-26	3	1st	8 18 19 20 34
2014-07-16	17	2nd	6 8 9 12 29
2014-05-17	5	1st	8 19 24 26 33
2014-04-30	3	2nd	7 8 10 11 24
2014-04-19	22	3rd	3 5 8 19 29
2014-02-01	5	2nd	1 8 12 21 37
2014-01-15	21	1st	8 20 33 37 40
2013-11-02	31	1st	8 9 15 33 37
2013-07-17	12	2nd	5 8 13 22 35
2013-06-05	17	2nd	7 8 9 10 13
2013-04-06	9	1st	8 12 18 21 32
2013-03-06	1	1st	8 20 21 31 36
2013-03-02	7	3rd	2 7 8 27 34
2013-02-06	17	1st	8 20 21 26 31
2012-12-08	13	2nd	4 8 14 25 35
2012-10-24	6	2nd	3 8 16 23 26
2012-10-03	1	3rd	4 7 8 14 31
2012-09-29	2	1st	8 14 19 26 36
2012-09-22	6	1st	8 19 20 28 39
2012-09-01	13	3rd	2 4 8 13 19
2012-07-14	9	1st	8 9 20 21 41
2012-06-13	11	2nd	5 8 29 30 36
2012-05-05	5	3rd	2 7 8 19 39
2012-04-18	34	2nd	1 8 21 25 30
2011-12-21	10	1st	8 32 33 40 41
2011-11-16	1	2nd	3 8 12 16 32
2011-11-12	6	2nd	1 8 20 26 35
2011-10-22	4	1st	8 12 26 31 32
2011-10-08	6	1st	8 9 24 28 30
2011-09-17	2	1st	8 15 22 30 32
2011-09-10	6	2nd	2 8 17 20 38
2011-08-20	7	1st	8 15 20 26 32
2011-07-27	7	1st	8 11 23 29 30
2011-07-02	1	2nd	3 8 13 28 32
2011-06-29	13	1st	8 12 18 26 34
2011-05-14	7	4th	4 5 6 8 26
2011-04-20	6	2nd	3 8 14 24 39
2011-03-30	1	1st	8 9 10 19 40
2011-03-26	1	2nd	6 8 31 33 40
2011-03-23	2	3rd	5 6 8 17 29
2011-03-16	4	2nd	2 8 26 28 32
2011-03-02	6	1st	8 28 32 37 38
2011-02-09	1	1st	8 10 16 36 41
2011-02-05	15	1st	8 10 17 25 29
2010-12-15	23	2nd	1 8 28 30 37
2010-09-25	4	2nd	5 8 15 20 34
2010-09-11	3	2nd	6 8 15 21 22
2010-09-01	8	1st	8 17 18 31 35
2010-08-04	4	1st	8 9 12 20 35
2010-07-21	3	2nd	5 8 16 33 34
2010-07-10	11	2nd	3 8 17 36 39
2010-06-02	16	2nd	2 8 9 23 40
2010-04-07	—	2nd	3 8 16 32 37