Number 28

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 rules — 1,257 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

148times drawn · chance expected 153 −0.46σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

33longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long

28 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 148 times in 1,257 draws against 153.3 expected, −0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 28, draw by draw

Drawn 148 times in 1,257 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.2
2nd smallest9 · chance 12.5
3rd smallest47 · chance 44.3
4th smallest67 · chance 61.6
5th smallest24 · chance 28.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 18 38 3 8 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-06	13	4th	1 8 14 28 38
2022-02-19	13	3rd	22 27 28 30 39
2022-01-05	16	4th	8 10 25 28 37
2021-11-10	6	3rd	10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-05-02	5	4th	1 13 15 28 33
2020-04-15	28	4th	1 3 7 28 38
2020-01-08	14	3rd	2 14 28 30 32
2019-11-20	3	4th	2 4 15 28 29
2019-11-09	3	4th	4 12 18 28 38
2019-10-30	5	5th	3 8 10 21 28
2019-10-12	11	2nd	23 28 37 38 40
2019-09-04	4	2nd	3 28 31 33 40
2019-08-21	9	3rd	24 25 28 35 36
2019-07-20	8	3rd	2 12 28 29 37
2019-06-22	15	2nd	19 28 32 34 37
2019-05-01	6	3rd	2 7 28 30 34
2019-04-10	1	5th	3 5 9 21 28
2019-04-06	1	5th	3 5 8 21 28
2019-04-03	6	4th	3 4 24 28 38
2019-03-13	14	5th	5 14 25 27 28
2019-01-23	10	3rd	8 21 28 32 34
2018-12-19	1	5th	1 7 8 15 28
2018-12-15	15	3rd	16 26 28 29 30
2018-10-24	7	5th	5 16 23 27 28
2018-09-29	3	4th	4 11 18 28 34
2018-09-19	9	4th	6 11 20 28 41
2018-08-18	1	4th	6 15 16 28 32
2018-08-15	2	4th	14 25 27 28 32
2018-08-08	3	5th	5 17 20 27 28
2018-07-28	3	4th	6 19 26 28 41
2018-07-18	7	3rd	9 21 28 29 33
2018-06-23	6	4th	4 12 23 28 38
2018-06-02	21	3rd	15 25 28 31 32
2018-03-21	3	3rd	2 23 28 38 41
2018-03-10	5	4th	2 12 20 28 41
2018-02-21	22	3rd	18 27 28 37 39
2017-12-06	14	4th	8 11 18 28 32
2017-10-18	15	3rd	6 17 28 33 35
2017-08-26	2	3rd	10 22 28 34 39
2017-08-19	3	4th	5 9 20 28 33
2017-08-09	1	3rd	19 21 28 35 41
2017-08-05	7	4th	2 3 10 28 37
2017-07-12	5	3rd	1 12 28 36 41
2017-06-24	12	3rd	8 18 28 37 38
2017-05-13	17	5th	7 13 17 19 28
2017-03-15	8	4th	11 22 27 28 30
2017-02-15	12	1st	28 33 34 36 37
2017-01-04	22	4th	2 14 22 28 41
2016-10-19	5	4th	12 15 26 28 31
2016-10-01	7	3rd	13 21 28 29 39
2016-09-07	7	4th	2 13 15 28 33
2016-08-13	5	3rd	6 27 28 30 38
2016-07-27	10	4th	2 12 19 28 34
2016-06-22	4	4th	2 8 10 28 40
2016-06-08	5	5th	11 13 20 21 28
2016-05-21	20	4th	10 15 27 28 34
2016-03-12	4	2nd	1 28 31 33 35
2016-02-27	4	3rd	2 21 28 33 37
2016-02-13	7	4th	4 11 19 28 31
2016-01-20	3	4th	2 12 25 28 30
2016-01-09	16	5th	1 2 4 25 28
2015-11-14	1	4th	3 17 22 28 38
2015-11-11	9	4th	3 17 18 28 40
2015-10-10	1	3rd	5 19 28 40 41
2015-10-07	7	5th	2 10 11 22 28
2015-09-12	2	3rd	2 22 28 31 37
2015-09-05	7	4th	3 7 9 28 35
2015-08-12	10	4th	1 2 17 28 38
2015-07-08	4	3rd	22 24 28 39 41
2015-06-24	3	4th	11 14 19 28 31
2015-06-13	13	5th	16 17 20 21 28
2015-04-29	1	4th	21 26 27 28 35
2015-04-25	1	5th	18 22 24 26 28
2015-04-22	15	3rd	16 26 28 30 39
2015-02-28	12	5th	16 17 22 23 28
2015-01-17	4	3rd	5 10 28 32 35
2015-01-03	10	4th	3 13 22 28 41
2014-11-29	28	4th	4 24 27 28 34
2014-08-23	5	2nd	27 28 38 40 41
2014-08-06	11	3rd	5 18 28 38 40
2014-06-28	14	5th	9 12 23 25 28
2014-05-10	23	2nd	25 28 31 35 38
2014-02-19	7	5th	4 11 17 18 28
2014-01-25	7	3rd	3 5 28 31 34
2014-01-01	2	4th	7 10 11 28 33
2013-12-25	24	5th	11 12 16 22 28
2013-10-02	14	3rd	20 21 28 33 35
2013-08-14	3	4th	4 11 18 28 29
2013-08-03	16	3rd	12 22 28 35 38
2013-06-08	4	4th	7 17 19 28 39
2013-05-25	2	4th	18 21 23 28 38
2013-05-18	33	4th	4 14 20 28 30
2013-01-23	21	5th	7 13 17 18 28
2012-11-10	6	3rd	17 18 28 36 37
2012-10-20	3	5th	1 9 13 23 28
2012-10-10	5	4th	3 9 13 28 31
2012-09-22	14	4th	8 19 20 28 39
2012-08-01	15	5th	3 13 24 25 28
2012-06-09	24	4th	5 11 20 28 41
2012-03-17	2	2nd	6 28 33 37 41
2012-03-10	6	4th	14 20 27 28 36
2012-02-18	18	4th	5 9 25 28 35
2011-12-17	11	4th	16 17 18 28 41
2011-11-09	9	4th	12 17 20 28 34
2011-10-08	2	4th	8 9 24 28 30
2011-10-01	2	4th	17 18 22 28 33
2011-09-24	1	3rd	19 20 28 32 34
2011-09-21	13	4th	3 18 22 28 34
2011-08-06	2	5th	4 18 21 24 28
2011-07-30	5	3rd	5 6 28 29 40
2011-07-13	3	5th	10 14 26 27 28
2011-07-02	31	4th	3 8 13 28 32
2011-03-16	4	4th	2 8 26 28 32
2011-03-02	16	2nd	8 28 32 37 38
2011-01-05	1	4th	12 13 25 28 35
2011-01-01	5	4th	12 13 24 28 38
2010-12-15	4	3rd	1 8 28 30 37
2010-12-01	2	3rd	19 25 28 29 32
2010-11-24	11	3rd	3 17 28 30 36
2010-10-16	3	4th	3 6 17 28 29
2010-10-06	2	2nd	6 28 31 37 39
2010-09-29	4	5th	6 12 19 24 28
2010-09-15	22	4th	6 9 11 28 39
2010-06-30	1	3rd	16 22 28 31 36
2010-06-26	15	3rd	20 27 28 30 38
2010-05-05	2	4th	3 17 26 28 35
2010-04-28	3	4th	5 9 20 28 39
2010-04-17	—	3rd	14 18 28 29 33