Number 41

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 rules — 104 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.10σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

12.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

32longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long

41 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 104 draws against 12.7 expected, −1.10σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 41, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 104 draws · average wait 12.6 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 41 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest9 · chance 9.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 36 1 13 16 22

Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 41 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 41 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-04-19	13	5th	13 19 24 32 41
2023-03-04	32	5th	11 34 36 39 41
2022-11-12	12	5th	3 10 32 39 41
2022-10-01	13	5th	24

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 41 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.