Number 27

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 rules — 104 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.69σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

26longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long

27 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 104 draws against 12.7 expected, +0.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 27, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 104 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 26 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 27 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.2
2nd smallest3 · chance 1.6
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.9
4th smallest5 · chance 6.0
5th smallest2 · chance 2.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 1 14 17 33 35

Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 27 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 27 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-04-22	18	2nd	20 27 28 34 35
2023-02-18	2	3rd	6 24 27 36 40
2023-02-11	7	3rd	20 21 27 32 35
2023-01-18	2	3rd	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 27 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.