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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-14 | 13 | 2nd | 23625353941 |
| 2025-08-29 | 2 | 2nd | 131233394344 |
| 2025-08-22 | 6 | 1st | 371422264042 |
| 2025-08-01 | 3 | 1st | 351013142125 |
| 2025-07-22 | 3 | 2nd | 231220253133 |
| 2025-07-11 | 1 | 2nd | 13515293442 |
| 2025-07-08 | 3 | 1st | 361129304142 |
| 2025-06-27 | 4 | 1st | 342130333540 |
| 2025-06-13 | 2 | 1st | 362331333444 |
| 2025-06-06 | — | 1st | 392227424450 |