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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws · average wait 5.3 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 5 | 2nd | 25714394244 |
| 2026-03-31 | 6 | 2nd | 251921283941 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2 | 1st | 57921343843 |
| 2026-03-03 | 3 | 1st | 5151619294249 |
| 2026-02-20 | 13 | 1st | 572729343644 |
| 2026-01-06 | 5 | 3rd | 24521223340 |
| 2025-12-19 | 3 | 1st | 571014153338 |
| 2025-12-09 | 6 | 1st | 591213192936 |
| 2025-11-18 | 5 | 1st | 56911354249 |
| 2025-10-28 | 11 | 3rd | 24515161722 |
| 2025-09-19 | 5 | 1st | 581926293741 |
| 2025-09-02 | 9 | 1st | 5101420232536 |
| 2025-08-01 | 6 | 2nd | 351013142125 |
| 2025-07-11 | 2 | 3rd | 13515293442 |
| 2025-07-04 | 1 | 1st | 591736414348 |
| 2025-07-01 | 3 | 2nd | 252023253436 |
| 2025-06-20 | — | 1st | 592530353949 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.