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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 10 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −1.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 10 times in 96 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 45 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 45 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 45 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 45 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-01-16 | 19 | 7th | 3111524253045 |
| 2025-11-07 | 10 | 6th | 162937394550 |
| 2025-10-03 | 14 | 6th | 10283537434548 |
| 2025-08-15 | 2 | 7th | 12151736384245 |
| 2025-08-08 | 6 | 6th | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-07-18 | 11 | 6th | 10192125384549 |
| 2025-06-10 | — | 6th | 15181932404549 |