Number 4

In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.31σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 64% for any number

10.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.1

25longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −1.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 96 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 6.0
2nd smallest3 · chance 2.6
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 22 40 2 5 11

Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-04-07	22	1st	4 11 24 36 37 45 50
2026-01-20	4	1st	4 7 9 12 13 29 32
2026-01-06	11	2nd	2 4 5 21 22

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.