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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 14 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | 17 | 1st | 6151722294546 |
| 2026-01-23 | 3 | 1st | 6182335384849 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1 | 1st | 6172124252934 |
| 2026-01-09 | 8 | 1st | 671013151920 |
| 2025-12-12 | 7 | 1st | 6111226414649 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2 | 2nd | 56911354249 |
| 2025-11-07 | 1 | 2nd | 162937394550 |
| 2025-11-04 | 5 | 1st | 6161820253050 |
| 2025-10-17 | 1 | 2nd | 461427343840 |
| 2025-10-14 | 19 | 3rd | 23625353941 |
| 2025-08-08 | 7 | 1st | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-07-15 | 2 | 1st | 6131920313743 |
| 2025-07-08 | 7 | 2nd | 361129304142 |
| 2025-06-13 | — | 2nd | 362331333444 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.