Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 15 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 96 draws · average wait 5.7 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-30 | 1 | 6th | 11232831343841 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2 | 5th | 1132934384144 |
| 2025-12-19 | 17 | 7th | 571014153338 |
| 2025-10-17 | 5 | 6th | 461427343840 |
| 2025-09-30 | 4 | 4th | 1283638414650 |
| 2025-09-16 | 3 | 6th | 191016223842 |
| 2025-09-05 | 6 | 7th | 9222535363738 |
| 2025-08-15 | 1 | 5th | 12151736384245 |
| 2025-08-12 | 1 | 6th | 2263234363844 |
| 2025-08-08 | 6 | 5th | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-07-18 | 9 | 5th | 10192125384549 |
| 2025-06-17 | — | 5th | 2243033384649 |