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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-02-13 | 1 | 3rd | 9111624303641 |
| 2026-02-10 | 4 | 2nd | 7163031324246 |
| 2026-01-27 | 23 | 3rd | 12141625424450 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2 | 2nd | 6161820253050 |
| 2025-10-28 | 1 | 5th | 24515161722 |
| 2025-10-24 | 11 | 3rd | 9141617212428 |
| 2025-09-16 | 24 | 4th | 191016223842 |
| 2025-06-24 | 6 | 4th | 7101316174050 |
| 2025-06-03 | 2 | 2nd | 4162021273741 |
| 2025-05-27 | — | 3rd | 1101624424649 |