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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-01-06 | 18 | 5th | 24521223340 |
| 2025-10-31 | 1 | 2nd | 20223940444950 |
| 2025-10-28 | 10 | 7th | 24515161722 |
| 2025-09-23 | 2 | 4th | 4151822414346 |
| 2025-09-16 | 1 | 5th | 191016223842 |
| 2025-09-12 | 2 | 3rd | 10122224262744 |
| 2025-09-05 | 4 | 2nd | 9222535363738 |
| 2025-08-22 | 22 | 4th | 371422264042 |
| 2025-06-06 | — | 3rd | 392227424450 |