Lotto · every number
10
Number 10 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 86 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.70σ
10 draws waiting · a wait this long: 28% for any number
6.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
30 longest completed wait · 74% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 86 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +0.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 19 times, counted separately.
10 Number 10, draw by draw Drawn 86 times in 601 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 10 draws now
8 draws: 2010-01-06 to 2010-02-03 4 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-02-17 1 draws: 2010-02-17 to 2010-02-20 1 draws: 2010-02-20 to 2010-02-24 3 draws: 2010-02-24 to 2010-03-06 12 draws: 2010-03-06 to 2010-04-17 18 draws: 2010-04-17 to 2010-06-19 6 draws: 2010-06-19 to 2010-07-10 2 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-07-17 4 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-07-31 10 draws: 2010-07-31 to 2010-09-04 1 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-09-08 19 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-11-13 7 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-12-08 7 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2011-01-01 4 draws: 2011-01-01 to 2011-01-15 8 draws: 2011-01-15 to 2011-02-12 20 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-04-23 11 draws: 2011-04-23 to 2011-06-01 6 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-22 4 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-07-06 4 draws: 2011-07-06 to 2011-07-20 2 draws: 2011-07-20 to 2011-07-27 12 draws: 2011-07-27 to 2011-09-07 1 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-09-10 1 draws: 2011-09-10 to 2011-09-14 1 draws: 2011-09-14 to 2011-09-17 3 draws: 2011-09-17 to 2011-09-28 4 draws: 2011-09-28 to 2011-10-12 3 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-10-22 8 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-11-19 5 draws: 2011-11-19 to 2011-12-07 2 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2011-12-14 1 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2011-12-17 17 draws: 2011-12-17 to 2012-02-15 1 draws: 2012-02-15 to 2012-02-18 30 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-06-02 14 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-07-21 8 draws: 2012-07-21 to 2012-08-18 2 draws: 2012-08-18 to 2012-08-25 13 draws: 2012-08-25 to 2012-10-10 7 draws: 2012-10-10 to 2012-11-03 5 draws: 2012-11-03 to 2012-11-21 4 draws: 2012-11-21 to 2012-12-05 13 draws: 2012-12-05 to 2013-01-19 1 draws: 2013-01-19 to 2013-01-23 12 draws: 2013-01-23 to 2013-03-06 14 draws: 2013-03-06 to 2013-04-24 5 draws: 2013-04-24 to 2013-05-11 1 draws: 2013-05-11 to 2013-05-15 1 draws: 2013-05-15 to 2013-05-18 2 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-05-25 4 draws: 2013-05-25 to 2013-06-08 3 draws: 2013-06-08 to 2013-06-19 7 draws: 2013-06-19 to 2013-07-13 3 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-24 13 draws: 2013-07-24 to 2013-09-07 3 draws: 2013-09-07 to 2013-09-18 2 draws: 2013-09-18 to 2013-09-25 5 draws: 2013-09-25 to 2013-10-12 26 draws: 2013-10-12 to 2014-01-11 4 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-01-25 3 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-02-05 11 draws: 2014-02-05 to 2014-03-15 9 draws: 2014-03-15 to 2014-04-16 5 draws: 2014-04-16 to 2014-05-03 10 draws: 2014-05-03 to 2014-06-07 8 draws: 2014-06-07 to 2014-07-05 11 draws: 2014-07-05 to 2014-08-13 1 draws: 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-16 12 draws: 2014-08-16 to 2014-09-27 10 draws: 2014-09-27 to 2014-11-01 4 draws: 2014-11-01 to 2014-11-15 5 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-12-03 1 draws: 2014-12-03 to 2014-12-06 2 draws: 2014-12-06 to 2014-12-13 15 draws: 2014-12-13 to 2015-02-05 1 draws: 2015-02-05 to 2015-02-07 14 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-03-28 13 draws: 2015-03-28 to 2015-05-13 9 draws: 2015-05-13 to 2015-06-13 1 draws: 2015-06-13 to 2015-06-17 6 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-07-08 3 draws: 2015-07-08 to 2015-07-18 12 draws: 2015-07-18 to 2015-08-29 Still waiting — at least 10 draws since 2015-08-29 2010-01-06 2010-02-03 2010-02-17 2010-02-20 2010-02-24 2010-03-06 2010-04-17 2010-06-19 2010-07-10 2010-07-17 2010-07-31 2010-09-04 2010-09-08 2010-11-13 2010-12-08 2011-01-01 2011-01-15 2011-02-12 2011-04-23 2011-06-01 2011-06-22 2011-07-06 2011-07-20 2011-07-27 2011-09-07 2011-09-10 2011-09-14 2011-09-17 2011-09-28 2011-10-12 2011-10-22 2011-11-19 2011-12-07 2011-12-14 2011-12-17 2012-02-15 2012-02-18 2012-06-02 2012-07-21 2012-08-18 2012-08-25 2012-10-10 2012-11-03 2012-11-21 2012-12-05 2013-01-19 2013-01-23 2013-03-06 2013-04-24 2013-05-11 2013-05-15 2013-05-18 2013-05-25 2013-06-08 2013-06-19 2013-07-13 2013-07-24 2013-09-07 2013-09-18 2013-09-25 2013-10-12 2014-01-11 2014-01-25 2014-02-05 2014-03-15 2014-04-16 2014-05-03 2014-06-07 2014-07-05 2014-08-13 2014-08-16 2014-09-27 2014-11-01 2014-11-15 2014-12-03 2014-12-06 2014-12-13 2015-02-05 2015-02-07 2015-03-28 2015-05-13 2015-06-13 2015-06-17 2015-07-08 2015-07-18 2015-08-29 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 15 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 10 times 5 draws: 6 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 28 · chance 25.7 2nd smallest 37 · chance 37.3 3rd smallest 19 · chance 18.7 4th smallest 2 · chance 4.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.3 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 9 Every number number 11 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.