Lotto · every number
38
Number 38 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 94 times drawn · chance expected 80 +1.66σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
6.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
40 longest completed wait · 30% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 94 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +1.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 10 times, counted separately.
38 Number 38, draw by draw Drawn 94 times in 601 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 1 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-23 to 2010-01-27 22 draws: 2010-01-27 to 2010-04-14 9 draws: 2010-04-14 to 2010-05-15 1 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-05-19 8 draws: 2010-05-19 to 2010-06-16 13 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-07-31 1 draws: 2010-07-31 to 2010-08-04 3 draws: 2010-08-04 to 2010-08-14 5 draws: 2010-08-14 to 2010-09-01 1 draws: 2010-09-01 to 2010-09-04 10 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-10-09 13 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-11-24 3 draws: 2010-11-24 to 2010-12-04 2 draws: 2010-12-04 to 2010-12-11 3 draws: 2010-12-11 to 2010-12-22 1 draws: 2010-12-22 to 2010-12-24 3 draws: 2010-12-24 to 2011-01-05 1 draws: 2011-01-05 to 2011-01-08 1 draws: 2011-01-08 to 2011-01-12 2 draws: 2011-01-12 to 2011-01-19 3 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-01-29 4 draws: 2011-01-29 to 2011-02-12 14 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-04-02 5 draws: 2011-04-02 to 2011-04-20 12 draws: 2011-04-20 to 2011-06-01 1 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-04 1 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-06-08 5 draws: 2011-06-08 to 2011-06-25 15 draws: 2011-06-25 to 2011-08-17 2 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-08-24 3 draws: 2011-08-24 to 2011-09-03 3 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-09-14 5 draws: 2011-09-14 to 2011-10-01 4 draws: 2011-10-01 to 2011-10-15 1 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2011-10-19 11 draws: 2011-10-19 to 2011-11-26 18 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2012-01-28 6 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-18 8 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-03-17 2 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-03-24 8 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-21 5 draws: 2012-04-21 to 2012-05-09 5 draws: 2012-05-09 to 2012-05-26 5 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-13 2 draws: 2012-06-13 to 2012-06-20 3 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-30 19 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-09-05 22 draws: 2012-09-05 to 2012-11-21 9 draws: 2012-11-21 to 2012-12-22 14 draws: 2012-12-22 to 2013-02-09 1 draws: 2013-02-09 to 2013-02-13 40 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-07-03 3 draws: 2013-07-03 to 2013-07-13 1 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-17 4 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-07-31 1 draws: 2013-07-31 to 2013-08-03 2 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-08-10 1 draws: 2013-08-10 to 2013-08-14 2 draws: 2013-08-14 to 2013-08-21 3 draws: 2013-08-21 to 2013-08-31 13 draws: 2013-08-31 to 2013-10-16 1 draws: 2013-10-16 to 2013-10-19 6 draws: 2013-10-19 to 2013-11-09 1 draws: 2013-11-09 to 2013-11-13 15 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2014-01-04 16 draws: 2014-01-04 to 2014-03-01 2 draws: 2014-03-01 to 2014-03-08 2 draws: 2014-03-08 to 2014-03-15 5 draws: 2014-03-15 to 2014-04-02 10 draws: 2014-04-02 to 2014-05-07 1 draws: 2014-05-07 to 2014-05-10 5 draws: 2014-05-10 to 2014-05-28 4 draws: 2014-05-28 to 2014-06-11 2 draws: 2014-06-11 to 2014-06-18 11 draws: 2014-06-18 to 2014-07-26 2 draws: 2014-07-26 to 2014-08-02 10 draws: 2014-08-02 to 2014-09-06 4 draws: 2014-09-06 to 2014-09-20 5 draws: 2014-09-20 to 2014-10-08 10 draws: 2014-10-08 to 2014-11-12 1 draws: 2014-11-12 to 2014-11-15 12 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-12-27 8 draws: 2014-12-27 to 2015-01-24 15 draws: 2015-01-24 to 2015-03-18 1 draws: 2015-03-18 to 2015-03-21 11 draws: 2015-03-21 to 2015-04-29 6 draws: 2015-04-29 to 2015-05-20 7 draws: 2015-05-20 to 2015-06-13 8 draws: 2015-06-13 to 2015-07-11 1 draws: 2015-07-11 to 2015-07-15 2 draws: 2015-07-15 to 2015-07-22 19 draws: 2015-07-22 to 2015-09-26 1 draws: 2015-09-26 to 2015-09-30 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2015-09-30 2010-01-23 2010-01-27 2010-04-14 2010-05-15 2010-05-19 2010-06-16 2010-07-31 2010-08-04 2010-08-14 2010-09-01 2010-09-04 2010-10-09 2010-11-24 2010-12-04 2010-12-11 2010-12-22 2010-12-24 2011-01-05 2011-01-08 2011-01-12 2011-01-19 2011-01-29 2011-02-12 2011-04-02 2011-04-20 2011-06-01 2011-06-04 2011-06-08 2011-06-25 2011-08-17 2011-08-24 2011-09-03 2011-09-14 2011-10-01 2011-10-15 2011-10-19 2011-11-26 2012-01-28 2012-02-18 2012-03-17 2012-03-24 2012-04-21 2012-05-09 2012-05-26 2012-06-13 2012-06-20 2012-06-30 2012-09-05 2012-11-21 2012-12-22 2013-02-09 2013-02-13 2013-07-03 2013-07-13 2013-07-17 2013-07-31 2013-08-03 2013-08-10 2013-08-14 2013-08-21 2013-08-31 2013-10-16 2013-10-19 2013-11-09 2013-11-13 2014-01-04 2014-03-01 2014-03-08 2014-03-15 2014-04-02 2014-05-07 2014-05-10 2014-05-28 2014-06-11 2014-06-18 2014-07-26 2014-08-02 2014-09-06 2014-09-20 2014-10-08 2014-11-12 2014-11-15 2014-12-27 2015-01-24 2015-03-18 2015-03-21 2015-04-29 2015-05-20 2015-06-13 2015-07-11 2015-07-15 2015-07-22 2015-09-26 2015-09-30 2010-01-02 2015-10-03 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 21 times 2 draws: 12 times 3 draws: 10 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 10 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 1 time 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 0 · chance 0.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.1 3rd smallest 1 · chance 2.0 4th smallest 21 · chance 14.1 5th smallest 27 · chance 40.0 6th smallest 45 · chance 37.7 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 37 Every number number 39 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.