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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

29

Number 29

In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 20156/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015
74times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.74σ
12draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number
8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
45longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long
29 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 74 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 14 times, counted separately.

29

Number 29, draw by draw

Drawn 74 times in 601 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 12 draws now

6 draws: 2010-01-09 to 2010-01-3015 draws: 2010-01-30 to 2010-03-245 draws: 2010-03-24 to 2010-04-105 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-04-2813 draws: 2010-04-28 to 2010-06-124 draws: 2010-06-12 to 2010-06-2610 draws: 2010-06-26 to 2010-07-3111 draws: 2010-07-31 to 2010-09-082 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-09-156 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-10-066 draws: 2010-10-06 to 2010-10-274 draws: 2010-10-27 to 2010-11-108 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2010-12-0845 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2011-05-1414 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-07-0214 draws: 2011-07-02 to 2011-08-2022 draws: 2011-08-20 to 2011-11-0511 draws: 2011-11-05 to 2011-12-142 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2011-12-216 draws: 2011-12-21 to 2012-01-112 draws: 2012-01-11 to 2012-01-1818 draws: 2012-01-18 to 2012-03-2118 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-05-2321 draws: 2012-05-23 to 2012-08-042 draws: 2012-08-04 to 2012-08-1118 draws: 2012-08-11 to 2012-10-132 draws: 2012-10-13 to 2012-10-202 draws: 2012-10-20 to 2012-10-275 draws: 2012-10-27 to 2012-11-144 draws: 2012-11-14 to 2012-11-288 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-261 draws: 2012-12-26 to 2012-12-2912 draws: 2012-12-29 to 2013-02-091 draws: 2013-02-09 to 2013-02-131 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-166 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-03-098 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-04-0623 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-06-265 draws: 2013-06-26 to 2013-07-132 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-2010 draws: 2013-07-20 to 2013-08-2425 draws: 2013-08-24 to 2013-11-2017 draws: 2013-11-20 to 2014-01-184 draws: 2014-01-18 to 2014-02-0114 draws: 2014-02-01 to 2014-03-222 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-03-294 draws: 2014-03-29 to 2014-04-1211 draws: 2014-04-12 to 2014-05-218 draws: 2014-05-21 to 2014-06-183 draws: 2014-06-18 to 2014-06-284 draws: 2014-06-28 to 2014-07-121 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-07-161 draws: 2014-07-16 to 2014-07-1918 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-09-201 draws: 2014-09-20 to 2014-09-245 draws: 2014-09-24 to 2014-10-111 draws: 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-155 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-11-015 draws: 2014-11-01 to 2014-11-1910 draws: 2014-11-19 to 2014-12-243 draws: 2014-12-24 to 2015-01-031 draws: 2015-01-03 to 2015-01-0715 draws: 2015-01-07 to 2015-02-285 draws: 2015-02-28 to 2015-03-182 draws: 2015-03-18 to 2015-03-252 draws: 2015-03-25 to 2015-04-013 draws: 2015-04-01 to 2015-04-114 draws: 2015-04-11 to 2015-04-253 draws: 2015-04-25 to 2015-05-062 draws: 2015-05-06 to 2015-05-138 draws: 2015-05-13 to 2015-06-106 draws: 2015-06-10 to 2015-07-0115 draws: 2015-07-01 to 2015-08-22Still waiting — at least 12 draws since 2015-08-222010-01-092010-01-302010-03-242010-04-102010-04-282010-06-122010-06-262010-07-312010-09-082010-09-152010-10-062010-10-272010-11-102010-12-082011-05-142011-07-022011-08-202011-11-052011-12-142011-12-212012-01-112012-01-182012-03-212012-05-232012-08-042012-08-112012-10-132012-10-202012-10-272012-11-142012-11-282012-12-262012-12-292013-02-092013-02-132013-02-162013-03-092013-04-062013-06-262013-07-132013-07-202013-08-242013-11-202014-01-182014-02-012014-03-222014-03-292014-04-122014-05-212014-06-182014-06-282014-07-122014-07-162014-07-192014-09-202014-09-242014-10-112014-10-152014-11-012014-11-192014-12-242015-01-032015-01-072015-02-282015-03-182015-03-252015-04-012015-04-112015-04-252015-05-062015-05-132015-06-102015-07-012015-08-222010-01-022015-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 8 times2 draws: 11 times3 draws: 4 times4 draws: 7 times5 draws: 8 times6 draws: 6 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 5 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 3 times15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 4 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 1 time46 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.3
  • 2nd smallest2 · chance 3.5
  • 3rd smallest14 · chance 14.4
  • 4th smallest30 · chance 26.8
  • 5th smallest23 · chance 22.3
  • 6th smallest5 · chance 6.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1224213942

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2015-08-22155th51719202932
2015-07-0164th61316293442
2015-06-1085th111621272935
2015-05-1323rd
← number 28Every numbernumber 30 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

10
14
29
34
39
42
2015-05-0635th61318242941
2015-04-2544th31718293537
2015-04-1134th6825293142
2015-04-0124th11723293044
2015-03-2523rd11229343941
2015-03-1853rd122129323638
2015-02-28152nd42932353739
2015-01-0714th4726293942
2015-01-0335th7821262942
2014-12-24105th2316212945
2014-11-1954th91112293135
2014-11-0154th51027293135
2014-10-1515th81320222933
2014-10-1153rd22129324042
2014-09-2414th52326293139
2014-09-20183rd151829323538
2014-07-1915th12022232945
2014-07-1616th11215232429
2014-07-1244th51928293943
2014-06-2833rd1529313437
The other 50 appearances
2014-06-1884th212224293845
2014-05-21114th5924293142
2014-04-1245th4612222936
2014-03-2925th51219212945
2014-03-22145th2320222939
2014-02-0142nd142930333645
2014-01-18175th4513212937
2013-11-20254th71524293543
2013-08-24106th1223242629
2013-07-2024th121824293445
2013-07-1355th2610222938
2013-06-26233rd62029313542
2013-04-0686th11216262729
2013-03-0964th2320293943
2013-02-1614th141727293044
2013-02-1313rd31229384143
2013-02-09125th8912162938
2012-12-2915th1815252944
2012-12-2684th11624294144
2012-11-2844th21128293743
2012-11-1453rd162629303641
2012-10-2725th4924252944
2012-10-2024th21215293435
2012-10-13184th7921293036
2012-08-1124th242728293637
2012-08-04213rd222529303544
2012-05-23183rd112829323441
2012-03-21186th6911122129
2012-01-1825th122325282934
2012-01-1164th4626293340
2011-12-2125th21422242941
2011-12-14115th11012272945
2011-11-05225th1415162933
2011-08-20143rd11329344243
2011-07-02145th5611202939
2011-05-14456th2612132629
2010-12-0883rd101929304143
2010-11-1045th61219242940
2010-10-2765th31315232939
2010-10-0664th71317293739
2010-09-1524th21118293237
2010-09-08114th41023293040
2010-07-31103rd102129384244
2010-06-2644th71718293544
2010-06-12134th192428293039
2010-04-2855th91419242936
2010-04-1054th91116294244
2010-03-24154th2811293641
2010-01-3064th3413293436
2010-01-09—4th21324293242