Lotto · every number
22
Number 22 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 86 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.70σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 56% for any number
6.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
29 longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 86 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +0.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 11 times, counted separately.
22 Number 22, draw by draw Drawn 86 times in 601 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 5 draws now
4 draws: 2010-01-20 to 2010-02-03 3 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-02-13 2 draws: 2010-02-13 to 2010-02-20 4 draws: 2010-02-20 to 2010-03-06 1 draws: 2010-03-06 to 2010-03-10 29 draws: 2010-03-10 to 2010-06-19 10 draws: 2010-06-19 to 2010-07-24 16 draws: 2010-07-24 to 2010-09-18 7 draws: 2010-09-18 to 2010-10-13 3 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-10-23 9 draws: 2010-10-23 to 2010-11-24 16 draws: 2010-11-24 to 2011-01-19 8 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-02-16 1 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-02-19 12 draws: 2011-02-19 to 2011-04-02 3 draws: 2011-04-02 to 2011-04-13 13 draws: 2011-04-13 to 2011-05-28 7 draws: 2011-05-28 to 2011-06-22 4 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-07-06 2 draws: 2011-07-06 to 2011-07-13 20 draws: 2011-07-13 to 2011-09-21 5 draws: 2011-09-21 to 2011-10-08 1 draws: 2011-10-08 to 2011-10-12 6 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-11-02 7 draws: 2011-11-02 to 2011-11-26 1 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2011-11-30 2 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2011-12-07 4 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2011-12-21 20 draws: 2011-12-21 to 2012-02-29 3 draws: 2012-02-29 to 2012-03-10 20 draws: 2012-03-10 to 2012-05-19 2 draws: 2012-05-19 to 2012-05-26 2 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-02 6 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-23 1 draws: 2012-06-23 to 2012-06-27 1 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-06-30 9 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-08-01 1 draws: 2012-08-01 to 2012-08-04 11 draws: 2012-08-04 to 2012-09-12 7 draws: 2012-09-12 to 2012-10-06 7 draws: 2012-10-06 to 2012-10-31 13 draws: 2012-10-31 to 2012-12-15 8 draws: 2012-12-15 to 2013-01-12 18 draws: 2013-01-12 to 2013-03-16 1 draws: 2013-03-16 to 2013-03-20 11 draws: 2013-03-20 to 2013-04-27 1 draws: 2013-04-27 to 2013-05-01 17 draws: 2013-05-01 to 2013-06-29 1 draws: 2013-06-29 to 2013-07-03 3 draws: 2013-07-03 to 2013-07-13 4 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-27 9 draws: 2013-07-27 to 2013-08-28 11 draws: 2013-08-28 to 2013-10-05 2 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-10-12 5 draws: 2013-10-12 to 2013-10-30 16 draws: 2013-10-30 to 2013-12-26 1 draws: 2013-12-26 to 2013-12-28 1 draws: 2013-12-28 to 2014-01-01 23 draws: 2014-01-01 to 2014-03-22 6 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-04-12 1 draws: 2014-04-12 to 2014-04-16 1 draws: 2014-04-16 to 2014-04-19 6 draws: 2014-04-19 to 2014-05-10 1 draws: 2014-05-10 to 2014-05-14 8 draws: 2014-05-14 to 2014-06-11 1 draws: 2014-06-11 to 2014-06-14 1 draws: 2014-06-14 to 2014-06-18 9 draws: 2014-06-18 to 2014-07-19 9 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-08-20 4 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-09-03 12 draws: 2014-09-03 to 2014-10-15 6 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-11-05 2 draws: 2014-11-05 to 2014-11-12 19 draws: 2014-11-12 to 2015-01-17 1 draws: 2015-01-17 to 2015-01-21 13 draws: 2015-01-21 to 2015-03-07 9 draws: 2015-03-07 to 2015-04-08 4 draws: 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-22 18 draws: 2015-04-22 to 2015-06-24 1 draws: 2015-06-24 to 2015-06-27 9 draws: 2015-06-27 to 2015-07-29 5 draws: 2015-07-29 to 2015-08-15 4 draws: 2015-08-15 to 2015-08-29 1 draws: 2015-08-29 to 2015-09-02 4 draws: 2015-09-02 to 2015-09-16 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2015-09-16 2010-01-20 2010-02-03 2010-02-13 2010-02-20 2010-03-06 2010-03-10 2010-06-19 2010-07-24 2010-09-18 2010-10-13 2010-10-23 2010-11-24 2011-01-19 2011-02-16 2011-02-19 2011-04-02 2011-04-13 2011-05-28 2011-06-22 2011-07-06 2011-07-13 2011-09-21 2011-10-08 2011-10-12 2011-11-02 2011-11-26 2011-11-30 2011-12-07 2011-12-21 2012-02-29 2012-03-10 2012-05-19 2012-05-26 2012-06-02 2012-06-23 2012-06-27 2012-06-30 2012-08-01 2012-08-04 2012-09-12 2012-10-06 2012-10-31 2012-12-15 2013-01-12 2013-03-16 2013-03-20 2013-04-27 2013-05-01 2013-06-29 2013-07-03 2013-07-13 2013-07-27 2013-08-28 2013-10-05 2013-10-12 2013-10-30 2013-12-26 2013-12-28 2014-01-01 2014-03-22 2014-04-12 2014-04-16 2014-04-19 2014-05-10 2014-05-14 2014-06-11 2014-06-14 2014-06-18 2014-07-19 2014-08-20 2014-09-03 2014-10-15 2014-11-05 2014-11-12 2015-01-17 2015-01-21 2015-03-07 2015-04-08 2015-04-22 2015-06-24 2015-06-27 2015-07-29 2015-08-15 2015-08-29 2015-09-02 2015-09-16 2010-01-02 2015-10-03 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 20 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 5 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 3 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 5 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 7 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 2 · chance 2.7 2nd smallest 13 · chance 14.7 3rd smallest 30 · chance 29.5 4th smallest 33 · chance 26.6 5th smallest 6 · chance 10.9 6th smallest 2 · chance 1.6 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 21 Every number number 23 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.