Lotto · every number
4
Number 4 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 82 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.22σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
7.3 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
28 longest completed wait · 82% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 82 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +0.22σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 11 times, counted separately.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 82 times in 601 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 1 draws now
4 draws: 2010-01-16 to 2010-01-30 4 draws: 2010-01-30 to 2010-02-13 12 draws: 2010-02-13 to 2010-03-27 21 draws: 2010-03-27 to 2010-06-09 14 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-07-28 6 draws: 2010-07-28 to 2010-08-18 4 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-09-01 2 draws: 2010-09-01 to 2010-09-08 3 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-09-18 2 draws: 2010-09-18 to 2010-09-25 15 draws: 2010-09-25 to 2010-11-17 3 draws: 2010-11-17 to 2010-11-27 6 draws: 2010-11-27 to 2010-12-18 3 draws: 2010-12-18 to 2010-12-29 8 draws: 2010-12-29 to 2011-01-26 3 draws: 2011-01-26 to 2011-02-05 11 draws: 2011-02-05 to 2011-03-16 4 draws: 2011-03-16 to 2011-03-30 3 draws: 2011-03-30 to 2011-04-09 13 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-05-25 2 draws: 2011-05-25 to 2011-06-01 1 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-04 12 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-07-16 9 draws: 2011-07-16 to 2011-08-17 4 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-08-31 13 draws: 2011-08-31 to 2011-10-15 2 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2011-10-22 4 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-11-05 8 draws: 2011-11-05 to 2011-12-03 2 draws: 2011-12-03 to 2011-12-10 4 draws: 2011-12-10 to 2011-12-24 1 draws: 2011-12-24 to 2011-12-28 1 draws: 2011-12-28 to 2011-12-31 3 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-01-11 13 draws: 2012-01-11 to 2012-02-25 17 draws: 2012-02-25 to 2012-04-25 9 draws: 2012-04-25 to 2012-05-26 2 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-02 3 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-13 8 draws: 2012-06-13 to 2012-07-11 16 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-09-05 7 draws: 2012-09-05 to 2012-09-29 8 draws: 2012-09-29 to 2012-10-27 3 draws: 2012-10-27 to 2012-11-07 3 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2012-11-17 15 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2013-01-09 7 draws: 2013-01-09 to 2013-02-02 9 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-03-06 26 draws: 2013-03-06 to 2013-06-05 1 draws: 2013-06-05 to 2013-06-08 8 draws: 2013-06-08 to 2013-07-06 1 draws: 2013-07-06 to 2013-07-10 2 draws: 2013-07-10 to 2013-07-17 9 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-08-17 5 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-09-04 5 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-09-21 15 draws: 2013-09-21 to 2013-11-13 5 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2013-11-30 10 draws: 2013-11-30 to 2014-01-04 4 draws: 2014-01-04 to 2014-01-18 2 draws: 2014-01-18 to 2014-01-25 11 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-03-05 11 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-04-12 5 draws: 2014-04-12 to 2014-04-30 13 draws: 2014-04-30 to 2014-06-14 18 draws: 2014-06-14 to 2014-08-16 3 draws: 2014-08-16 to 2014-08-27 1 draws: 2014-08-27 to 2014-08-30 1 draws: 2014-08-30 to 2014-09-03 21 draws: 2014-09-03 to 2014-11-15 9 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-12-17 6 draws: 2014-12-17 to 2015-01-07 11 draws: 2015-01-07 to 2015-02-14 3 draws: 2015-02-14 to 2015-02-25 1 draws: 2015-02-25 to 2015-02-28 3 draws: 2015-02-28 to 2015-03-11 8 draws: 2015-03-11 to 2015-04-08 28 draws: 2015-04-08 to 2015-07-15 9 draws: 2015-07-15 to 2015-08-15 12 draws: 2015-08-15 to 2015-09-26 1 draws: 2015-09-26 to 2015-09-30 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2015-09-30 2010-01-16 2010-01-30 2010-02-13 2010-03-27 2010-06-09 2010-07-28 2010-08-18 2010-09-01 2010-09-08 2010-09-18 2010-09-25 2010-11-17 2010-11-27 2010-12-18 2010-12-29 2011-01-26 2011-02-05 2011-03-16 2011-03-30 2011-04-09 2011-05-25 2011-06-01 2011-06-04 2011-07-16 2011-08-17 2011-08-31 2011-10-15 2011-10-22 2011-11-05 2011-12-03 2011-12-10 2011-12-24 2011-12-28 2011-12-31 2012-01-11 2012-02-25 2012-04-25 2012-05-26 2012-06-02 2012-06-13 2012-07-11 2012-09-05 2012-09-29 2012-10-27 2012-11-07 2012-11-17 2013-01-09 2013-02-02 2013-03-06 2013-06-05 2013-06-08 2013-07-06 2013-07-10 2013-07-17 2013-08-17 2013-09-04 2013-09-21 2013-11-13 2013-11-30 2014-01-04 2014-01-18 2014-01-25 2014-03-05 2014-04-12 2014-04-30 2014-06-14 2014-08-16 2014-08-27 2014-08-30 2014-09-03 2014-11-15 2014-12-17 2015-01-07 2015-02-14 2015-02-25 2015-02-28 2015-03-11 2015-04-08 2015-07-15 2015-08-15 2015-09-26 2015-09-30 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 12 times 4 draws: 8 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 58 · chance 56.6 2nd smallest 22 · chance 22.9 3rd smallest 2 · chance 2.4 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.