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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

43

Number 43

In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 20156/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015
77times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.38σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 75% for any number
7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
31longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long
43 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 77 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −0.38σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 12 times, counted separately.

43

Number 43, draw by draw

Drawn 77 times in 601 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 3 draws now

8 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-07-142 draws: 2010-07-14 to 2010-07-215 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-08-073 draws: 2010-08-07 to 2010-08-183 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-08-2829 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-12-085 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2010-12-242 draws: 2010-12-24 to 2011-01-0112 draws: 2011-01-01 to 2011-02-1224 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-05-071 draws: 2011-05-07 to 2011-05-114 draws: 2011-05-11 to 2011-05-258 draws: 2011-05-25 to 2011-06-2217 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-08-204 draws: 2011-08-20 to 2011-09-036 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-09-241 draws: 2011-09-24 to 2011-09-287 draws: 2011-09-28 to 2011-10-227 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-11-1627 draws: 2011-11-16 to 2012-02-188 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-03-1718 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-05-1911 draws: 2012-05-19 to 2012-06-275 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-07-142 draws: 2012-07-14 to 2012-07-212 draws: 2012-07-21 to 2012-07-2821 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-10-106 draws: 2012-10-10 to 2012-10-318 draws: 2012-10-31 to 2012-11-281 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-015 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2012-12-1913 draws: 2012-12-19 to 2013-02-023 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-02-137 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-03-093 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-03-208 draws: 2013-03-20 to 2013-04-1712 draws: 2013-04-17 to 2013-05-299 draws: 2013-05-29 to 2013-06-297 draws: 2013-06-29 to 2013-07-247 draws: 2013-07-24 to 2013-08-178 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-09-144 draws: 2013-09-14 to 2013-09-285 draws: 2013-09-28 to 2013-10-164 draws: 2013-10-16 to 2013-10-306 draws: 2013-10-30 to 2013-11-204 draws: 2013-11-20 to 2013-12-044 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2013-12-185 draws: 2013-12-18 to 2014-01-047 draws: 2014-01-04 to 2014-01-296 draws: 2014-01-29 to 2014-02-194 draws: 2014-02-19 to 2014-03-0513 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-04-194 draws: 2014-04-19 to 2014-05-039 draws: 2014-05-03 to 2014-06-046 draws: 2014-06-04 to 2014-06-252 draws: 2014-06-25 to 2014-07-022 draws: 2014-07-02 to 2014-07-091 draws: 2014-07-09 to 2014-07-123 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-07-235 draws: 2014-07-23 to 2014-08-094 draws: 2014-08-09 to 2014-08-233 draws: 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-033 draws: 2014-09-03 to 2014-09-135 draws: 2014-09-13 to 2014-10-0131 draws: 2014-10-01 to 2015-01-172 draws: 2015-01-17 to 2015-01-244 draws: 2015-01-24 to 2015-02-0714 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-03-2818 draws: 2015-03-28 to 2015-05-302 draws: 2015-05-30 to 2015-06-063 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-06-175 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-07-041 draws: 2015-07-04 to 2015-07-0810 draws: 2015-07-08 to 2015-08-128 draws: 2015-08-12 to 2015-09-094 draws: 2015-09-09 to 2015-09-23Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2015-09-232010-06-162010-07-142010-07-212010-08-072010-08-182010-08-282010-12-082010-12-242011-01-012011-02-122011-05-072011-05-112011-05-252011-06-222011-08-202011-09-032011-09-242011-09-282011-10-222011-11-162012-02-182012-03-172012-05-192012-06-272012-07-142012-07-212012-07-282012-10-102012-10-312012-11-282012-12-012012-12-192013-02-022013-02-132013-03-092013-03-202013-04-172013-05-292013-06-292013-07-242013-08-172013-09-142013-09-282013-10-162013-10-302013-11-202013-12-042013-12-182014-01-042014-01-292014-02-192014-03-052014-04-192014-05-032014-06-042014-06-252014-07-022014-07-092014-07-122014-07-232014-08-092014-08-232014-09-032014-09-132014-10-012015-01-172015-01-242015-02-072015-03-282015-05-302015-06-062015-06-172015-07-042015-07-082015-08-122015-09-092015-09-232010-01-022015-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 5 times2 draws: 8 times3 draws: 8 times4 draws: 11 times5 draws: 9 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 6 times8 draws: 7 times9 draws: 2 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 2 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 1 time32 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 43 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 4th smallest1 · chance 0.8
  • 5th smallest15 · chance 15.9
  • 6th smallest61 · chance 60.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10123539402

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 43 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 43 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2015-09-2346th5614163243
2015-09-0985th2621264345
2015-08-12106th2818212843
2015-07-0816th
← number 42Every numbernumber 44 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 43 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2
10
21
28
40
43
2015-07-0456th21214183643
2015-06-1736th101426394043
2015-06-0625th72735394344
2015-05-30186th82835404143
2015-03-28146th21018263943
2015-02-0746th6810243043
2015-01-2425th1912384344
2015-01-17315th81322234345
2014-10-0155th212326374344
2014-09-1336th82433354043
2014-09-0336th4613224143
2014-08-2346th3918283243
2014-08-0955th111219214345
2014-07-2336th7924263643
2014-07-1216th51928293943
2014-07-0926th5619324243
2014-07-0226th111620303443
2014-06-2566th71113202643
2014-06-0496th131424313543
2014-05-0346th101117394143
The other 53 appearances
2014-04-19136th131622263643
2014-03-0546th41924252743
2014-02-1965th1624334344
2014-01-2976th21221273943
2014-01-0456th42535384243
2013-12-1846th1632374143
2013-12-0444th131631434445
2013-11-2066th71524293543
2013-10-3046th91415222443
2013-10-1656th121930384043
2013-09-2846th192432333743
2013-09-1486th5915313543
2013-08-1775th41116334345
2013-07-2476th7910394243
2013-06-2996th121719222843
2013-05-29126th61214163343
2013-04-1786th162531394043
2013-03-2036th162231333443
2013-03-0976th2320293943
2013-02-1336th31229384143
2013-02-02136th41215273643
2012-12-1956th82324273543
2012-12-0116th21117404243
2012-11-2886th21128293743
2012-10-3166th141620223143
2012-10-10215th11017184344
2012-07-2826th61125334043
2012-07-2125th103435374344
2012-07-1456th132526414243
2012-06-27116th11722234043
2012-05-19186th1517223543
2012-03-1786th91736384043
2012-02-18275th31025384344
2011-11-1676th5911132843
2011-10-2275th41021324344
2011-09-2816th51015273543
2011-09-2466th2719233343
2011-09-0346th111221384143
2011-08-20176th11329344243
2011-06-2286th6910223243
2011-05-2546th41214374143
2011-05-1116th283437394143
2011-05-07245th71224364345
2011-02-12126th91016263843
2011-01-0126th8910283043
2010-12-2456th2821383943
2010-12-08296th101929304143
2010-08-2835th132330374345
2010-08-1836th1420313443
2010-08-0755th12332404344
2010-07-2126th11123353943
2010-07-1486th51331364243
2010-06-16—6th262736384043