Lotto · every number
3
Number 3 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 80 times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.02σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 56% for any number
7.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
30 longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 80 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −0.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 7 times, counted separately.
3 Number 3, draw by draw Drawn 80 times in 601 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 5 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-30 to 2010-02-03 7 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-02-27 15 draws: 2010-02-27 to 2010-04-21 3 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-05-01 8 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-29 10 draws: 2010-05-29 to 2010-07-03 4 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-17 13 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-09-01 3 draws: 2010-09-01 to 2010-09-11 6 draws: 2010-09-11 to 2010-10-02 7 draws: 2010-10-02 to 2010-10-27 3 draws: 2010-10-27 to 2010-11-06 6 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-11-27 2 draws: 2010-11-27 to 2010-12-04 12 draws: 2010-12-04 to 2011-01-15 16 draws: 2011-01-15 to 2011-03-12 15 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-05-04 15 draws: 2011-05-04 to 2011-06-25 7 draws: 2011-06-25 to 2011-07-20 3 draws: 2011-07-20 to 2011-07-30 30 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-11-12 2 draws: 2011-11-12 to 2011-11-19 3 draws: 2011-11-19 to 2011-11-30 2 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2011-12-07 3 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2011-12-17 3 draws: 2011-12-17 to 2011-12-28 2 draws: 2011-12-28 to 2012-01-04 5 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-21 2 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-01-28 6 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-18 6 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-03-10 1 draws: 2012-03-10 to 2012-03-14 3 draws: 2012-03-14 to 2012-03-24 6 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-14 3 draws: 2012-04-14 to 2012-04-25 1 draws: 2012-04-25 to 2012-04-28 3 draws: 2012-04-28 to 2012-05-09 1 draws: 2012-05-09 to 2012-05-12 17 draws: 2012-05-12 to 2012-07-11 28 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-10-17 16 draws: 2012-10-17 to 2012-12-12 1 draws: 2012-12-12 to 2012-12-15 12 draws: 2012-12-15 to 2013-01-26 1 draws: 2013-01-26 to 2013-01-30 2 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-02-06 2 draws: 2013-02-06 to 2013-02-13 2 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-20 5 draws: 2013-02-20 to 2013-03-09 2 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-03-16 10 draws: 2013-03-16 to 2013-04-20 8 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-05-18 9 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-06-19 1 draws: 2013-06-19 to 2013-06-22 4 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-07-06 3 draws: 2013-07-06 to 2013-07-17 27 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-10-19 10 draws: 2013-10-19 to 2013-11-23 14 draws: 2013-11-23 to 2014-01-11 20 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-03-22 10 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-04-26 5 draws: 2014-04-26 to 2014-05-14 4 draws: 2014-05-14 to 2014-05-28 1 draws: 2014-05-28 to 2014-05-31 22 draws: 2014-05-31 to 2014-08-16 2 draws: 2014-08-16 to 2014-08-23 18 draws: 2014-08-23 to 2014-10-25 6 draws: 2014-10-25 to 2014-11-15 3 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-11-26 5 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2014-12-13 3 draws: 2014-12-13 to 2014-12-24 16 draws: 2014-12-24 to 2015-02-18 2 draws: 2015-02-18 to 2015-02-25 3 draws: 2015-02-25 to 2015-03-07 14 draws: 2015-03-07 to 2015-04-25 1 draws: 2015-04-25 to 2015-04-29 10 draws: 2015-04-29 to 2015-06-03 17 draws: 2015-06-03 to 2015-08-01 4 draws: 2015-08-01 to 2015-08-15 9 draws: 2015-08-15 to 2015-09-16 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2015-09-16 2010-01-30 2010-02-03 2010-02-27 2010-04-21 2010-05-01 2010-05-29 2010-07-03 2010-07-17 2010-09-01 2010-09-11 2010-10-02 2010-10-27 2010-11-06 2010-11-27 2010-12-04 2011-01-15 2011-03-12 2011-05-04 2011-06-25 2011-07-20 2011-07-30 2011-11-12 2011-11-19 2011-11-30 2011-12-07 2011-12-17 2011-12-28 2012-01-04 2012-01-21 2012-01-28 2012-02-18 2012-03-10 2012-03-14 2012-03-24 2012-04-14 2012-04-25 2012-04-28 2012-05-09 2012-05-12 2012-07-11 2012-10-17 2012-12-12 2012-12-15 2013-01-26 2013-01-30 2013-02-06 2013-02-13 2013-02-20 2013-03-09 2013-03-16 2013-04-20 2013-05-18 2013-06-19 2013-06-22 2013-07-06 2013-07-17 2013-10-19 2013-11-23 2014-01-11 2014-03-22 2014-04-26 2014-05-14 2014-05-28 2014-05-31 2014-08-16 2014-08-23 2014-10-25 2014-11-15 2014-11-26 2014-12-13 2014-12-24 2015-02-18 2015-02-25 2015-03-07 2015-04-25 2015-04-29 2015-06-03 2015-08-01 2015-08-15 2015-09-16 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 11 times 3 draws: 14 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 3 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 0 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 61 · chance 62.7 2nd smallest 19 · chance 16.5 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.8 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 2 Every number number 4 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.