Lotto · every number
40
Number 40 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 89 times drawn · chance expected 80 +1.06σ
6 draws waiting · a wait this long: 49% for any number
6.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
40 longest completed wait · 28% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 89 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +1.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 14 times, counted separately.
40 Number 40, draw by draw Drawn 89 times in 601 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 6 draws now
7 draws: 2010-01-23 to 2010-02-17 13 draws: 2010-02-17 to 2010-04-03 8 draws: 2010-04-03 to 2010-05-01 1 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-05 1 draws: 2010-05-05 to 2010-05-08 5 draws: 2010-05-08 to 2010-05-26 6 draws: 2010-05-26 to 2010-06-16 15 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-08-07 5 draws: 2010-08-07 to 2010-08-25 4 draws: 2010-08-25 to 2010-09-08 11 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-10-16 1 draws: 2010-10-16 to 2010-10-20 6 draws: 2010-10-20 to 2010-11-10 1 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2010-11-13 5 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-12-01 14 draws: 2010-12-01 to 2011-01-19 10 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-02-23 1 draws: 2011-02-23 to 2011-02-26 9 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-30 7 draws: 2011-03-30 to 2011-04-23 8 draws: 2011-04-23 to 2011-05-21 13 draws: 2011-05-21 to 2011-07-06 11 draws: 2011-07-06 to 2011-08-13 1 draws: 2011-08-13 to 2011-08-17 2 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-08-24 11 draws: 2011-08-24 to 2011-10-01 8 draws: 2011-10-01 to 2011-10-29 3 draws: 2011-10-29 to 2011-11-09 1 draws: 2011-11-09 to 2011-11-12 8 draws: 2011-11-12 to 2011-12-10 9 draws: 2011-12-10 to 2012-01-11 3 draws: 2012-01-11 to 2012-01-21 5 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-02-08 5 draws: 2012-02-08 to 2012-02-25 6 draws: 2012-02-25 to 2012-03-17 3 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-03-28 9 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-04-28 10 draws: 2012-04-28 to 2012-06-02 5 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-20 1 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-23 1 draws: 2012-06-23 to 2012-06-27 9 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-07-28 3 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-08-08 10 draws: 2012-08-08 to 2012-09-12 2 draws: 2012-09-12 to 2012-09-19 4 draws: 2012-09-19 to 2012-10-03 1 draws: 2012-10-03 to 2012-10-06 14 draws: 2012-10-06 to 2012-11-24 2 draws: 2012-11-24 to 2012-12-01 14 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2013-01-19 25 draws: 2013-01-19 to 2013-04-17 8 draws: 2013-04-17 to 2013-05-15 10 draws: 2013-05-15 to 2013-06-19 11 draws: 2013-06-19 to 2013-07-27 3 draws: 2013-07-27 to 2013-08-07 6 draws: 2013-08-07 to 2013-08-28 7 draws: 2013-08-28 to 2013-09-21 6 draws: 2013-09-21 to 2013-10-12 1 draws: 2013-10-12 to 2013-10-16 2 draws: 2013-10-16 to 2013-10-23 4 draws: 2013-10-23 to 2013-11-06 15 draws: 2013-11-06 to 2013-12-28 18 draws: 2013-12-28 to 2014-03-01 5 draws: 2014-03-01 to 2014-03-19 40 draws: 2014-03-19 to 2014-08-06 4 draws: 2014-08-06 to 2014-08-20 7 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-09-13 7 draws: 2014-09-13 to 2014-10-08 1 draws: 2014-10-08 to 2014-10-11 3 draws: 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-22 2 draws: 2014-10-22 to 2014-10-29 4 draws: 2014-10-29 to 2014-11-12 6 draws: 2014-11-12 to 2014-12-03 7 draws: 2014-12-03 to 2014-12-27 1 draws: 2014-12-27 to 2014-12-31 6 draws: 2014-12-31 to 2015-01-21 7 draws: 2015-01-21 to 2015-02-14 8 draws: 2015-02-14 to 2015-03-14 6 draws: 2015-03-14 to 2015-04-04 13 draws: 2015-04-04 to 2015-05-20 2 draws: 2015-05-20 to 2015-05-27 1 draws: 2015-05-27 to 2015-05-30 5 draws: 2015-05-30 to 2015-06-17 6 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-07-08 4 draws: 2015-07-08 to 2015-07-22 4 draws: 2015-07-22 to 2015-08-05 1 draws: 2015-08-05 to 2015-08-08 10 draws: 2015-08-08 to 2015-09-12 Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2015-09-12 2010-01-23 2010-02-17 2010-04-03 2010-05-01 2010-05-05 2010-05-08 2010-05-26 2010-06-16 2010-08-07 2010-08-25 2010-09-08 2010-10-16 2010-10-20 2010-11-10 2010-11-13 2010-12-01 2011-01-19 2011-02-23 2011-02-26 2011-03-30 2011-04-23 2011-05-21 2011-07-06 2011-08-13 2011-08-17 2011-08-24 2011-10-01 2011-10-29 2011-11-09 2011-11-12 2011-12-10 2012-01-11 2012-01-21 2012-02-08 2012-02-25 2012-03-17 2012-03-28 2012-04-28 2012-06-02 2012-06-20 2012-06-23 2012-06-27 2012-07-28 2012-08-08 2012-09-12 2012-09-19 2012-10-03 2012-10-06 2012-11-24 2012-12-01 2013-01-19 2013-04-17 2013-05-15 2013-06-19 2013-07-27 2013-08-07 2013-08-28 2013-09-21 2013-10-12 2013-10-16 2013-10-23 2013-11-06 2013-12-28 2014-03-01 2014-03-19 2014-08-06 2014-08-20 2014-09-13 2014-10-08 2014-10-11 2014-10-22 2014-10-29 2014-11-12 2014-12-03 2014-12-27 2014-12-31 2015-01-21 2015-02-14 2015-03-14 2015-04-04 2015-05-20 2015-05-27 2015-05-30 2015-06-17 2015-07-08 2015-07-22 2015-08-05 2015-08-08 2015-09-12 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 15 times 2 draws: 6 times 3 draws: 6 times 4 draws: 7 times 5 draws: 8 times 6 draws: 9 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 2 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 0 · chance 0.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.6 4th smallest 8 · chance 7.5 5th smallest 36 · chance 33.7 6th smallest 45 · chance 47.2 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers above 31 ×0.86 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 39 Every number number 41 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.