Number 25

In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

70times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.22σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 56% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

42longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long

25 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 70 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −1.22σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 12 times, counted separately.

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 70 times in 601 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.0
2nd smallest10 · chance 7.5
3rd smallest21 · chance 20.3
4th smallest27 · chance 24.8
5th smallest8 · chance 13.7
6th smallest3 · chance 2.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

30 28 12 38 5 6

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-16	19	4th	3 9 22 25 27 31
2015-07-11	26	4th	1 20 24 25 37 38
2015-04-11	17	3rd	6 8 25 29 31 42
2015-02-11	6	4th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2013-03-23	3	5th	7 12 15 20 25 33
2013-03-13	5	4th	2 11 14 25 30 34
2013-02-23	5	2nd	23 25 30 32 34 39
2013-02-06	11	5th	3 5 9 13 25 42
2012-12-29	10	4th	1 8 15 25 29 44
2012-11-24	1	3rd	7 11 25 28 30 40
2012-11-21	7	4th	9 10 23 25 32 38
2012-10-27	8	4th	4 9 24 25 29 44
2012-09-29	4	4th	4 5 15 25 28 33
2012-09-15	1	2nd	11 25 27 28 35 45
2012-09-12	11	3rd	12 22 25 32 39 40
2012-08-04	1	2nd	22 25 29 30 35 44
2012-08-01	1	5th	1 5 15 22 25 39
2012-07-28	3	3rd	6 11 25 33 40 43
2012-07-18	1	4th	5 6 11 25 30 41
2012-07-14	26	2nd	13 25 26 41 42 43
2012-04-14	12	4th	3 12 18 25 41 42
2012-03-03	1	3rd	12 13 25 36 41 45
2012-02-29	3	4th	7 20 22 25 28 32
2012-02-18	4	3rd	3 10 25 38 43 44
2012-02-04	4	4th	7 9 12 25 27 45
2012-01-21	1	3rd	3 7 25 34 40 44
2012-01-18	7	3rd	12 23 25 28 29 34
2011-12-24	12	4th	4 5 24 25 28 42
2011-11-12	5	4th	3 9 12 25 40 42
2011-10-26	2	3rd	14 21 25 28 31 36
2011-10-19	9	4th	12 18 21 25 38 45
2011-09-17	1	3rd	10 16 25 35 39 41
2011-09-14	6	4th	8 10 23 25 37 38
2011-08-24	27	3rd	8 14 25 36 38 40
2011-05-21	12	1st	25 26 28 35 36 40
2011-04-09	4	3rd	4 12 25 27 41 44
2011-03-26	6	4th	15 21 23 25 44 45
2011-03-05	8	6th	1 8 15 21 24 25
2011-02-05	1	6th	4 5 6 15 20 25
2011-02-02	6	5th	1 2 14 24 25 30
2011-01-12	6	3rd	6 23 25 26 28 38
2010-12-22	5	3rd	7 16 25 38 42 44
2010-12-04	1	4th	2 3 9 25 33 38
2010-12-01	8	3rd	5 11 25 27 30 40
2010-11-03	3	3rd	12 20 25 27 32 42
2010-10-23	8	4th	15 16 22 25 31 32
2010-09-25	24	5th	2 4 6 15 25 45
2010-07-03	21	3rd	3 12 25 39 41 44
2010-04-21	20	2nd	3 25 30 33 37 41
2010-02-10	—	2nd	23 25 26 27 30 32