Lotto · every number
30
Number 30 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 80 times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.02σ
11 draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number
7.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
30 longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 80 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −0.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 13 times, counted separately.
30 Number 30, draw by draw Drawn 80 times in 601 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 11 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-13 to 2010-01-16 6 draws: 2010-01-16 to 2010-02-06 1 draws: 2010-02-06 to 2010-02-10 20 draws: 2010-02-10 to 2010-04-21 3 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-05-01 1 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-05 10 draws: 2010-05-05 to 2010-06-09 1 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-12 10 draws: 2010-06-12 to 2010-07-17 12 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-08-28 3 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-09-08 9 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-10-09 1 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-10-13 7 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-11-06 7 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-12-01 2 draws: 2010-12-01 to 2010-12-08 7 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2011-01-01 9 draws: 2011-01-01 to 2011-02-02 24 draws: 2011-02-02 to 2011-04-27 1 draws: 2011-04-27 to 2011-04-30 12 draws: 2011-04-30 to 2011-06-11 13 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-07-27 30 draws: 2011-07-27 to 2011-11-09 3 draws: 2011-11-09 to 2011-11-19 12 draws: 2011-11-19 to 2011-12-31 9 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-02-01 10 draws: 2012-02-01 to 2012-03-07 2 draws: 2012-03-07 to 2012-03-14 18 draws: 2012-03-14 to 2012-05-16 4 draws: 2012-05-16 to 2012-05-30 5 draws: 2012-05-30 to 2012-06-16 9 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-07-18 5 draws: 2012-07-18 to 2012-08-04 20 draws: 2012-08-04 to 2012-10-13 9 draws: 2012-10-13 to 2012-11-14 3 draws: 2012-11-14 to 2012-11-24 6 draws: 2012-11-24 to 2012-12-15 5 draws: 2012-12-15 to 2013-01-02 13 draws: 2013-01-02 to 2013-02-16 2 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-02-23 2 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-03-02 3 draws: 2013-03-02 to 2013-03-13 16 draws: 2013-03-13 to 2013-05-08 3 draws: 2013-05-08 to 2013-05-18 22 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-08-03 19 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-10-09 2 draws: 2013-10-09 to 2013-10-16 19 draws: 2013-10-16 to 2013-12-21 5 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2014-01-08 2 draws: 2014-01-08 to 2014-01-15 3 draws: 2014-01-15 to 2014-01-25 2 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-02-01 1 draws: 2014-02-01 to 2014-02-05 14 draws: 2014-02-05 to 2014-03-26 8 draws: 2014-03-26 to 2014-04-23 7 draws: 2014-04-23 to 2014-05-17 2 draws: 2014-05-17 to 2014-05-24 4 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-06-07 1 draws: 2014-06-07 to 2014-06-11 6 draws: 2014-06-11 to 2014-07-02 14 draws: 2014-07-02 to 2014-08-20 2 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-08-27 12 draws: 2014-08-27 to 2014-10-08 3 draws: 2014-10-08 to 2014-10-18 24 draws: 2014-10-18 to 2015-01-10 5 draws: 2015-01-10 to 2015-01-28 1 draws: 2015-01-28 to 2015-01-31 2 draws: 2015-01-31 to 2015-02-07 1 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-02-11 7 draws: 2015-02-11 to 2015-03-07 7 draws: 2015-03-07 to 2015-04-01 1 draws: 2015-04-01 to 2015-04-04 1 draws: 2015-04-04 to 2015-04-08 2 draws: 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-15 5 draws: 2015-04-15 to 2015-05-02 6 draws: 2015-05-02 to 2015-05-23 8 draws: 2015-05-23 to 2015-06-20 1 draws: 2015-06-20 to 2015-06-24 18 draws: 2015-06-24 to 2015-08-26 Still waiting — at least 11 draws since 2015-08-26 2010-01-13 2010-01-16 2010-02-06 2010-02-10 2010-04-21 2010-05-01 2010-05-05 2010-06-09 2010-06-12 2010-07-17 2010-08-28 2010-09-08 2010-10-09 2010-10-13 2010-11-06 2010-12-01 2010-12-08 2011-01-01 2011-02-02 2011-04-27 2011-04-30 2011-06-11 2011-07-27 2011-11-09 2011-11-19 2011-12-31 2012-02-01 2012-03-07 2012-03-14 2012-05-16 2012-05-30 2012-06-16 2012-07-18 2012-08-04 2012-10-13 2012-11-14 2012-11-24 2012-12-15 2013-01-02 2013-02-16 2013-02-23 2013-03-02 2013-03-13 2013-05-08 2013-05-18 2013-08-03 2013-10-09 2013-10-16 2013-12-21 2014-01-08 2014-01-15 2014-01-25 2014-02-01 2014-02-05 2014-03-26 2014-04-23 2014-05-17 2014-05-24 2014-06-07 2014-06-11 2014-07-02 2014-08-20 2014-08-27 2014-10-08 2014-10-18 2015-01-10 2015-01-28 2015-01-31 2015-02-07 2015-02-11 2015-03-07 2015-04-01 2015-04-04 2015-04-08 2015-04-15 2015-05-02 2015-05-23 2015-06-20 2015-06-24 2015-08-26 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 11 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 2 times 5 draws: 6 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 5 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 0 times 12 draws: 4 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 1 · chance 0.2 2nd smallest 1 · chance 2.9 3rd smallest 9 · chance 13.6 4th smallest 25 · chance 28.3 5th smallest 37 · chance 26.2 6th smallest 7 · chance 8.7 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 29 Every number number 31 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.