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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

11

Number 11

In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 20156/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015
80times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.02σ
18draws waiting · a wait this long: 9% for any number
7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
33longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 80 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, −0.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 13 times, counted separately.

11

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 80 times in 601 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 18 draws now

4 draws: 2010-01-20 to 2010-02-0314 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-03-245 draws: 2010-03-24 to 2010-04-1010 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-05-155 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-06-025 draws: 2010-06-02 to 2010-06-191 draws: 2010-06-19 to 2010-06-235 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-07-103 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-07-211 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-07-2412 draws: 2010-07-24 to 2010-09-043 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-09-152 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-09-226 draws: 2010-09-22 to 2010-10-137 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-11-062 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-11-135 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-12-0130 draws: 2010-12-01 to 2011-03-168 draws: 2011-03-16 to 2011-04-131 draws: 2011-04-13 to 2011-04-162 draws: 2011-04-16 to 2011-04-2314 draws: 2011-04-23 to 2011-06-111 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-06-153 draws: 2011-06-15 to 2011-06-252 draws: 2011-06-25 to 2011-07-021 draws: 2011-07-02 to 2011-07-061 draws: 2011-07-06 to 2011-07-0916 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-09-0311 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-10-128 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-11-092 draws: 2011-11-09 to 2011-11-164 draws: 2011-11-16 to 2011-11-309 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2011-12-311 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-01-046 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-258 draws: 2012-01-25 to 2012-02-221 draws: 2012-02-22 to 2012-02-257 draws: 2012-02-25 to 2012-03-212 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-281 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-03-317 draws: 2012-03-31 to 2012-04-258 draws: 2012-04-25 to 2012-05-2316 draws: 2012-05-23 to 2012-07-183 draws: 2012-07-18 to 2012-07-285 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-08-159 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-09-152 draws: 2012-09-15 to 2012-09-229 draws: 2012-09-22 to 2012-10-247 draws: 2012-10-24 to 2012-11-172 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-11-241 draws: 2012-11-24 to 2012-11-281 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-012 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2012-12-0815 draws: 2012-12-08 to 2013-01-3010 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-03-062 draws: 2013-03-06 to 2013-03-131 draws: 2013-03-13 to 2013-03-164 draws: 2013-03-16 to 2013-03-3015 draws: 2013-03-30 to 2013-05-221 draws: 2013-05-22 to 2013-05-252 draws: 2013-05-25 to 2013-06-0122 draws: 2013-06-01 to 2013-08-1728 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-11-2322 draws: 2013-11-23 to 2014-02-0824 draws: 2014-02-08 to 2014-05-036 draws: 2014-05-03 to 2014-05-249 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-06-252 draws: 2014-06-25 to 2014-07-029 draws: 2014-07-02 to 2014-08-021 draws: 2014-08-02 to 2014-08-061 draws: 2014-08-06 to 2014-08-098 draws: 2014-08-09 to 2014-09-0621 draws: 2014-09-06 to 2014-11-192 draws: 2014-11-19 to 2014-11-2623 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2015-02-1433 draws: 2015-02-14 to 2015-06-103 draws: 2015-06-10 to 2015-06-2010 draws: 2015-06-20 to 2015-07-252 draws: 2015-07-25 to 2015-08-01Still waiting — at least 18 draws since 2015-08-012010-01-202010-02-032010-03-242010-04-102010-05-152010-06-022010-06-192010-06-232010-07-102010-07-212010-07-242010-09-042010-09-152010-09-222010-10-132010-11-062010-11-132010-12-012011-03-162011-04-132011-04-162011-04-232011-06-112011-06-152011-06-252011-07-022011-07-062011-07-092011-09-032011-10-122011-11-092011-11-162011-11-302011-12-312012-01-042012-01-252012-02-222012-02-252012-03-212012-03-282012-03-312012-04-252012-05-232012-07-182012-07-282012-08-152012-09-152012-09-222012-10-242012-11-172012-11-242012-11-282012-12-012012-12-082013-01-302013-03-062013-03-132013-03-162013-03-302013-05-222013-05-252013-06-012013-08-172013-11-232014-02-082014-05-032014-05-242014-06-252014-07-022014-08-022014-08-062014-08-092014-09-062014-11-192014-11-262015-02-142015-06-102015-06-202015-07-252015-08-012010-01-022015-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 15 times2 draws: 14 times3 draws: 5 times4 draws: 3 times5 draws: 6 times6 draws: 3 times7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 5 times9 draws: 5 times10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 2 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 1 time31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 1 time34 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest17 · chance 20.5
  • 2nd smallest39 · chance 34.2
  • 3rd smallest21 · chance 19.8
  • 4th smallest3 · chance 5.0
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.5
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36228334112

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2015-08-0123rd3711333742
2015-07-25101st113334394144
2015-06-2031st112030343639
2015-06-10331st
← number 10Every numbernumber 12 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

11
16
21
27
29
35
2015-02-14234th456113540
2014-11-2623rd2311122342
2014-11-19212nd91112293135
2014-09-0683rd6911213338
2014-08-0911st111219214345
2014-08-0612nd71124323340
2014-08-0291st112426363845
2014-07-0221st111620303443
2014-06-2592nd71113202643
2014-05-2462nd21121273041
2014-05-03242nd101117394143
2014-02-08222nd71116173644
2013-11-23284th138111434
2013-08-17222nd41116334345
2013-06-0123rd2811141736
2013-05-2512nd101121353742
2013-05-22153rd5811142334
2013-03-3042nd51112174244
2013-03-1612nd31122283537
2013-03-1322nd21114253034
The other 56 appearances
2013-03-06103rd41011161735
2013-01-30153rd3811232733
2012-12-0822nd81120343642
2012-12-0112nd21117404243
2012-11-2812nd21128293743
2012-11-2422nd71125283040
2012-11-1772nd41117283945
2012-10-2492nd11114161823
2012-09-2222nd91117243341
2012-09-1591st112527283545
2012-08-1552nd21116263136
2012-07-2832nd61125334043
2012-07-18163rd5611253041
2012-05-2381st112829323441
2012-04-2573rd3411123644
2012-03-3112nd61119233241
2012-03-2821st111317232840
2012-03-2173rd6911122129
2012-02-2512nd41119263540
2012-02-2281st111315202833
2012-01-2562nd11113141537
2012-01-0412nd31120233336
2011-12-3192nd41123303744
2011-11-3042nd31122263341
2011-11-1623rd5911132843
2011-11-0982nd21130364044
2011-10-12112nd101119224144
2011-09-03161st111221384143
2011-07-0913rd2911203336
2011-07-0612nd101112223740
2011-07-0223rd5611202939
2011-06-2532nd31123242738
2011-06-1513rd7811124244
2011-06-11142nd21113182030
2011-04-2323rd71011153740
2011-04-1611st111720283645
2011-04-1382nd21112162227
2011-03-16303rd2411182744
2010-12-0152nd51125273040
2010-11-1322nd101136404245
2010-11-0673rd3911172830
2010-10-1361st112224273041
2010-09-2223rd5811122636
2010-09-1532nd21118293237
2010-09-04123rd51011232638
2010-07-2412nd51118222728
2010-07-2132nd11123353943
2010-07-1052nd101124323444
2010-06-2311st111218213233
2010-06-1954th7910112237
2010-06-0251st112735374445
2010-05-15101st112021283839
2010-04-1052nd91116294244
2010-03-24143rd2811293641
2010-02-0343rd31011223642
2010-01-20—1st112122243441