Lotto · every number
2
Number 2 In Lotto under the 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 601 draws, 6 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 104 times drawn · chance expected 80 +2.86σ
7 draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number
5.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
28 longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long
2 looks unusual on its own — and unremarkable among 45 numbers Drawn 104 times in 601 draws against 80.1 expected, +2.86σ. Testing all 45 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.2e-4 and this does not pass it. It has also come out as the bonus ball 9 times, counted separately.
2 Number 2, draw by draw Drawn 104 times in 601 draws · average wait 5.7 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 7 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-06 to 2010-01-09 4 draws: 2010-01-09 to 2010-01-23 1 draws: 2010-01-23 to 2010-01-27 8 draws: 2010-01-27 to 2010-02-24 1 draws: 2010-02-24 to 2010-02-27 2 draws: 2010-02-27 to 2010-03-06 5 draws: 2010-03-06 to 2010-03-24 2 draws: 2010-03-24 to 2010-03-31 2 draws: 2010-03-31 to 2010-04-07 7 draws: 2010-04-07 to 2010-05-01 5 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-19 14 draws: 2010-05-19 to 2010-07-07 3 draws: 2010-07-07 to 2010-07-17 17 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-09-15 3 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-09-25 7 draws: 2010-09-25 to 2010-10-20 10 draws: 2010-10-20 to 2010-11-24 3 draws: 2010-11-24 to 2010-12-04 6 draws: 2010-12-04 to 2010-12-24 1 draws: 2010-12-24 to 2010-12-29 6 draws: 2010-12-29 to 2011-01-19 1 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-01-22 3 draws: 2011-01-22 to 2011-02-02 12 draws: 2011-02-02 to 2011-03-16 1 draws: 2011-03-16 to 2011-03-19 1 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-03-23 6 draws: 2011-03-23 to 2011-04-13 5 draws: 2011-04-13 to 2011-04-30 4 draws: 2011-04-30 to 2011-05-14 1 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-18 7 draws: 2011-05-18 to 2011-06-11 8 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-07-09 2 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-07-16 7 draws: 2011-07-16 to 2011-08-10 1 draws: 2011-08-10 to 2011-08-13 7 draws: 2011-08-13 to 2011-09-07 5 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-09-24 13 draws: 2011-09-24 to 2011-11-09 12 draws: 2011-11-09 to 2011-12-21 5 draws: 2011-12-21 to 2012-01-07 7 draws: 2012-01-07 to 2012-02-01 10 draws: 2012-02-01 to 2012-03-07 12 draws: 2012-03-07 to 2012-04-18 11 draws: 2012-04-18 to 2012-05-26 6 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-16 4 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-06-30 13 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-08-15 1 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-08-18 1 draws: 2012-08-18 to 2012-08-22 8 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-09-19 2 draws: 2012-09-19 to 2012-09-26 6 draws: 2012-09-26 to 2012-10-17 1 draws: 2012-10-17 to 2012-10-20 11 draws: 2012-10-20 to 2012-11-28 1 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-01 9 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2013-01-02 3 draws: 2013-01-02 to 2013-01-12 13 draws: 2013-01-12 to 2013-02-27 3 draws: 2013-02-27 to 2013-03-09 1 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-03-13 12 draws: 2013-03-13 to 2013-04-24 4 draws: 2013-04-24 to 2013-05-08 7 draws: 2013-05-08 to 2013-06-01 12 draws: 2013-06-01 to 2013-07-13 1 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-17 11 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-08-24 3 draws: 2013-08-24 to 2013-09-04 28 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-12-11 1 draws: 2013-12-11 to 2013-12-14 2 draws: 2013-12-14 to 2013-12-21 5 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2014-01-08 1 draws: 2014-01-08 to 2014-01-11 5 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-01-29 12 draws: 2014-01-29 to 2014-03-12 3 draws: 2014-03-12 to 2014-03-22 1 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-03-26 9 draws: 2014-03-26 to 2014-04-26 8 draws: 2014-04-26 to 2014-05-24 2 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-05-31 16 draws: 2014-05-31 to 2014-07-26 5 draws: 2014-07-26 to 2014-08-13 8 draws: 2014-08-13 to 2014-09-10 8 draws: 2014-09-10 to 2014-10-08 1 draws: 2014-10-08 to 2014-10-11 2 draws: 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-18 5 draws: 2014-10-18 to 2014-11-05 6 draws: 2014-11-05 to 2014-11-26 4 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2014-12-10 4 draws: 2014-12-10 to 2014-12-24 8 draws: 2014-12-24 to 2015-01-21 2 draws: 2015-01-21 to 2015-01-28 1 draws: 2015-01-28 to 2015-01-31 5 draws: 2015-01-31 to 2015-02-18 6 draws: 2015-02-18 to 2015-03-11 1 draws: 2015-03-11 to 2015-03-14 4 draws: 2015-03-14 to 2015-03-28 3 draws: 2015-03-28 to 2015-04-08 9 draws: 2015-04-08 to 2015-05-09 14 draws: 2015-05-09 to 2015-06-27 2 draws: 2015-06-27 to 2015-07-04 1 draws: 2015-07-04 to 2015-07-08 10 draws: 2015-07-08 to 2015-08-12 8 draws: 2015-08-12 to 2015-09-09 Still waiting — at least 7 draws since 2015-09-09 2010-01-06 2010-01-09 2010-01-23 2010-01-27 2010-02-24 2010-02-27 2010-03-06 2010-03-24 2010-03-31 2010-04-07 2010-05-01 2010-05-19 2010-07-07 2010-07-17 2010-09-15 2010-09-25 2010-10-20 2010-11-24 2010-12-04 2010-12-24 2010-12-29 2011-01-19 2011-01-22 2011-02-02 2011-03-16 2011-03-19 2011-03-23 2011-04-13 2011-04-30 2011-05-14 2011-05-18 2011-06-11 2011-07-09 2011-07-16 2011-08-10 2011-08-13 2011-09-07 2011-09-24 2011-11-09 2011-12-21 2012-01-07 2012-02-01 2012-03-07 2012-04-18 2012-05-26 2012-06-16 2012-06-30 2012-08-15 2012-08-18 2012-08-22 2012-09-19 2012-09-26 2012-10-17 2012-10-20 2012-11-28 2012-12-01 2013-01-02 2013-01-12 2013-02-27 2013-03-09 2013-03-13 2013-04-24 2013-05-08 2013-06-01 2013-07-13 2013-07-17 2013-08-24 2013-09-04 2013-12-11 2013-12-14 2013-12-21 2014-01-08 2014-01-11 2014-01-29 2014-03-12 2014-03-22 2014-03-26 2014-04-26 2014-05-24 2014-05-31 2014-07-26 2014-08-13 2014-09-10 2014-10-08 2014-10-11 2014-10-18 2014-11-05 2014-11-26 2014-12-10 2014-12-24 2015-01-21 2015-01-28 2015-01-31 2015-02-18 2015-03-11 2015-03-14 2015-03-28 2015-04-08 2015-05-09 2015-06-27 2015-07-04 2015-07-08 2015-08-12 2015-09-09 2010-01-02 2015-10-03
1 draws: 22 times 2 draws: 10 times 3 draws: 9 times 4 draws: 7 times 5 draws: 10 times 6 draws: 7 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 8 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 6 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 95 · chance 92.2 2nd smallest 9 · chance 11.8 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 1 Every number number 3 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.