Number 28

In Texas Two Step under the 5/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 2022 rules — 75 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

11times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.09σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 13% for any number

5.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

21longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

28 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 75 draws against 10.7 expected, +0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 28, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 75 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.2
3rd smallest3 · chance 1.7
4th smallest5 · chance 4.9
5th smallest3 · chance 4.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

15 17 31 12 3 16

Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-10-03	2	3rd	11 17 28 31 35
2022-09-15	1	5th	3 5 12 23 28
2022-09-12	4	4th	6 15 21 28 34
2022-08-29	9	3rd	15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.