Number 2

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.24σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number

11.6average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

28longest completed wait · 38% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws · average wait 11.6 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest9 · chance 8.3
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 21 29 9 15 17

Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-09-12	28	1st	2 9 17 25 29
2014-02-28	1	1st	2 17 21 22 45
2014-02-21	8	1st	2 4 21 30 41
2013-12-27	11	1st	2 15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.