Number 33

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

18times drawn · chance expected 13 +1.36σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

37longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long

33 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 18 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +1.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 33, draw by draw

Drawn 18 times in 133 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 33 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.2
2nd smallest1 · chance 1.8
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.7
4th smallest10 · chance 7.2
5th smallest1 · chance 3.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 5 8 9 10 18

Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 33 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 33 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-09-05	5	3rd	26 31 33 39 40
2014-08-01	5	3rd	5 18 33 38 47
2014-06-27	1	2nd	11 33 35 42 44
2014-06-20	4	4th	6 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 33 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.