Number 11

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

13times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.09σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number

9.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

30longest completed wait · 44% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 13 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 13 times in 133 draws · average wait 9.8 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 5.0
2nd smallest7 · chance 5.6
3rd smallest2 · chance 2.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 35 14 23 29 32

Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-07-18	2	2nd	6 11 15 18 45
2014-07-04	1	3rd	3 10 11 13 42
2014-06-27	7	1st	11 33 35 42 44
2014-05-09	30	2nd	1 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.