Number 22

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

17times drawn · chance expected 13 +1.07σ

21draws waiting · a wait this long: 12% for any number

6.0average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

26longest completed wait · 70% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 17 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 21 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 17 times in 133 draws · average wait 6.0 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 21 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.6
2nd smallest5 · chance 5.5
3rd smallest7 · chance 6.4
4th smallest3 · chance 3.0
5th smallest1 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 40 1 7 17 18

Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-05-09	4	4th	1 11 14 22 43
2014-04-11	6	4th	1 7 14 22 44
2014-02-28	2	4th	2 17 21 22 45
2014-02-14	5	3rd	19 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.