Number 29

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

12times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.38σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number

11.2average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

32longest completed wait · 35% chance of one at least that long

29 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −0.38σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 29, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 133 draws · average wait 11.2 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.3
2nd smallest2 · chance 2.1
3rd smallest4 · chance 4.5
4th smallest2 · chance 3.9
5th smallest3 · chance 1.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 17 25 41 44 4

Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-09-12	32	5th	2 9 17 25 29
2014-01-31	2	3rd	12 17 29 39 40
2014-01-17	14	5th	4 7 17 25 29
2013-10-11	10	4th	2 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.