Number 17

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.49σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

17longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 133 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 2.9
2nd smallest4 · chance 6.2
3rd smallest6 · chance 4.5
4th smallest1 · chance 1.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 43 6 7 18 22

Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-09-12	4	3rd	2 9 17 25 29
2014-08-15	11	1st	17 38 41 43 47
2014-05-30	13	2nd	7 17 25 26 35
2014-02-28	4	2nd	2 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.