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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Eurojackpot · every number

45

Number 45

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 20225/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 20225/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014
11times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.66σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number
11.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
45longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long
45 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

45

Number 45, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 133 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 11 draws now

1 draws: 2012-04-20 to 2012-04-271 draws: 2012-04-27 to 2012-05-0435 draws: 2012-05-04 to 2013-01-042 draws: 2013-01-04 to 2013-01-1845 draws: 2013-01-18 to 2013-11-2911 draws: 2013-11-29 to 2014-02-142 draws: 2014-02-14 to 2014-02-284 draws: 2014-02-28 to 2014-03-2815 draws: 2014-03-28 to 2014-07-111 draws: 2014-07-11 to 2014-07-18Still waiting — at least 11 draws since 2014-07-182012-04-202012-04-272012-05-042013-01-042013-01-182013-11-292014-02-142014-02-282014-03-282014-07-112014-07-182012-03-232014-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 3 times2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 0 times4 draws: 1 time5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 0 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 1 time36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 1 time46 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 45 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.5
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 3.4
  • 5th smallest11 · chance 7.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10352161316

Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 20 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 45 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 45 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-07-1815th611151845
2014-07-11155th310163545
2014-03-2845th1032353845
2014-02-2825th217
← number 44Every numbernumber 46 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 45 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

21
22
45
2014-02-14115th1921222845
2013-11-29455th1725323545
2013-01-1825th913212845
2013-01-04355th620294045
2012-05-0415th2930354145
2012-04-2715th1013194045
2012-04-20—5th1016304145